cardinalland Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Looks just about due north to me in my radar imagery for the last 3 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Just now, cardinalland said: Looks just about due north to me in my radar imagery for the last 3 hours Same and it has moved about 18-20 miles north in last 2 hours according to radar so roughly 9-10 mph? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salbers Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Also - trying to get more colorful on the IR satellite over the past 24 minutes:https://col.st/3Kpaw 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Beryl's center actually moved east of north between the last two recon passes. The pressure, once again, has not changed. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 another observation from the Gulf Quote KVAF 080135Z AUTO 15042G59KT 1/2SM BR BKN004 BKN012 OVC026 26/25 A2960 RMK A01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 https://x.com/tropicaltidbits/status/1810134910725935146?s=46&t=0ZvB_AF2VfA6c0SDxf53yA. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Still a tropical storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Time seems to be out for RI for anything beyond a mid level Cat 1. Some nasty weather gonna hit Houston still. Fam is ready but nervous. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 looks light Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Some hurricane force flight-level winds found well away from the center 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 10 minutes ago, jrips27 said: Some hurricane force flight-level winds found well away from the center Tells you all you need to know. There will be no appreciable intensification between now and landfall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 38...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1000 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Correct break point to Port Bolivar in Tropical Storm Warning ...BERYL FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A HURRICANE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST EARLY MONDAY... ...CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE OVERNIGHT WITH DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODING, AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.6N 95.6W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM E OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane Watch from San Luis Pass to Port Bolivar has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning. The Hurricane Warning south of Mesquite Bay has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning. The Tropical Storm Warning south of Baffin Bay has been discontinued. The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from Mesquite Bay to Port Aransas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Pretty confident we got a hurricane now. Northern eyewall velocities continue to tick higher and higher with each scan, they're about to do a pass through it so we'll see for sure in a few minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Tropical Storm Beryl Discussion Number 38 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1000 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Radar and satellite trends suggest Beryl is becoming better organized tonight. Deep convection has increased near the center, with new convective elements emerging around the northern and southern portions of the circulation. Tail Doppler Radar data from the NOAA aircraft suggest the radius of maximum wind has contracted a bit, and the vortex has become more vertically aligned. However, the eyewall is open to the west, where there is still some evidence of dry air in the circulation. The intensity was raised to 60 kt based on earlier Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter flight-level wind data (66 kt at 700 mb), and the most recent aircraft pass through the northeast quadrant still supports the 60-kt intensity for this advisory. The minimum pressure has continued to slowly fall, with the latest dropsonde data supporting 986 mb. The environmental and oceanic conditions remain quite favorable for intensification while Beryl approaches the Texas coast overnight. The recent structural changes noted above are expected to allow Beryl to re-strengthen into a hurricane overnight, and the potential for significant intensification leading up to landfall is still indicated by some of the regional hurricane guidance, particularly the HWRF and HMON. At this point, time is the greatest limiting factor as the storm is less than 12 h from landfall. While the 12-h forecast point shows a 65-kt hurricane inland over Texas, the peak intensity is expected between now and the 12-h forecast point, and is thus not explicitly shown in this forecast. After landfall, rapid weakening is expected while the system moves farther inland. The long-term motion of Beryl is north-northwestward at about 9 kt, but recent radar and aircraft fixes have shown a motion just east of due north. A northward motion overnight is expected to bring the center of Beryl inland along the middle Texas coast roughly between Matagorda Bay and Freeport early on Monday morning. The short-term NHC track forecast is just slightly east of the previous one. After landfall, Beryl is forecast to accelerate northeastward ahead of a mid-latitude trough while transitioning to a post-tropical cyclone. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0300Z 27.6N 95.6W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 08/1200Z 29.2N 95.8W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND 24H 09/0000Z 31.5N 95.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 36H 09/1200Z 33.7N 93.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 48H 10/0000Z 36.0N 90.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 60H 10/1200Z 38.4N 87.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 72H 11/0000Z 40.4N 84.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 96H 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 13 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: Pretty confident we got a hurricane now. Northern eyewall velocities continue to tick higher and higher with each scan, they're about to do a pass through it so we'll see for sure in a few minutes. Nevermind, we won't know because of cheapness of our government and tools breaking. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Got some lightning increasing in that northern eyewall. Recon just made a pass through, waiting on the data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 The 288 route S of Houston is going to take it on the chin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Very little in the way of pressure falls so far. I’m just in chips fall mode at this point. At least the bands are putting on a show. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 513 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TX AND INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ALVIN, ANAHUAC, ANGLETON, BAY CITY, CLEVELAND, CLUTE, CONROE, DAYTON, DICKINSON, FIRST COLONY, FREEPORT, FRIENDSWOOD, GALVESTON, HOUSTON, LAKE JACKSON, LEAGUE CITY, LIBERTY, MISSION BEND, MISSOURI CITY, MONT BELVIEU, OLD RIVER-WINFREE, PALACIOS, PEARLAND, PECAN GROVE, ROSENBERG, STOWELL, SUGAR LAND, TEXAS CITY, THE WOODLANDS, AND WINNIE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Down to 985 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Beryl is now a hurricane. 11:00 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 Location: 27.7°N 95.7°W Moving: NNW at 10 mph Min pressure: 985 mb Max sustained: 75 mph 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 https://x.com/nhc_atlantic/status/1810162221357707685?s=46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Windier than it looks. That lead band was pretty strong with good gusts and plenty of lightning. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Apparently this was one of the reasons for upgrade to hurricane: These radar echoes were the reasoning for the upgrade of #Beryl. Winds up to 88 mph are being measured at about 10,000 feet aloft. That translates into surface winds of 75 mph, supporting a hurricane. https://x.com/CC_StormWatch/status/1810163899653648530 Also, the decision may have been influenced by this buoy report: NOAA buoy 42019 recently reported sustained winds of 60 mph (97 km/h) and a wind gust of 74 mph (119 km/h). The buoy also reported a pressure of 992.2 mb (29.30 inches). In addition, the latest dropsonde posted above showed pressure dropped to 985 mb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Now recon support for a hurricane 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Radar shows some pretty good rains pivoting in. The Bay City area has been getting soaked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Recon finding stronger FL winds. Latest VDM had a peak FL wind of 77kt but well away from the center still. That said, the eye has dramatically contracted, from 58 miles six hours ago to 8nm now. That’s a feat in itself lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 What do you know. Center tightens and the winds go up. Multiple unflagged SFMR of 72kt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 984 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Power starting to go out in the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now