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5 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

Boy, northern VT just keeps getting slammed. Another 6.5" in just a few hours. The damage is just terrible with nearly everything shut down (again). 

Sure hope they don't get anything of tropical origin later in the season up that way.  Thankfully the excessive rains up there of late have been pretty localized but still.

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1 hour ago, gravitylover said:

Boy, northern VT just keeps getting slammed. Another 6.5" in just a few hours. The damage is just terrible with nearly everything shut down (again). 

 

 

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39 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Night time warm front coming and it's already juicy out...I'll bet we all get something

I hope you're right. There definitely will be some activity tonight, but I'm not sure it's gonna be widespread. We'll see. 

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1 hour ago, winterwx21 said:

I hope you're right. There definitely will be some activity tonight, but I'm not sure it's gonna be widespread. We'll see. 

Hrrr has nothing for our area now haha 

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4 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

your average high is like 88

The average July high temperature over the last 10 years at Harrison, NJ away from the sea breeze has been 89°. It has warmed up so much that a 90° day is pretty much the normal high temperature. As recently as the 2000s the average high was closer to 85°. So these days the more memorable heatwaves don’t  really start until the warm spots reach 95°. 

Monthly Mean Max Temperature for HARRISON, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Mean 89.0 89.0
2024 90.4 90.4
2023 89.5 89.5
2022 91.0 91.0
2021 87.6 87.6
2020 90.3 90.3
2019 90.6 90.6
2018 88.6 88.6
2017 85.9 85.9
2016 88.9 88.9
2015 87.1 87.1


 

Monthly Mean Max Temperature for HARRISON, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Mean 85.6 85.6
2009 83.2 83.2
2008 87.5 87.5
2007 84.6 84.6
2006 88.5 88.5
2005 87.2 87.2
2004 83.0 83.0
2003 85.1 85.1
2002 89.7 89.7
2001 84.9 84.9
2000 81.9 81.9
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No heatwaves yet at JFK this year since the Ambrose Jet continues to produce numerous days with gusts over 30 mph. JFK only has had 2 days reaching 90° due to the much stronger sea breezes this summer. This is the 3rd lowest count in record through July 29th. It’s nice that at least a very localized part of our area can have any record which even approaches the record cool summer of 2009.
 

Kennedy Intl   PTSUNNY   81  70  69 S25G36   

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2009-07-29 0 0
- 1967-07-29 0 0
2 2014-07-29 1 0
- 2004-07-29 1 0
- 1985-07-29 1 0
- 1979-07-29 1 0
- 1960-07-29 1 1
- 1951-07-29 1 2
- 1948-07-29 1 198
3 2024-07-29 2 0
- 2007-07-29 2 0
- 1975-07-29 2 0
- 1958-07-29 2 1
- 1950-07-29 2 0
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7 hours ago, gravitylover said:

Boy, northern VT just keeps getting slammed. Another 6.5" in just a few hours. The damage is just terrible with nearly everything shut down (again). 

New round of storms headed in for them.  

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Tomorrow will be variably cloudy. Some showers and thunderstorms are possible. Heat will likely return during the first week in August.

The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead. The extended range guidance continues to suggest that August will likely be warmer than normal.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.1°C for the week centered around July 24. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.48°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.27°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the early fall.

The SOI was -23.33 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.842 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.6° (2.1° above normal).

 

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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

No heatwaves yet at JFK this year since the Ambrose Jet continues to produce numerous days with gusts over 30 mph. JFK only has had 2 days reaching 90° due to the much stronger sea breezes this summer. This is the 3rd lowest count in record through July 29th. It’s nice that at least a very localized part of our area can have any record which even approaches the record cool summer of 2009.
 

Kennedy Intl   PTSUNNY   81  70  69 S25G36   

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2009-07-29 0 0
- 1967-07-29 0 0
2 2014-07-29 1 0
- 2004-07-29 1 0
- 1985-07-29 1 0
- 1979-07-29 1 0
- 1960-07-29 1 1
- 1951-07-29 1 2
- 1948-07-29 1 198
3 2024-07-29 2 0
- 2007-07-29 2 0
- 1975-07-29 2 0
- 1958-07-29 2 1
- 1950-07-29 2 0

Once again today S wind gusts to near 40 at JFK. Wow. 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR:  101 (1949) 
NYC: 98 (1988)
LGA: 99 (1988)
JFK: 96 (2002)


Lows:

EWR: 57 (1956)
NYC: 57 (1956)
LGA: 61 (1956)
JFK: 58 (1968)

Historical:

 

1949 - The state record for Connecticut was established when the town of Greenville registered an afternoon high of 102 degrees. (The Weather Channel)

1965 - The temperature at Portland, OR, reached 107 degrees to equal their all-time record high. (The Weather Channel)

1970: Hurricane Celia was born in the northwest of the Caribbean Sea on this day. The hurricane would be one of the worst ever to hit Texas and would reach Texas late on August 3. The storm reached its peak as it made landfall near Corpus Christi, Texas, as a strong Category 3 hurricane. Hurricane Celia is currently the last major hurricane to make landfall on the middle Texas Coast until Hurricane Harvey in 2017.

