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9 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

And Euro not very impressed with later this week. It does finally give us some rain Friday night. 

Yeah the fact it's not on board makes me pause. Nam wasn't either but it's out of it's range. We'll see

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3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yeah the fact it's not on board makes me pause. Nam wasn't either but it's out of it's range. We'll see

The bermuda high is pushing west so the ring of fire is N and W

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33 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

So it's the hottest summer on record, even though it's only July 8th?  Get back to me in two months.

It's a hot start to summer, but let the rest play out.

Yeah, sometimes August turns cooler, but the past few July's have been brutal

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6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

The bermuda high is pushing west so the ring of fire is N and W

Yep, pushes too far west and we will be left on the drier side.  Latest WPC still rather wet from city west into NJ.  Central L.I. on eastward not so much.  Will need another day or two to see how this plays out.  Seems overall though the guidance has been trending to push the wettest area to the left.  Not rooting for flooding rains but I'd just like an inch or so between now and Friday night to keep things watered.  I should be able to get it out this way.

Screenshot 2024-07-08 at 2.23.31 PM.jpg

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40 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Yep, pushes too far west and we will be left on the drier side.  Latest WPC still rather wet from city west into NJ.  Central L.I. on eastward not so much.  Will need another day or two to see how this plays out.  Seems overall though the guidance has been trending to push the wettest area to the left.  Not rooting for flooding rains but I'd just like an inch or so between now and Friday night to keep things watered.  I should be able to get it out this way.

Screenshot 2024-07-08 at 2.23.31 PM.jpg

I'll be heading outside to water the garden shortly. I didn't even get a half inch of rain last week, so it has become dry here again.

It looks likely that the rain is gonna miss me to the west on Wednesday, although you might have a better shot at seeing something there in NW Jersey. If some of the latest models are correct, a lot of the area might have to wait until late Friday for a better chance. Looks as if I might have to do a lot of watering this week since we might not see much until the end of the week. With the very high humidity, I'm hopeful that we'll see some downpours that give us the 1 to 2 inches that we want to give everything a nice watering at the end of the week. 

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6 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

I'll be heading outside to water the garden shortly. I didn't even get a half inch of rain last week, so it has become dry here again.

It looks likely that the rain is gonna miss me to the west on Wednesday, although you might have a better shot at seeing something there in NW Jersey. If some of the latest models are correct, a lot of the area might have to wait until late Friday for a better chance. Looks as if I might have to do a lot of watering this week since we might not see much until the end of the week. With the very high humidity, I'm hopeful that we'll see some downpours that give us the 1 to 2 inches that we want to give everything a nice watering at the end of the week. 

Quickly turning into a dry week, unfortunately. Hopefully the stalled front moves west as we get closer for Friday. I think it has a shot with the ridge flexing 

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JFK is approaching its longest under 100° streak due to all the high pressure east of New England with our heat waves resulting in more onshore flow.

 

Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 100 
for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Period of record: 1948-07-17 to 2024-07-07
1 4016 1999-07-06 through 2010-07-03
2 4009 1972-07-24 through 1983-07-15
3 4007 2013-07-19 through 2024-07-07
4 3610 1983-08-21 through 1993-07-08
5 2210 1966-07-05 through 1972-07-22
6 2185 1993-07-11 through 1999-07-04
7 963 1960-05-02 through 1962-12-20
8 857 1955-03-18 through 1957-07-21
9 817 1951-11-07 through 1954-01-31
10 736 1948-08-28 through 1950-09-02
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1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Quickly turning into a dry week, unfortunately. Hopefully the stalled front moves west as we get closer for Friday. I think it has a shot with the ridge flexing 

even the 2 inches we got here Saturday has long dried up.  Sun really does a number this time of year.

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5 minutes ago, bluewave said:

JFK is approaching its longest under 100° streak due to all the high pressure east of New England with our heat waves resulting in more onshore flow.

