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50 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

average temperatures never last

It's funny. I don't see all the "it's just summer" commenters on X chiming in like you would see in response to a forecast of +10 for several days. When it's 2 or 3 degrees below normal [and that's with the highest normals which have been jacked up ~2F in the past 30 years] for a handful of days, isn't it literally just summer?

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36 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

rough ocean conditions starting saturday, hope they let us in the water

Highly unlikely especially Sunday. Despite distance Ernesto is going to be a very large storm, with a huge fetch area. So it’s going to produce a huge long period swell. Add strong sw winds Sunday ahead of the cold front and it’s a perfect storm dangerous rips. I expect all guarded Beachs to be red flagged and closed. This is the type of swell we usually see in September after peak season.

Also expect wash overs and more erosion. Long period swells are especially energetic and tend to wash right over beaches. So a lake where this beach usually is.

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Records:

Highs:

EWR:  99 (1988)
NYC: 97 (1988)
LGA: 97 (1985)
JFK: 98 (1988)


Lows:

EWR: 54 (1964)
NYC: 54 (1964)
LGA: 59 (1964)
JFK: 57 (964)

Historical:

 

1898 - A deadly, estimated F4 tornado moved southeast from 12 miles northwest of Clear Lake, South Dakota, passing 7 miles north of town and ending about 4 miles west of Gary. Deaths occurred on two farms. One man was killed when the kitchen of his farm house was torn off. Five members of one family were killed along with two labors on another farm as every building was swept away. Buildings suffered massive damage on eight farms. This tornado was one of the earliest, estimated F4 tornadoes on record for South Dakota.

1936 - Temperatures across much of eastern Kansas soared above 110 degrees. Kansas City MO hit an all-time record high of 113 degrees. It was one of sixteen consecutive days of 100 degree heat for Kansas City. During that summer there were a record 53 days of 100 degree heat, and during the three summer months Kansas City received just 1.12 inches of rain. (The Kansas City Weather Almanac)

1953 - Hurricane Barbara hits North Carolina as a Category 2 hurricane. Damage from the storm was relatively minor, totaling around $1.3 million (1953 USD). Most of it occurred in North Carolina and Virginia from crop damage. The hurricane left several injuries, some traffic accidents, as well as seven fatalities in the eastern United States; at least two were due to electrocution from downed power lines. Offshore Atlantic Canada, a small boat sunk, killing its crew of two.

1969: Hurricane Camille, a powerful, deadly, and destructive hurricane formed just west of the Cayman Islands on this day. It rapidly intensified, and by the time it reached western Cuba the next day, it was a Category 3 hurricane. Hurricane Camille was spawned on August 5th by a tropical wave off the coast of Africa. The storm became a tropical disturbance four days later on the 9th and a tropical storm on the 14th with a 999-millibar pressure center and 55 mph surface winds.

1987 - Slow moving thunderstorms deluged northern and western suburbs of Chicago IL with torrential rains. O'Hare Airport reported 9.35 inches in 18 hours, easily exceeding the previous 24 hour record of 6.24 inches. Flooding over a five day period resulted in 221 million dollars damage. It was Chicago's worst flash flood event, particularly for northern and western sections of the city. Kennedy Expressway became a footpath for thousands of travelers to O'Hare Airport as roads were closed. The heavy rains swelled the Des Plaines River above flood stage, and many persons had to be rescued from stalled vehicles on flooded roads. (13th- 14th) (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) (The Weather Channel)

1988 - Eighteen cities in the northeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, and the water temperature at Lake Erie reached a record 80 degrees. Portland ME reported a record fourteen straight days of 80 degree weather. Milwaukee WI reported a record 34 days of 90 degree heat for the year. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms resulted in about fifty reports of severe weather in the northeastern U.S. One person was killed at Stockbridge MI when a tornado knocked a tree onto their camper. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Afternoon thunderstorms in Illinois soaked the town of Battendorf with 2.10 inches of rain in thirty minutes. Evening thunderstorms in Montana produced wind gusts to 66 mph at Hobson. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

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Could be a few more scattered cold pool storms later. The warm spots in NJ may make a run on 90° Friday. Then scattered storms over the weekend into early next week as an upper low and frontal system slows down coming east. 


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75 / 62 and sunny.   Warmer two days Thu / Fri - upper 80s to 90 / lows 90s in the warm spots with more humid flow.  Ernesto west of Bermuda this weekend then north from there.   Weekend looks cloudy - onshor-ish with storms and rain, especially Sunday.  Onshore flow Mon - Wed next week keeps it cooler.   Warmer towards the last week of the month as western heat and heights build north - east.   

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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Another nice airmass coming in for next week. Looks as if we could see high temps in the upper 70s with low humidity for Tuesday through Thursday next week. This is turning out to be a pretty comfortable August after that blazing hot July that we had. 

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1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

Another nice airmass coming in for next week. Looks as if we could see high temps in the upper 70s with low humidity for Tuesday through Thursday next week. This is turning out to be a pretty comfortable August after that blazing hot July that we had. 

Yeah we should end up around +1 or so 

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95° has been the average max last decade after August 25th at Newark. But it’s been a challenge since 1993 reaching 100°. Must be related the summers getting wetter. Had the 2019 early October flash drought been a month earlier we would have done it.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
2023-10-07 97 0
2022-10-07 93 0
2021-10-07 97 0
2020-10-07 93 0
2019-10-07 96 0
2018-10-07 98 0
2017-10-07 92 0
2016-10-07 95 0
2015-10-07 98 0
2014-10-07 95 0


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1953-10-07 105 0
2 1948-10-07 103 0
3 1993-10-07 100 0
- 1973-10-07 100 0
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28 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Rain this weekend? 

I hope we get a decent amount Sunday into Monday. I know we had that very wet week to start the month, but it dries out quickly this time of year. By this weekend we'll be getting to the point that we could use some again. 

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