CAPE Posted October 23 Author Share Posted October 23 3 hours ago, North Balti Zen said: Pretty much resigned to, in literally any given upcoming winter, needing to chase to see legit snow. Gonna start tracking lake effect events, maybe. The DE beach has worked out for me in recent winters lol. Both times I was targeting Canaan, but the bigger threat was the far eastern lowlands. I should have done it again in Jan 22, but stayed put for moderate snows at home. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 11 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: When @Jebmanhas a pessimistic rant, its time to find a new hobby. He can be entertaining at times but some of his nonsense last week was beyond the pale! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted October 24 Share Posted October 24 15 hours ago, stormy said: He can be entertaining at times but some of his nonsense last week was beyond the pale! Of all people to judge someone else's posts as nonsensical I'm not entirely sure you should be. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 24 Share Posted October 24 On 10/23/2024 at 7:50 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would look for another 1995-1996, 2002-2003, 2009-2010 type of season around the turn of the decade. Will you guarantee that like what was an absolute guarantee here last year that winter weather would return after that one Jan shot and Never Did here? Somehow NHC can predict within 50 miles 5 days out where a hurricane will hit but NWS can’t get path of a low pressure in winter correct at 2 days out????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 24 Author Share Posted October 24 Jebman goes pretty far back. He has made some hilarious posts. There was a series from about 10 years ago that were epic.. winter of 2014-15 I think. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted October 24 Share Posted October 24 17 minutes ago, CAPE said: Jebman goes pretty far back. He has made some hilarious posts. There was a series from about 10 years ago that were epic.. winter of 2014-15 I think. The greatest post of all time on this forum was during winter 2015 when he wrote the most epic tirade I’ve ever seen against a New Englander bragging about some MECS they had (which was a bust down here). Jebman and I both tried searching for it awhile back but determined someone must have deleted it. I wish I had saved it! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 24 Author Share Posted October 24 Just now, PrinceFrederickWx said: The greatest post of all time on this forum was during winter 2015 when he wrote the most epic tirade I’ve ever seen against a New Englander bragging about some MECS they had (which was a bust down here). Jebman and I both tried searching for it awhile back but determined someone must have deleted it. I wish I had saved it! That's the one. It is still in the threads somewhere. Do a search. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted October 24 Share Posted October 24 6 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said: Of all people to judge someone else's posts as nonsensical I'm not entirely sure you should be. My posts are based on intelligence based on the past 100+ years of climatology. Yours are probably based on a warped brain from 36 years of Nonsense. But, I do wish you well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted October 24 Share Posted October 24 1 hour ago, CAPE said: That's the one. It is still in the threads somewhere. Do a search. As I said, he and I tried but couldn’t find it, even with advanced search. Anyone else is welcome to look for it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 24 Author Share Posted October 24 1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: As I said, he and I tried but couldn’t find it, even with advanced search. Anyone else is welcome to look for it! Ah sorry I didn't read your post very thoroughly lol. I did find it and I think I reposted it several years ago, but not sure the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 16 hours ago, CAPE said: Jebman goes pretty far back. He has made some hilarious posts. There was a series from about 10 years ago that were epic.. winter of 2014-15 I think. Let us not forget that Jeb is also the reigning winner of the summer temperature contest. (I think he even surprises himself at times.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 Channel 5 (FOX) winter outlook released last night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 Sad, but expected I guess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 10 minutes ago, yoda said: Sad, but expected I guess Man I despise this raging -PDO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 12 minutes ago, yoda said: Sad, but expected I guess I expect it to be near the lower ends in each band. 3-5 for the metros <1 for Richmond 40-45 for Mt. PSU 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 20 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: I expect it to be near the lower ends in each band. 3-5 for the metros <1 for Richmond 40-45 for Mt. PSU It won't go down like that..I will wait for our snow contest to tell me where things stand...I'm going big..and not just because I am an idiot...mostly but not entirely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 1 hour ago, JenkinsJinkies said: I expect it to be near the lower ends in each band. 3-5 for the metros <1 for Richmond 40-45 for Mt. PSU cm and I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 On 10/24/2024 at 1:32 PM, WEATHER53 said: Will you guarantee that like what was an absolute guarantee here last year that winter weather would return after that one Jan shot and Never Did here? Somehow NHC can predict within 50 miles 5 days out where a hurricane will hit but NWS can’t get path of a low pressure in winter correct at 2 days out????? I think its probably easier for NWP to resolve dominant synoptic features like a category 4/5 hurricane or the superstorm in 93 than some of the discreet events significant to our snowfall in winter. A deep enough pressure system becomes a bully vs getting impacted significantly by other discreet variables. