40/70 Benchmark Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 1 hour ago, USCG RS said: Side note - I will say nice analysis on your part here. I truly expected this to tighten up more rapidly then it did. In this manner, I am happy to be wrong and wanted to say nice job on your analysis. That withstanding, seeing observations, I do wonder if the energy of the storm and category 1 winds across a much broader area for an extended period of time actually is causing more damage than a Cat 3 at Landfall. I guess therein lies the two edged sword. Either way, a learning experience and something to tuck into the back of my head for the future. Keep in mind, I also stated in my forecast that damage may be more on par with cat 2 given the intensification through LF...quite a storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 These were 10AM CDT conditions in Houston with it having just been downgraded to a TS: HOUSTON BUSH HVY RAIN 74 73 97 SE55G82 29.25F VSB 1/4 TC 23 HOUSTON HOBBY LGT RAIN N/A N/A N/A S48G75 29.37R Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 40 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1000 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AND FLOODING RAINFALL CONTINUING OVER EASTERN TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.8N 95.7W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM WNW OF HOUSTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. Houston Hobby Airport recently reported a wind gust of 84 mph (135 km/h), and Bush Intercontinental Airport recently reported a wind gust of 83 mph (134 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches) based on surface observations. ——————————- Tropical Storm Beryl Discussion Number 40 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1000 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 Despite being overland for about 6 hours, NWS radar and surface data indicate that the system has only slightly weakened, with a fairly well-defined eye present. The initial wind speed is set to 60 kt, as a compromise of Doppler wind velocities and surface observations. While Beryl is no longer a hurricane, there are still many life-threatening hazards associated with the storm, and these are detailed in the Key Messages below. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Rather dramatic water rescue attempt carried live on KHOU- Edited to add: They were successful. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 75% of the Houston area is now without power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Relentless in Houston: Tropical Storm Beryl Tropical Cyclone Update...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1100 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 Corrected Header ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AND FLOODING RAINFALL CONTINUING OVER EASTERN TEXAS... ...1100 AM CDT POSITION UPDATE... Houston Bush Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) recently reported a sustained wind of 59 mph (95 km/h) with a gust to 82 mph (132 km/h). SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.1N 95.6W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNW OF HOUSTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES $$ Forecaster Hagen/Blake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Extremely low signal. I’m ok. Significant but manageable damage. https://i.imgur.com/ONBSonL.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/iHLwFcA.jpeg 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Where are remnants headed as toward northeast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 9 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Extremely low signal. I’m ok. Significant but manageable damage. https://i.imgur.com/ONBSonL.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/iHLwFcA.jpeg glad you are OK, friend - helluva chase tho - well done. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Family is ok but they all agree this is the scariest hurricane they have ever experienced. Fortunate does not even begin to describe how the upper Texas coast should feel. The way this thing was deepening at landfall even six more hours over water and we get monster hurricane winds well inland. Wild storm and good riddance. Enjoy your retirement. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 That remnant eyewall is *still* producing gusts above 80 mph about 100 miles inland (Conroe) via the latest NHC position update. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 HUGE inland wind event still ongoing. Family still texting me I. Houston asking when the winds will stop. Just a monster of a storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 2 minutes ago, Normandy said: HUGE inland wind event still ongoing. Family still texting me I. Houston asking when the winds will stop. Just a monster of a storm From power outage map you can see counties north of Houston fairly far inland with 50-75% outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 6 minutes ago, Normandy said: HUGE inland wind event still ongoing. Family still texting me I. Houston asking when the winds will stop. Just a monster of a storm Seems to always happen with fast moving systems. IKE produced lots of 70mph+ gusts in PA and OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 I think the upper dynamics are so incredible that’s it’s basically turning this system into an inland hurricane. Family in Houston still can’t go outside because the winds are so strong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 So thankful the storm didn't come ashore at Corpus Christi. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 40A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 100 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024 ...FLASH FLOODING AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING OVER EASTERN TEXAS... ...USE CAUTION AFTER THE STORM AS DEADLY HAZARDS REMAIN INCLUDING DOWNED POWERLINES AND CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING FROM IMPROPER GENERATOR USE... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.5N 95.5W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF HOUSTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES A National Ocean Service station near the entrance to Galveston Bay (GNJT2) recently reported sustained winds of 46 mph (74 km/h), and a wind gust of 58 mph (93 km/h). Huntsville Municipal Airport (KUTS) in Texas measured a wind gust of 56 mph (90 km/h), and Beaumont/Port Arthur Regional Airport (KBPT) recently reported a wind gust of 54 mph (87 km/h). