Allsnow Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 24 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Radar over the northeast is completely devoid of echos except through central PA Yeah, huge fail for snj slight risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 The temperature rose to 91° in New York City and Islip and 95° at Newark. Further south, it was even hotter. Washington, DC saw the mercury reach 100°. However, the heat will break after today. A fresh shot of Canadian air will arrive overnight to close out the month. Following the frontal passage, highs will reach the middle and upper 70s tomorrow and Friday and then the upper 70s to lower 80s during the weekend. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around August 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.35°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall. The SOI was +19.36 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.718 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 98% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.0° (1.1° below normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 Topped out at 91 here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 Disgusting outside. No breeze at all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 Wow. Dca 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 6 hours ago, FPizz said: Yup, I was 1" below average. Plus, I'm loving the group think of a bad winter. Group think rarely pans out. I'm not a big fan of canceling winter in August. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 11 minutes ago, Rjay said: I'm not a big fan of canceling winter in August. Big winter incoming. I can feel it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 Tonight’s activity coming in. Minimal lightning associated with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 Shelf cloud coming in now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 Out in western Morris. Best activity is going to my south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 1 hour ago, Rjay said: I'm not a big fan of canceling winter in August. I find it best to ignore people who make generalized statements like that. Based off of nothing but emotions. Especially when one or two storms can make a winter for this region. as for right now, storms passing just south of me in morris county but hear the thunder and see the lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 5 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: I find it best to ignore people who make generalized statements like that. Based off of nothing but emotions. Especially when one or two storms can make a winter for this region. Yep. Take 1983 for example. Pattern was awful that season then came the big dog. One storm is all it took. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 4 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: I find it best to ignore people who make generalized statements like that. Based off of nothing but emotions. Especially when one or two storms can make a winter for this region. In this case, persistence is just as reliable as any other type of forecasting. Also, we all seem to define winter differently? For me, WINTER is defined as an extended period of nights below freezing, some local ponds freeze, and if we are lucky, a few nice snows. Had we squeezed in one or two, separate, foot or more snowstorms the last few years, I wouldn't consider that WINTER. (I know, my grammar is failing)... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 3 hours ago, Allsnow said: Is rain totally out of the forecast now? HRRR has a few light showers around 10pm haha Huge fail HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Huge fail HRRR Yes indeed. I have over a half inch and was progged not to get much of anything. It was supposed to stay to my north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 Wow, JFK hit 95 today. Some places near there to across central Nassau probably hit upper 90s. Still feels disgusting outside, glad to be getting rid of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: Wow. Dca One of the few parts of the East that have been really dry just to their west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renegade700 Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 I had a nice lightning show some good winds on the front side.Nice little front. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 Watching a great lightning storm on my porch with my son who just said “I love weather”. That’s what it’s all about. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 Looks like it will miss just to my south. Brutal great light show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 Glad it still feels like it’s 900 degrees outside. Horrific Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 Meh garden variety shower 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 Wow great storm, wind driven rain and crazy thunder & lightning. Best storm of the year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 Not garden variety here. Gust topped around 50. 0.45” in short period. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 Lighting is very impressive on the northern end of this cell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 Highs: ACY: 96 PHL: 96 EWR: 95 BLM: 95 JFK: 95 TTN: 95 New Brnswck: 94 LGA: 94 TEB: 93 ISP: 91 NYC: 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 Not a garden variety storm for many… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EWR757 Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 Approximately 1/2" of rain here with some gusty winds and plenty of lightning. Today's storm was a welcome sight and broke about 9 days of rain free weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 43 mph gust and heavy rain here in the heart of that warned cell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted August 29 Share Posted August 29 wow as nice storm. Plenty of of heavy rain, good winds and lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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