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1 minute ago, Tatamy said:

This looks like a 10 minute downpour with a few flashes of lightning.

I’ve had 0.25” of rain so far this month. I would take it. 

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21 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

I am at 0.74” for the month.  Maybe I make it over an inch with this for the month.  Models kill it not long after it passes the Delaware.

I'm at 0.67" for the month. Hoping for a quick soaking in Warren County, anything at this point. 

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4 minutes ago, Pequest said:

I'm at 0.67" for the month. Hoping for a quick soaking in Warren County, anything at this point. 

This is a big time lightning producer currently.  My Tempest has detected over 560 strokes in the past 40 minutes.  We’ll see how long it continues in this pulse up mode.

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Our heatwave will be delayed several days due to this record ridge being further east than average. But we will probably see 95-100° heat by early next week in NJ. Remember the last ridge amplification in late June also had the main heat delayed by several days.

 

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13 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Was hoping dew points would be a little lower today in the 60s just for one day. So much for that. 

It was 94% humidity around 6:30am here. As of late, each morning starts out in the 90s. 

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4 hours ago, SRRTA22 said:

I don't actually wish that, just a joke. I'm excited about this warmer climate.

I know, I was saying it more tongue in cheek, because it just shows the irony of how people who root for one thing get upset when others root for the opposite.

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77 / 67 partly cloudy 0.04 in the bucket.  A few degrees off the last two days but should still get the warm spots to 90s.  Two day refrain from the heat Fri (7/12) and Sat (7/13) as the Atlantics ridge western extent  butts up against boundary and southerly tropical flow leads to some drnching rains.   Heat back Sun (7/14) - Wed (7/17) with peak heat Tue (7/16) and wed with a blast of  850 temps  of > 20C.   Looks like some storm potential on Monday may limit the stronger heat mid-upper 90s, but we'll see the timing.

 

Break in the heat Thu (7/18) into next weekend ahead of next round as western heat pushes east.

 

7/11 : Hot / humid storms
7/12 - 7/13 :  Storms - potential drenchers +2.00
7/14 - 7/17 : Hot, mid - upper 90s - potential 100 degree readings Tue and Wed ahead of front/trouh
7/18 - 7/21 : Repreive from heat - near normal
7/22 and beyond : Overall warm to hot - next push of heat from west 

 

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

 

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Parts of Central NJ are approaching their all-time record highest number of 95° days in a year. Hightstown already has 11 days and it’s only July 10th. The all-time record in a year was set in 2002 at 17 days. They will be getting close to that seasonal record next week following the next round of 95°+ major heat. Hillsborough-Duke is close with 10 days reaching 95° so far. Newark has only 5 days due to the frequent cooling bay breezes there this summer with so much onshore flow. Harrison a few miles further away from Newark Bay has 7.

 

Time Series Summary for HIGHTSTOWN 2 W, NJ - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2002 17 0
2 1955 16 8
3 1953 14 0
4 2021 13 0
- 2018 13 1
- 2016 13 2
- 2010 13 4
- 1988 13 0
- 1949 13 0
5 2022 12 2
- 1999 12 0
- 1944 12 1
6 2024 11 176
- 2020 11 0
- 1895 11 11
7 1983 10 0
- 1911 10 0
- 1894 10 12
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18 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Parts of Central NJ are approaching their all-time record highest number of 95° days in a year. Hightstown already has 11 days and it’s only July 10th. The all-time record in a year was set in 2002 at 17 days. They will be getting close to that seasonal record next week following the next round of 95°+ major heat. Hillsborough-Duke is close with 10 days reaching 95° so far. Newark has only 5 days due to the frequent cooling bay breezes there this summer with so much onshore flow. Harrison a few miles further away from Newark Bay has 7.

 

Time Series Summary for HIGHTSTOWN 2 W, NJ - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2002 17 0
2 1955 16 8
3 1953 14 0
4 2021 13 0
- 2018 13 1
- 2016 13 2
- 2010 13 4
- 1988 13 0
- 1949 13 0
5 2022 12 2
- 1999 12 0
- 1944 12 1
6 2024 11 176
- 2020 11 0
- 1895 11 11
7 1983 10 0
- 1911 10 0
- 1894 10 12

Which is why worst summer ever regarding heat/humidity is probably true.

Like you said it's only July 11th. Plenty more 95+ days next week before a short break. 

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17 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Which is why worst summer ever regarding heat/humidity is probably true.

Like you said it's only July 11th. Plenty more 95+ days next week before a short break. 

The highest heat index relative to past Julys is located in NJ so far this summer. FWN is off to their highest heat index July on record while ISP isn’t as impressive. Better dew point  pooling west of NYC and stronger sea breezes on Long Island. 
 

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=76&network=CT_ASOS&station=BDR&season=jul&varname=feel&agg=max&year=1893&w=bar&hours=0-23&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

IMG_0431.thumb.png.272727172abf2086794c3dfe3fb90c27.png
IMG_0430.thumb.png.d3866a6193088f7211773d11b8eae53c.png

 

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