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 10 tornado warnings from Beryl atm holy smokes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Fam along the coast are safe. Lots of tree damage but houses made out ok (well minus no power of course). Now fam in the northern ET area is about to get the goods. Tons of tornado warnings on that N/NE quadrant still. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Going to be some tough days ahead in the power outage areas for those that do not have generators. Heat and humidity will return and from the scope of the outages some places could be without power for a week, hopefully not longer than that in spots. Can't imagine living in those conditions without a/c. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXMan42711 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 19 minutes ago, canderson said: Fam along the coast are safe. Lots of tree damage but houses made out ok (well minus no power of course). Now fam in the northern ET area is about to get the goods. Tons of tornado warnings on that N/NE quadrant still. Quote LAC031-081900- /O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-240708T1900Z/ De Soto LA- 124 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN DE SOTO PARISH... At 124 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located 7 miles northwest of Converse, or 12 miles south of Mansfield, moving north at 40 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 1 hour ago, WEATHER53 said: Where are remnants headed as toward northeast? Low is going to be near Lake Erie late Wed, cold front will be passing you around 09z Thursday 11th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Suspect the developing outflow channel and RRQ dynamics with this intensifying jet streak is at play in the maintenance of the low-level wind field. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Beryl proving to be an efficient tornado producer. CAM solutions yesterday hinted at this, and SPC responded by introducing a (somewhat unusual for TC-driven events) 10% area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Wow, at work and did a quick radar check on my phone and that is quite the wall of TOR warnings across LA into TX. A few of them with a significant TDS on them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Worried for my fam - a tornado on the ground N of Tatum TX and moving directly toward them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Tornado outbreak occurring in N LA and Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
g0ldl10n Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 I am trying to learn here - weather my second love, with electronic engineering my first - but is this tornado outbreak being fueled by the high pressure system pushing in the opposite direction of the rotational direction Beryl is spinning? Or, are these winds at 250mb too high up to be causing this? Here, on this satellite feed, we can clearly see the high pressure system pushing directly into Beryl, which I would think is what is helping fuel this outbreak, but am not 100% sure here. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=continental-conus-sandwich-96-1-25-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Asking because I know in the past when I have monitored hurricanes coming inland, they usually put down smallish and short lived tornadoes, however, a few of these have been confirmed as large with "Considerable" threat levels from NOAA, with the following tags. Also, these seem to be quite long lived - and hook echos are just everywhere - quite scary for the people in the path of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 16 minutes ago, g0ldl10n said: I am trying to learn here - weather my second love, with electronic engineering my first - but is this tornado outbreak being fueled by the high pressure system pushing in the opposite direction of the rotational direction Beryl is spinning? Or, are these winds at 250mb too high up to be causing this? Here, on this satellite feed, we can clearly see the high pressure system pushing directly into Beryl, which I would think is what is helping fuel this outbreak, but am not 100% sure here. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=continental-conus-sandwich-96-1-25-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Asking because I know in the past when I have monitored hurricanes coming inland, they usually put down smallish and short lived tornadoes, however, a few of these have been confirmed as large with "Considerable" threat levels from NOAA, with the following tags. Also, these seem to be quite long lived - and hook echos are just everywhere - quite scary for the people in the path of this. In your graphic you can see the strong upper level winds out of the southwest and lower level winds in the hurricane are out of the southeast, creating a lot of turning with height/vertical wind shear. Just need an updraft to translate that shear to the surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
g0ldl10n Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Was this an anticyclonic tornado here? Here is the velocity radar of that hook that appears to be going in the "wrong" direction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 1 hour ago, g0ldl10n said: I am trying to learn here - weather my second love, with electronic engineering my first - but is this tornado outbreak being fueled by the high pressure system pushing in the opposite direction of the rotational direction Beryl is spinning? Or, are these winds at 250mb too high up to be causing this? The 250 mb layer affects the background synoptic conditions, but inland tropical convection is usually relatively shallow. The cloud-free air just east of the strongest winds and flow off the abnormally warm Gulf both are aiding in anomalous low-level instability that is overlapping strong low-level shear (denoted by my approx. drawing in black). 0-3km shear vectors are the depicted wind barbs, while 0-3km instability is contoured. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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