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Summer 2024 Medium/Long Range Discussion


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Our long-range team has a great video today about July's weather.  A bit of a nail-biter for the Ohio Valley.  We will have to see where the ridge sets up. 
Would not be surprised to see the MCS train produce pockets of ten or more inches of rain.

These videos can be viewed on our www.weathertalk.com app.  If you don't live in our area, then choose any given county and then download the app to view the daily videos.

 

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20 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

you lost me seeing bamwx right off the bat.

They  batted about 80% last year with long-range outlooks.  They have come a long way since their infancy years ago.   Their farm and garden videos, GFS analysis, and EC analysis videos are excellent.  They have an amazing team of meteorologists.  

Years ago, I felt the same way.  But, over time, they have become a great company! 

gfs-deterministic-conus-vort500_z500-0040400.png

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What exactly qualifies as death ridge around here anyway? Wasn’t that stretch of hot weather across much of the sub in June a death ridge? I mean if someone is expecting Texas level heat all summer anywhere in this sub you’re going to be disappointed. lol

 Anyone on this board should know better than to believe seasonal forecasting media hype. 

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On 7/8/2024 at 2:20 PM, A-L-E-K said:

gonna be august before you know it and we're still waiting on the heat 

For Toronto itself this summer is just looking like a warm but not crazy hot summer. Only hit 86F 7 times so far. The season most likely sees under 20 and that would mean the next 6 weeks have to be pumping heat. 

For reference the summer a lot here expected was 2020 which saw 35 days above 86F 

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On 6/6/2024 at 8:30 AM, rainsucks said:

The pattern being modeled for the 2nd half of June is looking pretty ugly. The GEPS in particular is just an absolute blowtorch, and this is just a taste of what's to come. Can't even being to imagine what will happen in July/August when boreal summer teleconnections mature, but we'll see.

bust

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still not convinced we don't see at least one significant heat wave before summer comes to an end, though I do admit it's a bit surprising how cool the mid-section of the country has been this month in spite of both coasts roasting.

Almost seems as though pre-2013 summer analogs have become useless at this point. CC is most certainly playing a huge role in this seemingly "new" dominant summer pattern we've been stuck in for over a decade now.

cd67_190_53_17_192_10_54_38_prcp.png.e8f3f5e8ebe04b15438e5e1c840eb58a.png

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