bluewave Posted July 23 Share Posted July 23 Fog and drizzle at times here today with a late July backdoor pattern due to the high pressure to the north pushing back against the Southeast ridge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 23 Share Posted July 23 1 hour ago, FPizz said: Didn't that kind of happen the last time we were supposed to have a wet week Yep. Like we've talked about, big hyped heavy rain forecasts tend to bust and then we get hit when there's only a slight chance. That's the way it has worked out here this summer. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 23 Share Posted July 23 On and off light showers here today, one right now. Total since midnight .16 and for this event .60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 23 Share Posted July 23 2 hours ago, FPizz said: Didn't that kind of happen the last time we were supposed to have a wet week Last time heaviest rains went north, as ridge was stronger, this time front/boundary best rain is south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 23 Share Posted July 23 1 hour ago, winterwx21 said: Yep. Like we've talked about, big hyped heavy rain forecasts tend to bust and then we get hit when there's only a slight chance. That's the way it has worked out here this summer. Kind of like Wind advisories in the winter-most seem to bust then you get a big wind event out of nowhere 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 23 Share Posted July 23 Near normal readings will prevail through the week. Showers and thundershowers are likely tonight through Thursday. Warmer air will begin to arrive to close the weekend. There is some potential that the month could end on a hot note. The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead. Some of the extended range guidance suggests that August could be warmer to much warmer than normal. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.2°C for the week centered around July 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.25°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late summer or early fall. The SOI was +4.00 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.170 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 95% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 80.0° (2.5° above normal). That would tie 2024 with 1908 and 2020 as the 8th hottest July on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 Have major breaks in the clouds. Blue sky now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 some rather large cumulus over here, nonetheless an empty radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 3 hours ago, SACRUS said: Last time heaviest rains went north, as ridge was stronger, this time front/boundary best rain is south Looking forward to getting this soupy airmass out of here. Fri/the weekend look great. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 Rounds of rain not happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 Our central AC crapped out a few days ago These dews are killing me! Of course the town is a few days out for approving the electrical permit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 1 hour ago, gravitylover said: Our central AC crapped out a few days ago These dews are killing me! Of course the town is a few days out for approving the electrical permit I genuinely feel for you. Nothing worse than trying to sleep in pea soup (no matter the temperature, actually). I hope that you get an AC back up and running soon! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 I see most of tonight's models have the batch of rain for tomorrow morning to midday mostly missing to the south and east, but it's gonna be close. With Thursday looking mostly dry now, I'm really hoping we see something decent tomorrow morning. It would be pretty bad to end up getting nothing this week after all the heavy rain forecasts, especially considering it will be dry for several days starting on Friday. The vegetable gardens really could use a drink. Hopefully tomorrow morning, but it looks very iffy right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 Highs BLM: 88 ACY: 87 New Brnswck: 87 EWR: 86 PHL: 86 JFK: 85 TTN: 84 TEB: 82 NYC: 81 ISP: 79 LGA: 79 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (2002) NYC: 97 (2010) LGA: 98 (2022) JFK: 97 (2010) Lows: EWR: 55 (1947) NYC: 56 (1893) LGA: 58: (1992) JFK: 58 (1997) Historical: 1788 - A weather diary kept by George Washington recorded that the center of a hurricane passed directly over his Mount Vernon home. The hurricane crossed eastern North Carolina and Virginia before moving into the Central Appalachians. Norfolk, VA, reported houses destroyed, trees uprooted, and crops leveled to the ground. (David Ludlum) 1788: Called the George Washington's Hurricane, this storm originated near Bermuda on the 19th before making landfall in Virginia. It passed directly over the Lower Chesapeake Bay and Mount Vernon, the home of George Washington. This track is very similar to the path of the Chesapeake-Potomac hurricane of 1933. At Norfolk, winds increased at 5 p.m. on the 23rd with the wind originating from the northeast. At 12:30 a.m., the wind suddenly shifted to the south and "blew a perfect hurricane, tearing down chimneys, fences"...some corn was also leveled. Also, large trees were uprooted, and houses were moved from their foundations. Port Royal and Hobb's Hole experienced a violent northeast gale which drove several vessels ashore. In Fredricksburg, vast quantities of corn, tobacco, and fruit were destroyed. Houses and trees fell in significant numbers across Northumberland, Lancaster, Richmond, and Westmoreland counties. Crops were destroyed, and many livestock perished in Lower Mathews County. Many plantations saw their houses leveled. Homes were flooded with water six feet deep, and several inhabitants drowned. Historical figures of the time logged the storm's antics. George Washington noted the sinking of the small ship Federalist and uprooted trees. Colonel James Madison, the father of the future president, experienced the passing of great winds and rains near Orange. In Alexandria, damage to wheat, tobacco, and corn was "beyond description." The information above is from the Weather Prediction Center and noted American historian David Ludlum. 