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31 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The sea breeze has been boosting the mins due to higher dew points  and muting the maxes in terms of 90° days near the coast. Even Newark has fallen behind years in the lead for 90° days by July 24th. Harrison a few miles away from the bay has gotten close to the top. JFK is only in 15th place for 90° days by July 24th at 2 days. A year like 2010 with all the westerly flow was in 1st place with 20 days already. Newark is in 5th place and Harrison 2nd place. Only Central NJ is keeping pace with 2010 in 1st place.


Max # 90 days by July 24th 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2010-07-24 20 0
2 1983-07-24 14 0
3 1991-07-24 13 0
4 2012-07-24 12 0
- 2002-07-24 12 0
6 1952-07-24 11 0
7 2022-07-24 10 0
- 2011-07-24 10 0
- 1966-07-24 10 0
- 1962-07-24 10 0
- 1955-07-24 10 2
- 1949-07-24 10 0
8 2013-07-24 9 0
- 1999-07-24 9 0
- 1993-07-24 9 0
- 1988-07-24 9 0
- 1987-07-24 9 0
- 1974-07-24 9 0
9 2017-07-24 8 0
- 2003-07-24 8 0
- 1997-07-24 8 0
- 1986-07-24 8 0
- 1984-07-24 8 0
- 1971-07-24 8 0
- 1963-07-24 8 0
10 2020-07-24 7 0
- 2016-07-24 7 0
- 2008-07-24 7 0
- 1994-07-24 7 0
- 1981-07-24 7 0
- 1977-07-24 7 0
- 1969-07-24 7 0
- 1968-07-24 7 0
- 1964-07-24 7 0
11 2019-07-24 6 0
- 2005-07-24 6 0
- 1992-07-24 6 0
- 1972-07-24 6 0
- 1957-07-24 6 0
12 2021-07-24 5 0
- 1995-07-24 5 0
- 1990-07-24 5 0
- 1978-07-24 5 0
- 1961-07-24 5 0
- 1956-07-24 5 0
- 1954-07-24 5 1
- 1953-07-24 5 0
13 2006-07-24 4 0
- 2000-07-24 4 0
- 1970-07-24 4 0
- 1965-07-24 4 0
- 1959-07-24 4 2
14 2018-07-24 3 0
- 2001-07-24 3 0
- 1998-07-24 3 0
- 1996-07-24 3 0
- 1989-07-24 3 0
- 1982-07-24 3 0
- 1980-07-24 3 0
- 1976-07-24 3 0
- 1973-07-24 3 0
15 2024-07-24 2 0
- 2015-07-24 2 0
- 2007-07-24 2 0
- 1975-07-24 2 0
- 1958-07-24 2 1


Newark in 5th place

 

 

 Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2010-07-24 32 0
2 1993-07-24 28 0
- 1987-07-24 28 0
3 2022-07-24 27 0
- 1994-07-24 27 0
- 1991-07-24 27 0
4 2021-07-24 25 0
5 2024-07-24 23 0
- 2011-07-24 23 0
- 2002-07-24 23 0


 

Time Series Summary for HARRISON, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2010-07-24 31 17
2 2024-07-24 28 0
3 2002-07-24 26 5
4 2021-07-24 24 0
- 2012-07-24 24 21
- 2011-07-24 24 14
5 2018-07-24 23 0


 

Time Series Summary for HIGHTSTOWN 2 W, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2024-07-24 27 8
- 2010-07-24 27 0
3 2021-07-24 25 0
4 2022-07-24 23 0
- 1988-07-24 23 0
- 1957-07-24 23 0
- 1894-07-24 23 11
5 2020-07-24 22 0
- 2012-07-24 22 1
- 1952-07-24 22 0

 

 

How does Montana get temps close to 110 and we can't even manage 95 lol.

Look at Glasgow, MT.... wow....

 

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9 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

How does Montana get temps close to 110 and we can't even manage 95 lol.

Look at Glasgow, MT.... wow....

 

Downslope from numerous wind directions there and no large body of water to modify the air. 

As someone who lived in a place where it’s 100+ almost every day in the summer, trust me you don’t want to be part of that unless you’re a masochist. 

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11 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Downslope from numerous wind directions there and no large body of water to modify the air. 

As someone who lived in a place where it’s 100+ almost every day in the summer, trust me you don’t want to be part of that unless you’re a masochist. 

with low humidity it would be much better than this soup

Not 110, but 100-105 in 20% humidity

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20 hours ago, MANDA said:

What a waste of a soupy moisture laden air mass.  Have about .30" to show for it.   :thumbsdown::thumbsdown::thumbsdown:

Not even a tenth of an inch for the week here. Very frustrating. Big bust since the Monday night through Thursday period was advertised as a wet period, but we know that storms in the summer tend to be hit or miss. NWS went way overboard with the 60% to 70% chance. 