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 3 hours ago, yoda said: Hey, I love this exercise in futility!!!!!!! This is quite reasonable within my 70 year research of Enso that I will post soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 25 Author Share Posted October 25 3 hours ago, yoda said: Sad, but expected I guess Ridiculously simplistic, low effort, but typical with these predictions. No value whatsoever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Ridiculously simplistic, low effort, but typical with these predictions. No value whatsoever. Possibly no value, but the long term Enso says we will likely have have a below normal snowfall winter with La Nina. Cape, give me hope!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 25 Author Share Posted October 25 2 minutes ago, stormy said: Possibly no value, but the long term Enso says we will likely have have a below normal snowfall winter with La Nina. Cape, give me hope!!!! Not a lock that we have a legit Nina yet. Could end up a cold neutral. My hope hinges on most guidance hinting at a -EPO, a stretched, somewhat southward displaced TPV, and some hints of neg NAO episodes. Just have to wait and see how the pattern actually evolves, and as usual, hope we get some luck with wave timing and cold enough air mass. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 What do y'all think about what it could look like up at that Liberty Resort in PA this year? I'm not familiar with how this climo has been up there. If there's potential I may try skiing for the first time this year...just to see some snow, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 25 Author Share Posted October 25 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: What do y'all think about what it could look like up at that Liberty Resort in PA this year? I'm not familiar with how this climo has been up there. If there's potential I may try skiing for the first time this year...just to see some snow, lol There is always Wisp or Canaan. A bit further of a drive but worth it. Pretty much a guarantee there will be enough cold/snow to ski there in any winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: There is always Wisp or Canaan. A bit further of a drive but worth it. Pretty much a guarantee there will be enough cold/snow to ski there in any winter. We and a few other families ended up getting a house at Wisp for a long first weekend of February next year. We went for a few days after Christmas last year and it was pretty awful even at the top of the mountain - pouring rain on the drive out and 45 degrees and very little snow on the slopes while there (but a couple inches of snow overnight on our last night). I suggested we go in pretty much peak season so I'm hoping to get a real winter fix while we're out there...but definitely wouldn't mind heading out after a nice stretch of winter back here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 What do y'all think about what it could look like up at that Liberty Resort in PA this year? I'm not familiar with how this climo has been up there. If there's potential I may try skiing for the first time this year...just to see some snow, lolLiberty will do better than here… as will many spots. Definitely gonna chase this year if it’s looking grim, or if there is a storm that just looks too good to skip. Lots of PTO banked and may need some good vibe distractions. Snow ain’t that reliable for that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 28 minutes ago, mattie g said: We and a few other families ended up getting a house at Wisp for a long first weekend of February next year. We went for a few days after Christmas last year and it was pretty awful even at the top of the mountain - pouring rain on the drive out and 45 degrees and very little snow on the slopes while there (but a couple inches of snow overnight on our last night). I suggested we go in pretty much peak season so I'm hoping to get a real winter fix while we're out there...but definitely wouldn't mind heading out after a nice stretch of winter back here! So it’s going to shoot into the 70s that week. Got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 54 minutes ago, CAPE said: Not a lock that we have a legit Nina yet. Could end up a cold neutral. My hope hinges on most guidance hinting at a -EPO, a stretched, somewhat southward displaced TPV, and some hints of neg NAO episodes. Just have to wait and see how the pattern actually evolves, and as usual, hope we get some luck with wave timing and cold enough air mass. The latest CPC info says a -.6 - .7 . This certainly will be marginal but this level if accurate will be a downer for winter snowfall. Moderate La Nina's don't smile on us for snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 25 Share Posted October 25 7 hours ago, yoda said: Channel 5 (FOX) winter outlook released last night For the record just like Ji Jays wintry mix cannot locate where he lives on a map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted October 26 Share Posted October 26 3 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: What do y'all think about what it could look like up at that Liberty Resort in PA this year? I'm not familiar with how this climo has been up there. If there's potential I may try skiing for the first time this year...just to see some snow, lol I live 20 minutes from Liberty. You need to head further west to see more natural snow. Liberty is ok but they don't get lake effect like Wisp, Cannan or 7 springs can get. Last year they were only open for about 6 or 7 weeks. Very rough , short year for them. I really like Wisp. My kids are just getting into skiing and there were alot of easy trails for them. I'm about 2 hours from wisp and we did a couple day trips there to ski last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now