Chicago Storm Posted June 5 Share Posted June 5 The best season is here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 The pattern being modeled for the 2nd half of June is looking pretty ugly. The GEPS in particular is just an absolute blowtorch, and this is just a taste of what's to come. Can't even being to imagine what will happen in July/August when boreal summer teleconnections mature, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 As mentioned in the other thread, enjoy the next 2 weeks while they last. Indications are that eastern realignment of the heat ridge should be underway starting the 3rd week of June, which should be the dominant pattern (aside from the occasional transient breakdown with NW flow shortwaves or tropical activity) for the remainder of the Summer. There won't be any smoke levels of consequence to help obscure solar insolation this time either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 ready 2 ring of fire 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 I just want the dunes to hit 70 something by like the second week of July. We're getting there pretty quick just through consistency; I have no doubt that just a week of 90+ would nearly finish the job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: ready 2 ring of fire came here to say this... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 not seeing any real heat on the gefs, gulf opens up and starts getting active so hopefully that juices our nw flow pattern later on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted June 7 Share Posted June 7 GEFS has been running too cold for a while now. It will correct warmer with time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 7 Author Share Posted June 7 not seeing any real heat on the gefs, gulf opens up and starts getting active so hopefully that juices our nw flow pattern later on GEFS has been running too cold for a while now. It will correct warmer with time.They’re already warm/well above average in the extended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 7 Share Posted June 7 blessed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 7 Share Posted June 7 On 6/6/2024 at 8:57 AM, Powerball said: As mentioned in the other thread, enjoy the next 2 weeks while they last. Indications are that eastern realignment of the heat ridge should be underway starting the 3rd week of June, which should be the dominant pattern (aside from the occasional transient breakdown with NW flow shortwaves or tropical activity) for the remainder of the Summer. There won't be any smoke levels of consequence to help obscure solar insolation this time either. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 8 Share Posted June 8 Looks active and warm, no death ridge in site 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 10 Share Posted June 10 On 6/8/2024 at 6:15 AM, A-L-E-K said: Looks active and warm, no death ridge in site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 11 Share Posted June 11 12z op euro looks nice for our area at the end of the run, hope we can ride a beefy juiced ridge to an MCS parade 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted June 12 Share Posted June 12 Sheesh, looking like 100° possible on Monday!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted June 12 Share Posted June 12 Well it looks like I got my wish for pool and carnival fair weather, with an addition twenty degrees on top of that! Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainsucks Posted June 12 Share Posted June 12 On 6/7/2024 at 6:15 AM, A-L-E-K said: blessed enjoy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 12 Share Posted June 12 Ready 2 hit the beach 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 13 Share Posted June 13 Ready 2 drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 13 Share Posted June 13 looking for the death ridge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted June 13 Share Posted June 13 One of the best things I've seen modeled in 2024, epic heat on the way for the NE! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 4 hours ago, Torchageddon said: One of the best things I've seen modeled in 2024, epic heat on the way for the NE! And I love that for y'all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 pool open and beach season is here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 The next ten days look wet and exciting in the nw sub, while the rest of the sub sees little or nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 1 hour ago, hawkeye_wx said: The next ten days look wet and exciting in the nw sub, while the rest of the sub sees little or nothing. Uhhh, thats a lot of rain. That would cause some serious issues on the Minnesota, Upper Mississippi, St Croix, Chippewa, Black, and Wisconsin rivers. Almost 9 inches of rain in the Twin Cities in 10 days would be a really big deal. They have missed a lot of the big summer flooding events within the last 15 years, that's looking like that will change here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 17 minutes ago, Geoboy645 said: Uhhh, thats a lot of rain. That would cause some serious issues on the Minnesota, Upper Mississippi, St Croix, Chippewa, Black, and Wisconsin rivers. Almost 9 inches of rain in the Twin Cities in 10 days would be a really big deal. They have missed a lot of the big summer flooding events within the last 15 years, that's looking like that will change here. I’m working along the Mississippi in downtown St. Paul this afternoon. River is bank full and there is minor flooding along the typical low lying areas. Any more then 2-3” of rain and we’ll have big problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 20 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: I’m working along the Mississippi in downtown St. Paul this afternoon. River is bank full and there is minor flooding along the typical low lying areas. Any more then 2-3” of rain and we’ll have big problems. Yeah that's a big problem considering the potential totals. And this would be efficient summer rainfall so it'll be heavy rainfall rates. Idk how well the Twin Cities can handle a lot of rain on top of it tbh. Minneapolis is pretty flat and the lakes aren't really reservoir like lakes. It's a system that hasn't been stress tested with the amount of growth in that metro over the last 30 years iirc Edit: it appears that the last time the metro had a big flash flooding event at least according to the MNDNR site for flooding was 7/19-22 1987. That period set a diurnal record of 9.15 inches at MSP. There's been 37 years of rapid growth since then, especially in important watersheds such as Minnehaha Creek. And that event was pretty localized and not at the same time as the rest of the state being dumped on with already high rivers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 19 minutes ago, Geoboy645 said: Yeah that's a big problem considering the potential totals. And this would be efficient summer rainfall so it'll be heavy rainfall rates. Idk how well the Twin Cities can handle a lot of rain on top of it tbh. Minneapolis is pretty flat and the lakes aren't really reservoir like lakes. It's a system that hasn't been stress tested with the amount of growth in that metro over the last 30 years iirc Edit: it appears that the last time the metro had a big flash flooding event at least according to the MNDNR site for flooding was 7/19-22 1987. That period set a diurnal record of 9.15 inches at MSP. There's been 37 years of rapid growth since then, especially in important watersheds such as Minnehaha Creek. And that event was pretty localized and not at the same time as the rest of the state being dumped on with already high rivers. Luckily the lakes are still a little low after 3 summers of flash drought and a mostly snowless winter, so they can take some runoff. In 2019 Minnehaha Creek was flowing over the Grays Bay Dam spillway at Lake Minnetonka for a few weeks, it caused minor flooding along the trails at the lake down the block from my house. (Nokomis) The Mississippi River downstream from St. Anthony’s Falls is in a gorge which acts like a giant storm sewer for the cities, but if rainfall rates are high enough there will definitely be urban flood potential. As you mentioned the suburbs have exploded with growth over the past 30 years so newer built areas will definitely be put to the test. I did the geotech work on a massive flood control project that MNDOT finished up last year, time to put this system to the test. https://www.kare11.com/article/news/local/mndot-builds-massive-storm-drainage-tanks-along-35w/89-461d7b05-01d7-4b6d-9181-c0a7bf753fe8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 No death ridge in site 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 Death Valley summer cancel? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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