1898 - A two hour thunderstorm deluged Atlanta, GA, with 4.32 inches of rain. More than a foot of water flooded Union Depot. Many street car motors burned out while trying to run through flooded streets. It grew so dark before the afternoon storm that gas lights were needed. (The Weather Channel) 1923 - Sheridan, WY, was drenched with 4.41 inches of rain, an all-time 24 hour record for that location. Associated flooding washed out 20 miles of railroad track. (22nd-23rd) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced a record ten inches of rain in six and a half hours at Minneapolis, MN, including 5.26 inches in two hours. Flash flooding claimed two lives and caused 21.3 million dollars damage. Streets in Minneapolis became rushing rivers, parking lots became lakes, and storm sewers spouted like geysers. A tornado hit Maple Grove, MN, causing five million dollars damage. Baseball size hail was reported at Olivia, MN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Lower Michigan and northern Ohio, over eastern sections of the Dakotas, and over the Central High Plains Region. Showers and thunderstorms soaked Wilmington, NC, with another two inches of rain, following six and a half inches the previous day. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Morning thunderstorms in the central U.S. drenched central Oklahoma with up to six inches of rain. Afternoon thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 85 mph at Fort Smith, AR. Evening thunderstorms over Florida spawned a tornado which touched down three times in south Fort Myers causing nearly three quarters of a million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2011: Chicago set an all-time daily record rainfall when 6.86 inches fell during the early morning hours of Saturday, July 23, 2011, at O'Hare airport. The previous daily record was 6.64 inches set on September 13, 2008. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 Just .10 all week..what happened to the rain and why is 5-7 day modelling this bad 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 17 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: Just .10 all week..what happened to the rain and why is 5-7 day modelling this bad Any rain over the summer unless it’s a large scale synoptic system is widely scattered. I happen to be lucky this summer but others develop flash droughts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 Radar doesnt look great for much today-looks south and north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 24 Author Share Posted July 24 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Radar doesnt look great for much today-looks south and north I wish it would just rain and clear up. This constant cloudy weather is awful 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 24 Author Share Posted July 24 Thankfully friday on looks great 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 11 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Thankfully friday on looks great 2 rain free weekends in a row! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 78 / 72 cloudy with some shower around. Another 36 hours caught up near the boundary with more scattered storms and showers. Clears up and dries out Fri (7/26) and through the weekend. Warmer by Sun - upper 80s - low 90s. Cut off low meandering offshore next week Mon - Wed. Ridge building north and heat expanding east - onshore component keep the strongest heat north /west (inland initially) overall hotter by the 31st and beyond. Tropical activity may kick in later next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 2 rain free weekends in a row! I'm still waiting on one (.08 last Saturday), this weekend looks to end the streak for me finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: I wish it would just rain and clear up. This constant cloudy weather is awful So much for the rain this week. Looks as if we're down to just the very slight chance of a spotty storm for later today or tonight. Good chance we're gonna get through this whole hyped week with almost nothing. Awful. Lots of watering will be needed in the coming days. Our next chance doesn't come until next Tuesday or Wednesday. But like you said, it's nice that we'll have some beautiful weather to enjoy. Dew points down to the mid 50s Friday will feel great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: 2 rain free weekends in a row! Unpossible 55 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: I'm still waiting on one (.08 last Saturday), this weekend looks to end the streak for me finally. This might be the 4th dry weekend of the year. That would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 looks like it will be an Open the Windows At Night weekend. Finally. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 models are terrible with this-they have none of action that's going on down by PHL 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 1 hour ago, Big Jims Videos said: looks like it will be an Open the Windows At Night weekend. Finally. Unfortunately our AC died on Saturday morning so we've had the windows open since On the upside, it hasn't been 90°+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted July 24 Share Posted July 24 28 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: models are terrible with this-they have none of action that's going on down by PHL i feel like they’ve been dreadful for months 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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