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44 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Received .07" rainfall last night with fizzling T-storms.

Pretty pleasant this morning with lower DP's and a gusty breeze.

Dews in the low to mid 70s on the island still. We can’t kick this humidity 

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3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

So the person that said there wouldn't be a lot of 90s this summer is looking pretty foolish right now

Virtually every signal headed into this summer pointed to a well above normal season with extended and frequent big heat. To forecast against that was....risky...

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1 minute ago, JetsPens87 said:

Virtually every signal headed into this summer pointed to a well above normal season with extended and frequent big heat. To forecast against that was....risky...

I pretty much didn't see any long range forecasts that said less 90s this summer, I think even JB said that it would be warmer.  My guess on a Philly board was 37.  I might have went too low.

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Just now, FPizz said:

I pretty much didn't see any long range forecasts that said less 90s this summer, I think even JB said that it would be warmer.  My guess on a Philly board was 37.  I might have went too low.

I mean if even JB is going above normal then you pretty much know lol...

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I went to sleep last night when I saw the line was weakening, but I did receive .08" here. A shower but not enough to help. Looking forward to hopefully getting much more significant rain tomorrow into Saturday. Very dry here so we really need it. 

In the meantime it's nice to get a little break in the humidity today. Feels more comfortable out there with the dew point down to 65 here. 

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1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

I went to sleep last night when I saw the line was weakening, but I did receive .08" here. A shower but not enough to help. Looking forward to hopefully getting much more significant rain tomorrow into Saturday. Very dry here so we really need it. 

In the meantime it's nice to get a little break in the humidity today. Feels more comfortable out there with the dew point down to 65 here. 

81/67 here. Not too bad.

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2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

Cut off low SW of Bermuda will pushed and ride the expanding ridge, enhancing rainfall Fri/Sat?

These weak lows which develop in the tropics can really deliver some very heavy rains as they come north.


IMG_0432.thumb.png.1efb7c43f8d7eadc7659be703cc4f35b.png

IMG_0433.thumb.png.0e654d2dd404df79c8ce89cf73f539c3.png
 


IMG_0434.png.b99001413f9d14ca831ea813f719ca18.png

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31 minutes ago, bluewave said:

These weak lows which develop in the tropics can really deliver some very heavy rains as they come north.


 


 


 

That Atantic ridge is forecast to soar to a >630DM 500MB height and act like a proverbial wall as the boundary has waves of moisture ride up it.  Would think we have some +6 inches jack pots in the MA

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1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

That Atantic ridge is forecast to soar to a >630DM 500MB height and act like a proverbial wall as the boundary has waves of moisture ride up it.  Would think we have some +6 inches jack pots in the MA

Especially the areas that get the best training. 
 

IMG_0435.thumb.jpeg.0f8550fc2d401b4b90726eecae7ddb55.jpeg

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5 minutes ago, FPizz said:

That is mostly before noon on Saturday then drying out a bit?

Yeah, this is the SPC HREF max potential through 12z Saturday since it only runs out 48 hrs. But if the WAR verifies stronger, then the front could slow down and linger past 12z especially the further to the east you get. The 0z and 12z runs tomorrow should be more definitive on the timing as it get with in the more reliable  range. 

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Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
243 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

DEZ001-NJZ009-010-012-013-015>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-120900-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0007.240712T1000Z-240713T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
New Castle-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Mercer-
Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Delaware-
Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-
Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Pottstown, Flemington, Lansdale, Kennett
Square, Chalfont, Norristown, Collegeville, Perkasie, Honey
Brook, Mount Holly, Doylestown, Oxford, Freehold, Wilmington,
Media, Camden, Philadelphia, Moorestown, West Chester,
Somerville, Glassboro, New Brunswick, Trenton, Morrisville,
Cherry Hill, and Pennsville
243 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Delaware, including the following
  area, New Castle, New Jersey, including the following areas,
  Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Northwestern
  Burlington, Salem, Somerset and Western Monmouth, and southeast
  Pennsylvania, including the following areas, Delaware, Eastern
  Chester, Eastern Montgomery, Lower Bucks, Philadelphia, Upper
  Bucks, Western Chester and Western Montgomery.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
  Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur
  in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be
  flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread showers and thunderstorms combined with tropical
    moisture will result in areas of heavy rainfall across the
    watch area from Friday morning through Saturday. Rainfall
    rates may exceed 1 to 2 inches per hour. Forecast rainfall
    amounts range from about 1 to 2 inches, however localized
    amounts near 3 to 4 inches are possible.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$


 

 

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3 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

There was a MET here who argued for cooler-said something about the jet stream being displaced south or something like that....

Also that we would only see 6-10 90+ days was something I saw a lot of. And that most of the heat would be over the top. I guess the heat is over the top as in insanely hot and humid. 

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17 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Euro is also similiar . Slightly west with the heavier rain.

The Euro has a pretty slow frontal passage with the record WAR so convection lingers into the afternoon.

IMG_0437.thumb.png.7b1e13457a0201a16755911a216c47da.png

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