WxUSAF Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 21 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Latest HRRR is.....not encouraging for even garden variety storms. 16 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Latest HRRR…is not a great convective model in weakly forced mid-Atlantic summer conditions Yeah I actually think it showing multiple rounds of storms is encouraging… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 Starting to see clouds in Tysons Corner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 That stuff in WV is looking more organized and headed generally towards the metro area from the SW. Maybe that's our urban flooder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 High so far are at least: DCA: 98 BWI: 97 IAD: 96 98.4 at home 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 97 so far imby for the high. Cloud cover for the most part, don’t think I’ll make it to 100 but DCA might Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: 97 so far imby for the high. Cloud cover for the most part, don’t think I’ll make it to 100 but DCA might It’s funny that you’ve been beating me all summer, but the last two days I’ve passed you up. 99.9 here at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 LOL..BWI and Ft. Meade are gonna make 100 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 DCA rounded up to 99 degrees....on a river wind. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 92.7 here (the high so far and currently) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 16z HRRR really love I-70 north. Others get at least some storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 8 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: DCA rounded up to 99 degrees....on a river wind. lol we were getting up to 102/103 on a river wind yesterday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 Just now, pazzo83 said: we were getting up to 102/103 on a river wind yesterday lol Ah so we've got cooler waterfront property today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Ah so we've got cooler waterfront property today. lol i mean the river is HOT. The buoy in the Washington Channel (between East Potomac Park and the Wharf) is around 87F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 Got up to 102 about 30 min ago before more clouds started moving in. Currently 100. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 39 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: It’s funny that you’ve been beating me all summer, but the last two days I’ve passed you up. 99.9 here at the moment. Yeah lol i mean, it had gotten much cloudier earlier today and yesterday, whereas before it was clear skies end to end. Felt like super mario 3 where the sun is trying to kill you 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah I actually think it showing multiple rounds of storms is encouraging… Absolutely. The HRRR is capturing the forcing and initiating convection, but because of the extreme issue with low-level drying, it can't possibly generate widespread, intense storms. This is the environment it has the storms moving into: With that low of a surface dew point, it can't possibly show impressive storms, but we all know that the actual dew point will be at least 5 degrees higher. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 54 minutes ago, dailylurker said: That stuff in WV is looking more organized and headed generally towards the metro area from the SW. Maybe that's our urban flooder. The decaying MCV remnant absolutely seems like the focus 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 Apparently BWI hit 100 inter hour. It’s listed as the max in the 6 hour observation. Four days in a row? New record? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 The lone warned cell in WV is probably riding some respectable dynamic in that it: 1.) Is already generating CG outside a favorable environment 2.) It's tall enough that LWX radar can pick it up 3.) It's tail end Charlie, so there's nothing robbing it from inflow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 Assuming the 99 at DCA is the high today, we will have a 14-day stretch with an average high of 97.2. That puts us behind only 1930 and 2011 as the hottest two-week stretch ever. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 1 minute ago, astarck said: Assuming the 99 at DCA is the high today, we will have a 14-day stretch with an average high of 97.2. That puts us behind only 1930 and 2011 as the hottest two-week stretch ever. Dang, 2011 and 2012 were horrendous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 Just now, astarck said: Assuming the 99 at DCA is the high today, we will have a 14-day stretch with an average high of 97.2. That puts us behind only 1930 and 2011 as the hottest two-week stretch ever. No sooner did I type this that DCA hit 100. That should round us up to 97.3 and breaks the tie with 2012. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 Day 10 of 100+ this summer. Its too hot to even look up how many 90+ I have had… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 4 minutes ago, astarck said: No sooner did I type this that DCA hit 100. That should round us up to 97.3 and breaks the tie with 2012. BWI hit 100 as well? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 Meso out...60% WW chance: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1667.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 Both of them were at 100 on the 2:00pm 5-minute ob. BWI had also already cracked it earlier as seen in the 6 hour max. Amazing run here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 3 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Both of them were at 100 on the 2:00pm 5-minute ob. BWI had also already cracked it earlier as seen in the 6 hour max. Amazing run here. Per the 18z RAOB, we're +26 at 925...that seems to be the threshold for our UHI to threaten 100 degree anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 3 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Both of them were at 100 on the 2:00pm 5-minute ob. BWI had also already cracked it earlier as seen in the 6 hour max. Amazing run here. Matches the longest streak of 100+ at both sites. Should it reach 101F, that would be the first time at both locations with 4 consecutive days of temperatures at or above 101. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 Back up to 103...but more broken clouds moving in from west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17 Share Posted July 17 BWI is about to flirt with a bay breeze boundary...not sure they hit 101. DCA seems like it's switching to a SW wind...might have a better chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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