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2 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Euro peaks around 100 next Wednesday 

It might actually be right this time since it’s the first time that the GFS was warmer with a long range heat wave forecast than the Euro.

 

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35 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Now over 40mph at both. As a result temps in the low 80s. Must be an all out sandstorm on the beaches.

Crazy windy here. Like a tropical storm

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36 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Now over 40mph at both. As a result temps in the low 80s. Must be an all out sandstorm on the beaches.

Farmingdale gusted to 44!!! That’s insane for a random sea breeze day. 

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50 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Farmingdale gusted to 44!!! That’s insane for a random sea breeze day. 

It’s pretty rare to get gusts over 40 mph with dew points over 75° outside a tropical storm or hurricane. 
 

Kennedy Intl   PTSUNNY   83  75  77 S28G43 
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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Interesting cloud street pattern over LI and CT with the strong winds and high dew points. 
 

IMG_0427.thumb.jpeg.b97cb961bb15604bdb41094652e01fcb.jpeg

Up here on the N Shore low scud clouds racing north. Even here no chance at real heat with S flow this strong and starting off with thick low clouds. And any storms/convection will be long killed off before getting anywhere near here so the dry spell continues. 

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On 7/6/2024 at 5:38 PM, gravitylover said:

What a rotten setup considering that we're headed to Provincetown and staying in a beachfront room for the week. Can't say I'm surprised :huh:

 

On 7/6/2024 at 5:52 PM, bluewave said:

The Euro still has numerous days here next week with PWATS in the 2.0 to 2.5 range. So moisture and heavy convection with beryls remnants could extend further east than what that model is printing out.

 

On 7/6/2024 at 7:44 PM, qg_omega said:

Looks like a great summer week and dry, perfect week for the beach with Miami vibes

 

On 7/6/2024 at 10:17 PM, gravitylover said:

There are some parallels between the two... Yeah, I'm not feeling the great dry week is what's coming.

Was I wrong on the beach week?

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Some showers or thundershowers are possible tomorrow. It will turn slightly cooler before heat begins to return during the weekend. The beginning of next week could be hot and humid.

In parts of California, Nevada, and Arizona, a severe long-duration and dangerous heatwave continues. Las Vegas topped out at 118°, its third highest figure on record. Las Vegas also reached 115° or above for a record fifth consecutive day. Needles reached 122°.

The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead.  

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.3°C for the week centered around July 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.62°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.20°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late summer or early fall.

The SOI was -15.70 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.321 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 78% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.9° (2.4° above normal).

 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 105 (1993)
NYC: 102 (1993)
LGA: 99 (1993)
JFK: 100 (1993)


Lows:

EWR:  58 (2009)
NYC: 55 (1890)
LGA: 60 (1953)
JFK: 58 (2009)



Historical:

 

1911: The mercury hit 105 degrees at North Bridgton, Maine the hottest reading of record for Maine. North Bridgton also reached 105 degrees on the 4th of July in 1911.

1913 - The mercury hit 134 degrees at Greenland Ranch in Death Valley, CA, the hottest reading of record for the North American continent. Sandstorm conditions accompanied the heat. The high the previous day was 129 degrees, following a morning low of 93 degrees. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1926 - A lightning bolt struck an ammunition magazine in northern New Jersey, and a big red ball of fire leaped into the air triggering a series of explosions. All buildings within a half mile radius were destroyed, and debris fell as far as twenty-two miles away. Sixteen persons were killed, and property damage was seventy million dollars. (David Ludlum)

1936 - Afternoon highs of 112 degrees at Martinsburg, WV, 109 degrees at Cumberland, MD, and Frederick, MD, 110 degrees at Runyon, NJ, and 111 degrees at Phoenixville, PA, established all-time record highs for those four states. It was the hottest day of record for the Middle Atlantic Coast Region. (The Weather Channel)

1979 - The temperature at El Paso, TX, hit 112 degrees, an all-time record for that location. The next day was 110 degrees. (The Weather Channel)

1980 - The temperature in downtown Kansas City, MO, hit 109 degrees, following a sultry overnight low of 89 degrees. The daily low of 89 degrees was the warmest of record for Kansas City, and overall it was the hottest July day of record. It was the seventh of a record seventeen consecutive days of 100 degree heat, and the mean temperature for the month of 90.2 degrees was also an all-time record for Kansas City.

1987 - An early morning thunderstorm in Minnesota produced wind gusts to 91 mph at Waseca. Later that day, thunderstorms in South Dakota produced wind gusts to 81 mph at Ipswitch, and baseball size hail near Hayes and Capa. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms brought welcome rains to parts of the central U.S., but produced severe weather along the New England coast, in the Great Lakes Region, in North Carolina, and in the Southern Plateau Region. Strong thunderstorm winds gusting to 80 mph at Bullfrog, UT, sank three boats on Lake Powell. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Severe thunderstorms spawned seventeen tornadoes in the northeastern U.S. A powerful (F-4) tornado struck Hamden CT and New Haven, CT, causing 100 million dollars damage at Hamden, and another 20 million dollars damage around New Haven. Forty persons were injured in the tornado. Seventy persons were injured in a tornado which traveled from Watertown, CT, to Waterbury, CT, and another powerful (F-4) tornado touched down near Ames NY injuring twenty persons along its 43.5 mile track. It was the strongest tornado of record for eastern New York State. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

2005 - Hurricane Dennis landed near Pensacola, Florida as a category 3 storm. Maximum sustained winds at the time of landfall were near 120 mph. There were nine hurricane-related fatalities in the U.S. and preliminary estimates of insured losses ranged from $1 to $1.5 billion.

 

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