This was like 2 weeks ago when there was a forecasted wet period that busted, but the difference that time was my area ended up getting lucky and got hit by heavy rain in the days after the forecasted wet period when there was only a slight chance. This time there won't be any chance at all with dry air in place for several days starting on Friday. I'll be watering the vegetable garden a lot. 

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4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

you want this soup? its hard to breathe.

I wish I had the power to evaporate the atlantic and the gulf of mexico and suck all that moisture to Mars

Enjoy the next few days then. Humidity will be much lower. 

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5 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Not even a tenth of an inch for the week here. Very frustrating. Big bust since the Monday night through Thursday period was advertised as a wet period, but we know that storms in the summer tend to be hit or miss. NWS went way overboard with the 60% to 70% chance. 

This was like 2 weeks ago when there was a forecasted wet period that busted, but the difference that time was my area ended up getting lucky and got hit by heavy rain in the days after the forecasted wet period when there was only a slight chance. This time there won't be any chance at all with dry air in place for several days starting on Friday. I'll be watering the vegetable garden a lot. 

Such a disappointing amount of rainfall this week.  Yup, will be watering here as well.  Going to be dry into mid next week.  My hopes are raised for a wetter period late next week into the following week.  A ways off though so we'll see.  Latest Drought Monitor shows the dryness across NJ.

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10 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

you want this soup? its hard to breathe.

I wish I had the power to evaporate the atlantic and the gulf of mexico and suck all that moisture to Mars

Winds are turning NW now so humidity should be decreasing. Tomorrow looks much better. 

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18 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

with low humidity it would be much better than this soup

Not 110, but 100-105 in 20% humidity

Yeah, 110F with 15-20% humidity, a 20-mph breeze, and a thick pall of acrid smoke greatly dimming the sun/solar radiation probably would not feel that bad tbh.

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41 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Chris do you think being in a semiurban community near the south shore mutes the effect of the sea breeze?

I have counted 5 days in the 90s this year so far, 2 in June and 3 in July.... how does JFK have none in July? I'm 2.5 miles from the ocean.

 

The JFK ASOS is closer to the water than your area is. When I used to live in Long Beach it could be 85° but closer to 90° from Sunrise to Southern State. So the 90° counts steadily increase away from the immediate shoreline.

 

IMG_0608.thumb.jpeg.0f332d3f5bc566b8858057a19afebaf1.jpeg

 

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16 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Not even a tenth of an inch for the week here. Very frustrating. Big bust since the Monday night through Thursday period was advertised as a wet period, but we know that storms in the summer tend to be hit or miss. NWS went way overboard with the 60% to 70% chance. 

This was like 2 weeks ago when there was a forecasted wet period that busted, but the difference that time was my area ended up getting lucky and got hit by heavy rain in the days after the forecasted wet period when there was only a slight chance. This time there won't be any chance at all with dry air in place for several days starting on Friday. I'll be watering the vegetable garden a lot. 

Took Upton a long time to reduce the rain chances-they stuck with a bullish forecast too long.  We got an inch here Monday night but other than that almost nothing.

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4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The JFK ASOS is closer to the water than your area is. When I used to live in Long Beach it could be 85° but closer to 90° from Sunrise to Southern State. So the 90° counts steadily increase away from the immediate shoreline.

 

IMG_0608.thumb.jpeg.0f332d3f5bc566b8858057a19afebaf1.jpeg

 

I'm actually 5 min south of Sunrise Hwy and we're still hotter than JFK-- we hit 90-91 when JFK is stuck between 86-89.

Our highest temps are around 1 PM

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11 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Such a disappointing amount of rainfall this week.  Yup, will be watering here as well.  Going to be dry into mid next week.  My hopes are raised for a wetter period late next week into the following week.  A ways off though so we'll see.  Latest Drought Monitor shows the dryness across NJ.

 

It is a loser to endure mainly cloudy skies and not have the rain or storms, might as well hae been sunny.   Cut off low backing NW Tue could trigger some storms.

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4 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

It is a loser to endure mainly cloudy skies and not have the rain or storms, might as well hae been sunny.   Cut off low backing NW Tue could trigger some storms.

i do not mind keeps the temp down in the heart of summer heat..

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2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I'm actually 5 min south of Sunrise Hwy and we're still hotter than JFK-- we hit 90-91 when JFK is stuck between 86-89.

Our highest temps are around 1 PM

I used to live 2 blocks from the beach in Long Beach. There were days when it was 85° at my old place and almost 90° from Atlantic ave in Oceanside to Sunrise highway. Then many more 90° days in SW Nassau north of the Southern State. Mineola is probably one of the hottest spots on Long Island very close to the Queens border. I believe the 52 days reaching 90 in 2010 is probably the all-time record for Long Island. It was very competitive with Newark that summer due to the frequent westerly flow.

