Rtd208 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 It looks like an extended period of hot and humid weather with temps in the upper 80's to low 90's for the next several days along with a wetter pattern producing showers and thunderstorms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 5 hours ago, qg_omega said: Not seeing a wet pattern in July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 11 minutes ago, Allsnow said: WAR driven pattern with trough through MW funnels HHH conditions right up to us. It's not 100 degree weather but it is consistent upper 80s into 90s and high dews throughout. Along with that comes numerous thunderstorm chances. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 2 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: WAR driven pattern with trough through MW funnels HHH conditions right up to us. It's not 100 degree weather but it is consistent upper 80s into 90s and high dews throughout. Along with that comes numerous thunderstorm chances. *for everywhere other than Long Island 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Just now, psv88 said: *for everywhere other than Long Island Looks like 80-85 for coastal areas with S flow & humidity. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Just now, uofmiami said: Looks like 80-85 for coastal areas with S flow & humidity. Yes. We are in the tropics for the next month. July our only true summer month. Breathe it in! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 4 Author Share Posted July 4 3knam with some impressive totals. Hrrr still has barely anything thru Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: 3knam with some impressive totals. Hrrr still has barely anything thru Saturday And this 3km NAM run is already wrong. It had some heavy storms in NJ at this time, but there's absolutely nothing. I'm glad it's going well for cookouts. Will have to see if we have some activity later on for fireworks time. Probably will be some, but I think HRRR is going to be much closer to reality than the wildly overdone 3km NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 5 hours ago, psv88 said: Where? Full sun on the island Unlucky in the Hudson valley. Sun came out briefly but was deeply overcast. Now at a renegades ball game versus the Brooklyn cyclones so happy it is cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Nice storm starting to build way north if freehold, nj. Nothing on radar yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 4 Author Share Posted July 4 1 hour ago, winterwx21 said: And this 3km NAM run is already wrong. It had some heavy storms in NJ at this time, but there's absolutely nothing. I'm glad it's going well for cookouts. Will have to see if we have some activity later on for fireworks time. Probably will be some, but I think HRRR is going to be much closer to reality than the wildly overdone 3km NAM. Radar looks pretty good though (in this case bad) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 15 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Radar looks pretty good though (in this case bad) Brief downpour here currently, latest NWS discussion believes the eastern Pa stuff survives as it moves east. Hrrr was discounted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Absolutely pouring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 22 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Radar looks pretty good though (in this case bad) Yeah looks like some storms are coming. I'm glad we got through our cookout without a problem. That downpour that popped up and is hitting our friend Allsnow missed me to the south. The storms getting ready to hit western NJ appear to be on track to hit our area close to fireworks time unfortunately. NAM 3km was overdone but HRRR was underdone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 5 Author Share Posted July 5 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah looks like some storms are coming. I'm glad we got through our cookout without a problem. That downpour that popped up and is hitting our friend Allsnow missed me to the south. The storms getting ready to hit western NJ appear to be on track to hit our area close to fireworks time unfortunately. NAM 3km was overdone but HRRR was underdone. Fireworks here were last night. Plainfield's are tomorrow but I'm sure most are tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 3 hours ago, psv88 said: *for everywhere other than Long Island Hopefully we can get some kind of organized system to bring the storms east of the Hudson. Otherwise yeah this is the typical wet inland/LI flash drought pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Fireworks here were last night. Plainfield's are tomorrow but I'm sure most are tonight I was planning on lighting off my own fireworks here tonight, but will cancel it and try again tomorrow night instead if these storms in eastern PA appear to be getting too close. Not looking good. A lot of people lighting off stuff now even though it's not dark. I did do some during the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 13 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Absolutely pouring Pouring here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Eastern PA storms making me unhappy right now. It’s coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 5 Author Share Posted July 5 Storms are intensifying. Will cover most of the area between 9 and 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Storms are intensifying. Will cover most of the area between 9 and 10 Yup. HRRR fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yup. HRRR fail .22 so far today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 5 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yup. HRRR fail That model has become a disaster. Sad because HRRR is supposed to be a highly skilled short range model that we can count on. Hopefully it can be replaced with something better eventually. At least the different model runs that showed some pop ups during the afternoon were wrong. That's one thing HRRR got right at least. It was completely quiet for all of NJ until that little downpour that hit your area popped up a little before 8pm. It went very well for cookouts, but unfortunately not looking good for fireworks tonight. Sucks because we had absolutely perfect weather the last 3 days. Terrible timing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 8 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: That model has become a disaster. Sad because HRRR is supposed to be a highly skilled short range model that we can count on. Hopefully it can be replaced with something better eventually. At least the different model runs that showed some pop ups during the afternoon were wrong. That's one thing HRRR got right at least. It was completely quiet for all of NJ until that little downpour that hit your area popped up a little before 8pm. It went very well for cookouts, but unfortunately not looking good for fireworks tonight. Sucks because we had absolutely perfect weather the last 3 days. Terrible timing. Agreed. Edison moving their fireworks up to 845 to miss the rain now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Storms still far enough away that there's time to light off some stuff here. Will get some in at least. Heading back outside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 airmass keeping the firework smoke close to the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 5 Author Share Posted July 5 Decent rain now, bit of thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 79/77 this is probably just fog lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 .31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 No rain. Was a beautiful day and night on the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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