Stormlover74 Posted July 16 Author Share Posted July 16 6 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: This weekend is going to feel amazing Still upper 80s but dews in the 50s so won't feel bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Still upper 80s but dews in the 50s so won't feel bad Humidity returns next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 16 Author Share Posted July 16 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Humidity returns next week? I think Sunday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Big bust on the HRRR for storms modeled for last night in eastern PA and northern NJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 Temp already up to 90 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 85 / 72 and clear. Mid - upper 90s heat with some warmer spots to 100 or better, if storms/showers and any debris clouds dont get in the way. Some pop up storms today (northern / west favored). Clouds from the Chicago storms split N/S and dissipating. Maybe just as warm tomorrow with front approaching later in the evening. Front clears Thu with break in the heat / humidity through Saturday. Overall warm - hot, humid as Atlantic ridge keeps the east coast warm. 7/16-7/17 : Very hot humid ( pm storms, front Wed eveing) 7/18 - 7/21 : Break in heat - near normal - 80s to near 90 7/22 - beyond : Warm - hot / humid, increased storm frequency - overall warm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 Overnight low of 82 in EWR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 8 minutes ago, Tatamy said: Big bust on the HRRR for storms modeled for last night in eastern PA and northern NJ. I know the pain, your area should do better today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 https://weather.com/storms/severe/news/2024-07-16-derecho-midwest-thunderstorms-complex-damaging-winds IL/ Mid wst storms report. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 5 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Overnight low of 82 in EWR. Would be the first time since 2013 if the thunderstorms later don’t drop the daily low below that before midnight. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2011 86 0 2 1993 84 0 3 2013 82 0 - 2010 82 0 - 2002 82 0 - 2001 82 0 - 1999 82 0 - 1995 82 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 Atlantic ridge keeps ridging along the EC, trough into the MW, looks continued warm-hot, humid with increased storm frequency 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 Currently 83/70 after a low of 78. High is 90 so far (89.6) at midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 87 already, low of 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 16 Author Share Posted July 16 Should be a few pop storms later but the best activity is well to the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 Already at 90. If I still lived in Queens I’d say 100 would be within reach under these conditions, Central Suffolk I kind of doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poker2015 Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 Just hit 90 already. There is a station near me saying 94 with an 80 dewpoint, but I think that one is a little off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 3 minutes ago, Cfa said: Already at 90. If I still lived in Queens I’d say 100 would be within reach under these conditions, Central Suffolk I kind of doubt. Same here, 89.7. Upton has me topping out at 95 which I think is reasonable. Winds are currently out of the west so we have a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 11 minutes ago, Poker2015 said: Just hit 90 already. There is a station near me saying 94 with an 80 dewpoint, but I think that one is a little off. You're in the hot part of town this morning, lol. 87 with a 74.5 dew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 91 now but doesn’t feel so bad with the relatively lower humidity on the west winds. Once winds go south later today it will be bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 51 minutes ago, psv88 said: Same here, 89.7. Upton has me topping out at 95 which I think is reasonable. Winds are currently out of the west so we have a chance. I’ve hit 99 twice (2018 & 2023) since I’ve lived here and both happened with the arrival of the seabreeze. Seems like the best way to briefly touch 100 out here. Up to 92 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Should be a few pop storms later but the best activity is well to the north The HRRR IMO is underdone somewhat while the 3km NAM is likely overdone. The instability sort of peaks more in NJ. We may see little to nothing on that line til the disturbance reaches far NE PA and W NJ but development would probably fire up much faster than the HRRR indicates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 The stronger sea breezes this summer have been keeping the ocean cooler than recent years. The upper 60s to lows 70s is refreshingly cool compared to recent summers. We can remember the numerous days with SSTs near 80° at the bouys from 2018 to 2022. STATION/POSITION TIME SKY/WX TEMP WIND PRES VSBY WAVE AIR SEA DIR/SP/G HT/PER (UTC) (F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (MI) (FT/S) NY Harb Entrance 1350 73 73 190/ 10/ 12 1010.8 3/ 5 20 S Fire Island 1350 74 73 200/ 10/ 12 1010.9 4/ 6 Great South Bay NOT AVBL 23 SSW Montauk P NOT AVBL 15 E Barnegat Li 1356 68 N/A 3/ 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 91 / 67 - outside of clouds/ showers we are coming in on 98 - 103 for the CNJ-NE_NJ areas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 EWR: 89 (1000AM) LGA: 88 NYC: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 91 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 Just now, bluewave said: The stronger sea breezes this summer have been keeping the ocean cooler than recent years. The upper 60s to lows 70s is refreshingly cool compared to recent summers. We can remember the numerous days with SSTs near 80° at the bouys from 2018 to 2022. STATION/POSITION TIME SKY/WX TEMP WIND PRES VSBY WAVE AIR SEA DIR/SP/G HT/PER (UTC) (F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (MI) (FT/S) NY Harb Entrance 1350 73 73 190/ 10/ 12 1010.8 3/ 5 20 S Fire Island 1350 74 73 200/ 10/ 12 1010.9 4/ 6 Great South Bay NOT AVBL 23 SSW Montauk P NOT AVBL 15 E Barnegat Li 1356 68 N/A 3/ 6 The ocean feels cold but the local harbors on the north shore are much warmer, likely upper 70s/low 80s. Been swimming in Lloyd harbor every weekend and it’s not too bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 6 minutes ago, bluewave said: The stronger sea breezes this summer have been keeping the ocean cooler than recent years. The upper 60s to lows 70s is refreshingly cool compared to recent summers. We can remember the numerous days with SSTs near 80° at the bouys from 2018 to 2022. STATION/POSITION TIME SKY/WX TEMP WIND PRES VSBY WAVE AIR SEA DIR/SP/G HT/PER (UTC) (F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (MI) (FT/S) NY Harb Entrance 1350 73 73 190/ 10/ 12 1010.8 3/ 5 20 S Fire Island 1350 74 73 200/ 10/ 12 1010.9 4/ 6 Great South Bay NOT AVBL 23 SSW Montauk P NOT AVBL 15 E Barnegat Li 1356 68 N/A 3/ 6 Was in the 50s some days around the fourth of July week / weekend and last week around NJ beaches with the constant southerly flow causing persistent upwelling as the surface waters are pushed out offshore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 12 minutes ago, psv88 said: The ocean feels cold but the local harbors on the north shore are much warmer, likely upper 70s/low 80s. Been swimming in Lloyd harbor every weekend and it’s not too bad Shallow bays are different since they can heat up much faster than the open ocean. Plenty of upwelling along the shore this year. The ocean near the South Shore is still warmer than the 50s down at ACY. Many days this month so far with sea breezes into the 30s and even 40s on occasion. https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=acyn4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 I would think onshore flow would make the waters warmer-usually offshore flow is what brings in the upwelling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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