 

Time Series Summary for MINEOLA, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2010 52 0
2 1988 34 50
3 2002 33 0
4 2005 32 2
5 1999 27 10
- 1991 27 0


 

Data for January 1, 2010 through December 31, 2010
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 59
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 54
NY MINEOLA COOP 52
NJ RINGWOOD COOP 51
NJ HARRISON COOP 50
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1 minute ago, bluewave said:

I used to live 2 blocks from the beach in Long Beach. There were days when it was 85° at my old place and almost 90° from Atlantic ave in Oceanside to Sunrise highway. Then many more 90° days in SW Nassau north of the Southern State. Mineola is probably one of the hottest spots on Long Island very close to the Queens border. I believe the 52 days reaching 90 in 2010 is probably the all-time record for Long Island. It was very competitive with Newark that summer due to the frequent westerly flow.

 

Time Series Summary for MINEOLA, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2010 52 0
2 1988 34 50
3 2002 33 0
4 2005 32 2
5 1999 27 10
- 1991 27 0


 

Data for January 1, 2010 through December 31, 2010
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 59
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 54
NY MINEOLA COOP 52
NJ RINGWOOD COOP 51
NJ HARRISON COOP 50

and Mineola hit 109 in 2011 didn't they?

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2 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

and Mineola hit 109 in 2011 didn't they?

It was July 2010 with the 108° reading. July 2011 was missing and the station shut down several months later. July 2010 was the all-time high and the all-time low was -5° in 1943 but they got close in 1994.
 

Monthly Highest Max Temperature for MINEOLA, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
2024 M M M M
2023 M M M M
2022 M M M M
2021 M M M M
2020 M M M M
2019 M M M M
2018 M M M M
2017 M M M M
2016 M M M M
2015 M M M M
2014 M M M M
2013 M M M M
2012 M M M M
2011 96 M 94 96
2010 101 108 99 108


 

Time Series Summary for MINEOLA, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2010 108 0
2 2001 105 32
3 1999 103 10
- 1966 103 0
4 1988 102 50
- 1975 102 1
- 1948 102 1
5 2002 101 0
- 1973 101 0
- 1968 101 0
- 1952 101 0
6 2006 100 1
- 1993 100 8
- 1991 100 0
- 1957 100 12
- 1955 100 3


 

Time Series Summary for MINEOLA, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1943 -5 0
2 1994 -4 3
3 1942 -2 0
4 1983 -1 91
- 1976 -1 3
- 1961 -1 2
5 1979 0 22
- 1948 0 2
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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

The JFK ASOS is closer to the water than your area is. When I used to live in Long Beach it could be 85° but closer to 90° from Sunrise to Southern State. So the 90° counts steadily increase away from the immediate shoreline.

 

IMG_0608.thumb.jpeg.0f332d3f5bc566b8858057a19afebaf1.jpeg

 

 Numerous times driving up to the Roosevelt Field area/Mineola and having the window down in Long Beach to needing to blast the AC up there. Especially in April-June. 

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9 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

 Numerous times driving up to the Roosevelt Field area/Mineola and having the window down in Long Beach to needing to blast the AC up there. Especially in April-June. 

Definitely. Driving the Meadowbrook north you always felt it getting warmer once past Merrrick Road and especially once north of the Southern State. The opposite was true in the winter. Left Long Beach many times with rain and had the snow start mixing in north of Merrick road. 

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55 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Definitely. Driving the Meadowbrook north you always felt it getting warmer once past Merrrick Road and especially once north of the Southern State. The opposite was true in the winter. Left Long Beach many times with rain and had the snow start mixing in north of Merrick road. 

Don’t remind me about the R/S line nightmares. At least now in this perma-Nina we’re all suffering. 

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30 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Don’t remind me about the R/S line nightmares. At least now in this perma-Nina we’re all suffering. 

Valentines Day 2007 was one of the more unusual frozen precip patterns I ever saw in the area. Started as heavy sleet across Nassau enough to collapse a gas station canopy in Island Park. Then it turned to steady freezing rain south of Sunrise with a .25 to .50 accumulation on the trees and wires in Long Beach. No freezing rain from north of sunrise. So it was the only ice storm to get limited to the immediate South Shore.

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A veil of thin wildfire smoke is moving through the region. That area of smoke will be driven well offshore overnight.

Generally near normal readings will prevail through the week. Warmer air will begin to arrive to close the weekend. There is some potential that the month could end on a hot note. Heat will likely return during the first week in August.

The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead. Some of the extended range guidance suggests that August could be warmer to much warmer than normal.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.2°C for the week centered around July 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.25°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late summer or early fall.

The SOI was +14.22 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.803 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 96% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.8° (2.3° above normal). That would tie 2024 with 2013 as the 10th hottest July on record.

 

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