kdxken Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 Just now, DavisStraight said: We stopped there on our way to Acadia and never left, figured we'd go to Acadia another time. Great Italian restaurant there and the weather when we were there was perfect. Nothing better than sitting out at one of those restaurants with a big ass lobster roll and a cold beer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 38 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not one piece of guidance supports that slight mild down over NE A warm down is in the cards, most guidance is showing that. not sure about a full-fledged mild down. Either way, hopefully this results in some wild life-changing severe. If not a cane 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 80 at 930pm here. About as extreme as it gets. The chooks are not thrilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 There's a swath through C.VT getting obliterated. Near @mreaves... "Village is being evacuated" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 8 minutes ago, kdxken said: Nothing better than sitting out at one of those restaurants with a big ass lobster roll and a cold beer. I got one of the best rolls I’ve ever had in Camden on my way to Acadia. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 8 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: A warm down is in the cards, most guidance is showing that. not sure about a full-fledged mild down. Either way, hopefully this results in some wild life-changing severe. If not a cane Unfortunately it's looking more and likely that anything tropical is off the table. This cold down means business and will likely cool the SSTs to a point where they will no longer support a cane. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 4 minutes ago, kdxken said: Unfortunately it's looking more and likely that anything tropical is off the table. This cold down means business and will likely cool the SSTs to a point where they will no longer support a cane. way down to 90/67? here tomorrow. Summer is basically over. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: 0.75" on the month. Getting a bit dry Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk Umm I've had 0.06" this month. I'll show you a bit dry! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 14 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: way down to 90/67? here tomorrow. Summer is basically over. Maybe we can get a day near normal. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 Can’t wait for my 0.02” tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Can’t wait for my 0.02” tonight. Just means congrats chickens in the winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Man, the totals between your area and Williamstown are like 3-5” in short order. We just crossed over 1” here. Been more of a steadier soaking rain without anything extreme. Now have been cranking 3.50”/hr rates the past 15 minutes and quickly over 2” with just torrential rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 10 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Now have been cranking 3.50”/hr rates the past 15 minutes and quickly over 2” with just torrential rain. 2.57” ten minutes later. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: There's a swath through C.VT getting obliterated. Near @mreaves... "Village is being evacuated" Yikes. That’s just down the hill from me. It’s stopped here for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 1 minute ago, mreaves said: Yikes. That’s just down the hill from me. It’s stopped here for now. We are playing catch up. This has been training over us for a bit now. Fast increase of 1.50”+ to go from 1” to 2.5”+ and it’s just absolutely pouring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 11 Author Share Posted July 11 Some areas over 4” storm total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: We are playing catch up. This has been training over us for a bit now. Fast increase of 1.50”+ to go from 1” to 2.5”+ and it’s just absolutely pouring. Yeah, the radar looked like the boundary shifted a bit north. Still lightening off towards the northeast, like the Orange/Groton area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 Hopefully a few more inches ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 15 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 2.57” ten minutes later. Now 3.54” just 13 minutes later. Over 2” in 41 minutes. Rates of up to 4.25”/hr during that time. Flash flooding is occurring with driveway washouts. River is just starting to rage. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 Crazy how localized it can be. About a mile SE of here in the Lower Village (Cocorahs observer) has had an inch less. It’s all 2-3”+ but sharp local boundary so far with a mile or two away seeing 1”+ differences. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 The global models missed this event. They all had the stripe of heaviest rain well north, into Quebec. The EURO and GFS were so far north with their axis of heavy rain, even on the recent runs. The CAMs (convection allowing models) seemed much more accurate. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 River is onto the lawn. Had to go check it out as this is the perfect storm for high flash water. I’ve never seen it up this high. That’s not hyperbole. We have another 12-18” of subtle rise to go before it’s an issue for us, so I think we’ll be fine. But there is a RETAINING wall just past the bushes down to the river channel. This is up like 12 feet and it’s still pouring rain. The photo doesn’t show the energy. Whole trees floated by, but couldn’t get one in a photo. The middle of this is a good 15 feet of swift water on a normal knee to thigh deep maximum. Over 4” now. I know many people are completely f*cked if the water level is this high on the knoll. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 3 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I’m so praying he just tweaked something. He’s having an MRI in the morning. They said it’s definitely spinal related and it may be a slipped disk which they can remove if that’s the case. Based on the situation, I’m thinking/hoping that is the best case scenario. I’d imagine recovery from that shouldn’t be too long. Recovery from his ACL surgery a few years back was like 6-8 months (he healed on the faster side). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 And yes, I totally was off on today! Kudos to everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skivt2 Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 10 minutes ago, powderfreak said: River is onto the lawn. Had to go check it out as this is the perfect storm for high flash water. I’ve never seen it up this high. That’s not hyperbole. We have another 12-18” of subtle rise to go so I think we’ll be fine. But there is a RETAINING wall just past the bushes down to the river channel. This is up like 12 feet and it’s still pouring rain. The photo doesn’t show the energy. Whole trees floated by, but couldn’t get one in a photo. The middle of this is a good 15 feet of swift water on a normal knee to thigh deep maximum. Over 4” now. I know many people are completely f*cked if the water level is this high on the knoll. Sorry. I feel for you guys. We had a bad day a year ago down here in the Killington/Ludlow area. We just got our grocery store back last week. It’s sucked living 45 minutes from a grocery store for a year but so many people suffered through so much more as houses flooded and businesses were ruined. It’s going to. Be tough tomorrow. Hopefully no loss of life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Froude Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: River is onto the lawn. Had to go check it out as this is the perfect storm for high flash water. I’ve never seen it up this high. That’s not hyperbole. Yikes. Probably another hour of heavy stuff to go over there too. People are not sleeping easy tonight in the VT river valleys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 8 minutes ago, Skivt2 said: Sorry. I feel for you guys. We had a bad day a year ago down here in the Killington/Ludlow area. We just got our grocery store back last week. It’s sucked living 45 minutes from a grocery store for a year but so many people suffered through so much more as houses flooded and businesses were ruined. It’s going to. Be tough tomorrow. Hopefully no loss of life. Bolton Valley to Richmond area seemed to be in a dire situation on the west slope through the I-89 corridor. 3-6” of rain in tilted terrain over a 3-4 hour period?… after 7-10” in the month of June and 15-20” since April 1st. Every waterway is exploding right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 17 minutes ago, Froude said: Yikes. Probably another hour of heavy stuff to go over there too. People are not sleeping easy tonight in the VT river valleys. I’m in full weenie mode. It’s sinking in that these high water events will continue to become almost expected or “normal” if dew points continue to surge. I’ve said it before and I’ll keep saying it… you cannot run these moisture levels (dew points and PWATS) into the mountains and expect a different outcome than strong flash flooding. These events are too frequent. Many of us in Stowe along the river are not sleeping. Friends have water against their deck, we have water on the lawn. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skivt2 Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 27 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I’m in full weenie mode. It’s sinking in that these high water events will continue to become almost expected or “normal” if dew points continue to surge. I’ve said it before and I’ll keep saying it… you cannot run these moisture levels (dew points and PWATS) into the mountains and expect a different outcome than strong flash flooding. These events are too frequent. Many of us in Stowe along the river are not sleeping. Friends have water against their deck, we have water on the lawn. It’s not the safe place to escape climate change that many people perceive it is. Vermont is scary from a flash flood perspective. Growing up in CT I was used to gradually rising river flooding and ponding water. The shocking unpredictably and fast impacts of mountain flooding is something completely different. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 That’s nuts PF. Stay safe. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now