 

 

Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 100 
for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Period of record: 1948-07-17 to 2024-07-07
1 4016 1999-07-06 through 2010-07-03
2 4009 1972-07-24 through 1983-07-15
3 4007 2013-07-19 through 2024-07-07
4 3610 1983-08-21 through 1993-07-08
5 2210 1966-07-05 through 1972-07-22
6 2185 1993-07-11 through 1999-07-04
7 963 1960-05-02 through 1962-12-20
8 857 1955-03-18 through 1957-07-21
9 817 1951-11-07 through 1954-01-31
10 736 1948-08-28 through 1950-09-02

It's not possible for JFK to have had so many 100+ readings in the early decades. I suspect if you looked at the station metadata, it was installed on a rooftop. Without some sort of correction or adjustment, hard to draw any sort of conclusion about the trend in 100+ heat at JFK.

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Just now, TheClimateChanger said:

It's not possible for JFK to have had so many 100+ readings in the early decades. I suspect if you looked at the station metadata, it was installed on a rooftop. Without some sort of correction or adjustment, hard to draw any sort of conclusion about the trend in 100+ heat at JFK.

Edit: Confirmed. We can see the extreme thermometers were installed on a roof of the Administration Building through December 18, 1957, then on a rooftop of the International Arrival Building through at least May 26, 1961. A hygrothermometer was first installed 3400' south of the International Arrival Building at an appropriate 4' AGL on May 26, 1961. Prior to that installation, all of the readings were noncompliant, rooftop readings.

image.thumb.png.38f695d6c8ffa79d508a35e61b4140cb.png

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1 minute ago, TheClimateChanger said:

It's not possible for JFK to have had so many 100+ readings in the early decades. I suspect if you looked at the station metadata, it was installed on a rooftop. Without some sort of correction or adjustment, hard to draw any sort of conclusion about the trend in 100+ heat at JFK.

JFK needs westerly flow to reach 100°. Most of our heatwaves over the last decade have had too much southerly flow component due to the elongation of the subtropical ridge to the east of New England. It could also be that they moved the location of the ASOS back in the 1990s. Remember that JFK is the 9th largest airport in the U.S. at 8.1 sq miles. The current ASOS is located in a marshy area close to Woodmere in the 5 towns area of Long Island. The section of the airport closer to Ozone Park is at least 3-5° warmer. If the old weather station was located closer to that area it could also show another way JFK is getting more sea breeze influence in its readings. 

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40 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Central park with a season high 95 / 94 et EWR

The only time NYC can beat Newark these days is on an easterly flow which gives Newark a cooling bay breeze. 

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Portions of Central NJ have already entered the top 10 for most 95° days and it’s only July 8th.

 

Time Series Summary for HIGHTSTOWN 2 W, NJ - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2002 17 0
2 1955 16 8
3 1953 14 0
4 2021 13 0
- 2018 13 1
- 2016 13 2
- 2010 13 4
- 1988 13 0
- 1949 13 0
5 2022 12 2
- 1999 12 0
- 1944 12 1
6 2020 11 0
- 1895 11 11
7 1983 10 0
- 1911 10 0
- 1894 10 12
8 2012 9 1
- 1966 9 0
- 1963 9 1
- 1929 9 2
9 2024 8 179
- 1957 8 0
- 1936 8 2
- 1933 8 19
- 1930 8 1
- 1910 8 0
- 1896 8 9
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9 hours ago, winterwarlock said:

oh please no it isnt...for starters it took forever to actually get a 90 degree this year....also 2years ago we were searing with no rain and days and days of upper 90s and sometimes 100

 

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Portions of Central NJ have already entered the top 10 for most 95° days and it’s only July 8th.

 

Time Series Summary for HIGHTSTOWN 2 W, NJ - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2002 17 0
2 1955 16 8
3 1953 14 0
4 2021 13 0
- 2018 13 1
- 2016 13 2
- 2010 13 4
- 1988 13 0
- 1949 13 0
5 2022 12 2
- 1999 12 0
- 1944 12 1
6 2020 11 0
- 1895 11 11
7 1983 10 0
- 1911 10 0
- 1894 10 12
8 2012 9 1
- 1966 9 0
- 1963 9 1
- 1929 9 2
9 2024 8 179
- 1957 8 0
- 1936 8 2
- 1933 8 19
- 1930 8 1
- 1910 8 0
- 1896 8 9

Don't you live in Central Jersey, Warlock?

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