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July 2024 Observations and Discussion


HoarfrostHubb
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4 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I don’t think the timing climo matters as much these days if we’re talking August. Just a few years ago we had Isaias in early August. You just need the right steering pattern and importantly…an actual system that’s developed. 

I wouldn’t summarily dismiss a US threat (even if not NE lol) with this lemon. This seems like a fairly classic case where models catch up to the likely more favorable conditions in the western Atlantic tied with a well timed CCKW passage. It’s not much today, but it’s definitely worth a casual watch right now imo. 

Yeah, folks were talking about a NE hurricane threat.  U.S. threat is possible of course.

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Let’s Dew this ! Go go go!

Monday to Tuesday...

A quasi-stationary upper low will slowly make its way into
southern New England in the early morning hours Monday, bringing
with it some general chances for showers. Chances for some
isolated thunderstorms look to start during the daytime hours
and could go into the evening. Rain chances linger throughout
the night, though, going into Tuesday where thunderstorm chances
return with daytime heating and southerly flow bringing up more
moisture to amp up instability a bit. High temperatures Monday
look to be in the upper 70s/lower 80s and dewpoints start to
climb back into the upper 60s, reaching the lower 70s Tuesday.
Highs Tuesday also look to be in the 80s, so the hot and humid
conditions will be returning.

The low looks to be moving out of our area Tuesday, but rain and
thunderstorm chances remain as another trough progresses east,
encouraging continued S to SW flow.

Wednesday through Saturday...

Another upper level trough moves east from the Great Lakes. Rain
chances become a daily presence through the rest of the week,
alongside higher temperatures and dew points, which look to be
sitting soundly in the 70s. Guidance -- both probabilistic ensemble
and deterministic -- has PWATs elevated close to 2" (with the ECMWF
being a bit more aggressive indicating PWATs up to 2.3" in some
spots along the South Coast) going into Wednesday and Thursday. This
looks to encourage possible heavy downpours around SNE. Diurnal
instability also favors these showers and storms primarily during
the afternoon and evening hours. Some of the guidance indicates
higher chances for showers and storms across interior MA on
Thursday, which will be something to monitor. Overall, looks to be
quite uncomfortable once again with heat indices possibly reaching
the mid to upper 90s for most of our area.

 

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Headed up to a car show at Weirs Beach today - Dad and an old Navy friend of his wanted to go and I didn't have anything planned, so I had them pick me up and take me along. Nice day for it for sure.

But damn, the perception of what makes a "cool car" really does swing wildly from generation to generation.

I couldn't peel my Dad away from the slew of C2 Corvettes they had there.

Meanwhile someone had brought a BMW Z8 that I couldn't take my eyes off of, ha!

Anyway...

If ya got a lot of money to blow and space to boot, do yourself a favor and buy a low mileage Testarossa, 348, F355, etc.

One day, those cars will be worth a lot of money,

And nostalgic Boomers will no longer be around to pay $400,000 for a mass-produced Chevy, lol. 

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22 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Headed up to a car show at Weirs Beach today - Dad and an old Navy friend of his wanted to go and I didn't have anything planned, so I had them pick me up and take me along. Nice day for it for sure.

But damn, the perception of what makes a "cool car" really does swing wildly from generation to generation.

I couldn't peel my Dad away from the slew of C2 Corvettes they had there.

Meanwhile someone had brought a BMW Z8 that I couldn't take my eyes off of, ha!

Anyway...

If ya got a lot of money to blow and space to boot, do yourself a favor and buy a low mileage Testarossa, 348, F355, etc.

One day, those cars will be worth a lot of money,

And nostalgic Boomers will no longer be around to pay $400,000 for a mass-produced Chevy, lol. 

  Agree

D3691BAB-D7D0-4D5B-BC6E-5B7B94F06793.jpeg

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1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said:

I wouldn't rule anything out, besides a NE hurricane strike. :lol:

If folks up here want to track tropical, they should probably wait until the watches are up. :lol: 

So many things can kick things east or keep stuff south. SE coast probably due for a hit or two this season if ridging holds into September. 

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2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

If folks up here want to track tropical, they should probably wait until the watches are up. :lol: 

So many things can kick things east or keep stuff south. SE coast probably due for a hit or two this season if ridging holds into September. 

If that Omni present Midwest trough is there as modeled.. New England is very much in the game with the block east 

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9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

00z is a soaker in SNE. Models are struggling with this.

It’s an unusual behavior actually, relative to 500mb summer climo. That aspect’s under the radar.  Its a February ‘hook in latter’      weird 

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1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah and earlier 12z was wet.  I just found it funny that he posted that an hour after 18z came in much drier on the mesos.

The 18z twitter must have still been wet.

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