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Another very well defined sea breeze front with the 100° heat in NJ Monday and Tuesday.  Very impressive dew point pooling just east of the front into the upper 70s to around 80°. The timing of the front on Wednesday will determine if NJ can make it 3 in a row for the 100° heat. 
 

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Another very well defined sea breeze front with the 100° heat in NJ Monday and Tuesday.  Very impressive dew point pooling just east of the front into the upper 70s to around 80°. The timing of the front on Wednesday will determine if NJ can make it 3 in a row for the 100° heat. 
 

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IMG_0484.thumb.png.2d73355921e7740d4bf958b6ab7dde96.png


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Probably another ferocious 40+ mph Ambrose Jet setup on that map.

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 100 (1966)
NYC: 101 (1966)
LGA: 99 (1966)
JFK: 94 (1992)

 

Lows:

EWR: 57 (1940)
NYC: 54 (1888)
LGA: 58 (1990)
JFK: 58 (1990)

 

Historical:

1895 - A tornado struck Cherry Hill in New Jersey causing fifty thousand dollars damage. It also descended into the Harlem and Woodhaven areas of New York City killing one person, and finally ended as a waterspout in Jamaica Bay. (David Ludlum)

1951: Rivers across eastern Kansas crest well above flood stage, causing the most significant destruction from flooding in the Midwestern United States at that time. Five-hundred-thousand people were left homeless, and 24 people died in the disaster. Click HERE for more information from the History Channel. 

1975 - Dover, DE, was deluged with 8.50 inches of rain to establish a 24 hour record for the state. (The Weather Channel)

1977 - Lightning struck a key electrical transmission line in Westchester County of southeastern New York State plunging New York City into darkness. (David Ludlum)

1980 - Afternoon highs of 108 degrees at Memphis, TN, 108 degrees at Macon, GA, and 105 degrees at Atlanta, GA, established all-time records for those three cities. The high of 110 degrees at Newington, GA, was just two degrees shy of the state record. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Unseasonably cool weather prevailed across the Midwest. Ten cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Casper, WY, with a reading of 39 degrees. By way of contrast, record heat was reported in the eastern U.S., with highs of 93 degrees at Burlington, VT, and 101 degrees around Miami, FL. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - There were just three reports of severe weather across the country, and just one record high temperature reported. Thunderstorms brought much needed rains to the Tennessee Valley area, producing nine inches at Senatobia, MS. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - A thunderstorm at Albany, GA, produced 1.40 inches of rain in forty minutes, along with wind gusts to 82 mph. Afternoon highs of 98 degrees at Corpus Christi, TX, 110 degrees at Tucson, AZ, and 114 degrees at Phoenix, AZ, equalled records for the date. Greenwood, MS, reported 55.65 inches of precipitation for the year, twice the amount normally received by mid July. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

 

 

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13 hours ago, jm1220 said:

Probably another ferocious 40+ mph Ambrose Jet setup on that map.

Yeah. The HRRR has 102° in NJ with lower dew points and much higher dew points east of NYC with a very strong sea breeze. So another very well defined sea breeze front. Areas north of the LIE from Huntington to Commack may make it to 95° before the sea breeze arrives with dews in the 70s. Very high heat indices possible near your area over 100°.

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84 / 70 The heat is on.  Some locations started the next heat spell yesterday, other just missed, today most get there.  Heat peakingg with a blast of 850 MB temps of >20C and with enough clear conditions send temps to the upper 90s / low 100s. Chance of storms both Mon and Tue look widely scattered and more to the north.  Main front comes through Wed evening with more widespread storms with a break in the heat by Thu (7/18) - Sat (7/20), before ridging pushes warm + humid air north next weekend.  GFS more of a push of the Atlantic ridge and the euro more caught bewtween, overall warm to hot beyond the 20th.

7/13 - 7/17 : Hot, potential strong (95+) heat with locations near 100 or higher, scattered storms - front late7/17
7/18 - 7/20 : Break in the heat
7/21 - beyond : Overall warm - hot / humid - perhaps increased storm chances - watch tropics.

 

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Heaviest rains focused in the MA/SE the next week/7days.  Most of what is forecast for NJ/NYC comes Wed evening/night with the front but some scattered storms Sun night / Mon as well.

 

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