1979 - A forty-minute hailstorm bombed Fort Collins, CO, with baseball to softball size hail. Two thousand homes and 2500 automobiles were damaged, and about 25 persons were injured, mainly when hit on the head by the huge stones. A three month old baby died later of injuries. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Afternoon highs of 105 degrees at Aberdeen SD, 102 degrees at Bismarck, ND, and 102 degrees at Pueblo, CO, were records for the date. Pueblo, CO, reported just .09 inch of rain for the first thirty days of the month. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - A dozen cities in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Downtown Baltimore, MD, hit 103 degrees, marking a record eight days of 100 degree heat for the month, and ten for the year. The high of 101 degrees at Billings, MT, marked a record seventeen days of 100 degree heat for the year. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the northeast, with nearly fifty reports of large hail or damaging winds in Pennsylvania and New York State. A tree fell on a car at Erie, PA, injuring four persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Morning thunderstorms over central Missouri deluged Columbia with 5.98 inches of rain causing flash flooding. Daytime thunderstorms in Kentucky drenched Paducah with 1.73 inches of rain in less than half an hour. Evening thunderstorms in the north central U.S. produced wind gusts to 78 mph east of Moccasin, MT. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

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12 hours ago, jm1220 said:

Once again today S wind gusts to near 40 at JFK. Wow. 

This looks like the greatest temperature gradient between JFK and Central New Jersey we have ever seen in July. Hightstown, NJ just set set their all-time July average high temperature of 91.8°. JFK has only averaged 84.3° which is well down the list at 20th warmest. So people on the South Shore got a real gift this July with  the afternoon average highs so comfortable compared to NJ. But there is probably plenty of sand blown onto the streets especially near the beach with so many afternoons with this string of an Ambrose Jet. 

 

 

Time Series Summary for HIGHTSTOWN 2 W, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2024 91.8 6
2 2022 91.4 0
3 1955 91.2 0
4 2020 91.0 0
5 2010 90.2 0
6 2011 90.0 0
- 1999 90.0 0
7 1894 89.9 1
8 2023 89.8 0
- 2019 89.8 0
9 1910 89.5 0


 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2010 89.0 0
2 2011 88.6 0
3 2022 86.9 0
4 1993 86.8 0
5 2019 86.7 0
- 1966 86.7 0
6 2013 86.5 0
- 1999 86.5 0
7 2020 86.4 0
- 1983 86.4 0
8 1949 86.2 0
9 2002 86.1 0
10 2012 86.0 0
11 2016 85.7 0
12 1963 85.5 0
13 2015 85.2 0
14 1994 85.1 0
15 1974 85.0 0
16 2023 84.8 0
- 2008 84.8 0
- 1955 84.8 0
17 1971 84.7 0
18 1968 84.5 0
19 1952 84.4 0
20 2024 84.3 1
- 1970 84.3 0
- 1961 84.3 0


 

IMG_0666.thumb.png.73e4b0d6408b53fc6ee76fc7a59f08d4.png

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77 / 71 cloudy with showers around.  Warm front pushing through.  Where there's clearing should get close to or to 90.  Thu the driest and sunniest day of the next 5 and should be the hottest mid - upper 90s in the warm spots. The weekend seed a trough swing through and chance for more widespread storms, clouds could get in the way of extending or getting a heatwave.  Could see some hefty rain totals from slow moving storms especially North and e.  Overall warm and humid with storm chances next week.  Watch tropics and stalled out systems.  Enough sun gets to 90, clouds and showers each day.  Way beyond ridge west trough east should lead to near normal by day 10 ahead of next heat.

 

GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif 

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1 hour ago, Allsnow said:

0.00 overnight 

 

are they still expecting a busy tropical hurricane season? It feels like it’s been very slow 

Season doesn't really get going til August.   That said, the Nina is not going crazy so that could lead to a reduced # of storms.   

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