E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2024 Obs/Discussion

[ChescoWx]

4 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

"following our fairly wet stretch of weather this month."

 

Meanwhile only 42 miles to your southeast we have struggled to pick up 2.56" since May 25th!

The only word that I can give the precipitation distribution for the entire area Harrisburg to Trenton to points south and east to Southern Delaware and Maryland .....eratic!

 

Great information and write up as usual Paul!

 

Thanks, from this section of Central Delaware County but I will tell you we are experiencing flash drought conditions and from the look of the landscape Moderate Drought.  

Springton Reservoir along Route 252 in Upper Providence and Marple Townships is dropping steadily the past few weeks. 

We know what will happen later August and September.... East Coast riding Hurricane!  It's the La Nina way!

Thanks Kevin! It really has been hit and miss. I suspect you are correct some tropical storm will come up the coast and interact with a cold front and bam - 4 to 6" of rain for all!! let's hope we see some more rain over the next days further south and east! Good luck!

[Kevin Reilly]

So, here we go..... Heavy rain 20-30 miles north and northeast..... Heavy rain 30-35 miles southwest and zippo here getting pretty frustrating.  Flash Flood Warning Philadelphia and Montgomery county in PA and Burlington and Camden County in NJ

 

84.2 humidity 76% feels like 93f ... a few peeks of sun

[Hurricane Agnes]

Getting warned for a little blob that is fringing me to the south.

Made it up to 84 yesterday after a low of 76 and had 0.14" Monday evening and 0.41" early yesterday morning. Low this morning was 74.

Currently getting some light rain and it's soup with a temp of 77, a dp of 75 and 0.03" in the bucket at post time.

[Hurricane Agnes]

Now under the blob with just over 2"/hr rates.  Have 0.41" in the bucket at post time.

[Hurricane Agnes]

Now at 3"/hr rates, 0.85" in the bucket, temp 73 with dp 72.

[RedSky]

1 minute ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

Now at 3"/hr rates, 0.85" in the bucket, temp 73 with dp 72.

Random chance has struck in your favor congrats.

 

[Hurricane Agnes]

Now at 1.07" since 12:00pm (I had opened the back door to check for any hail).  3.40"/hr rate.

[Hurricane Agnes]

1 minute ago, RedSky said:

Random chance has struck in your favor congrats.

 

Yeah it was because I wasn't sure if the storm motion would move it up from the SW over me vs fizzling or moving more to the east.

Don't have to pull the hose out!!!

[Kevin Reilly]

Absolutely nothing to show for any of the rain happening now.  We have a light outflow boundary wind blowing from the east NE from Philadelphia.  Maybe we get lucky and get an outflow boundary collision for development. 

[RedSky]

.20" total and likely fail coming for the big wet week, yet 7.40" for the month been a really weird July.

 

[RedSky]

On 7/22/2024 at 2:53 PM, RedSky said:

Not buying the oddball ECM/RGEM team that somehow all this tropical moisture bypasses southeast PA this week with only .25".  Nah gonna happen.

 

Famous last words 

[Hurricane Agnes]

The heaviest of the blob has moved out although still have just over 1/2" hour rates.

Currently have 1.38" in the bucket at post time since noon.  Current temp is 72 with dp 72.

[Hurricane Agnes]

Down to very light rain where the sun has popped out a few times and currently have 1.41" of beneficial rain at post time.  Temp is rising again and at 75 with dp 75. 

[Kevin Reilly]

Moderate to heavy rain here last 30 minutes now tapering down some clear skies to the east and northeast now.  73.8f humidity 91% dewpoint 71f.  Sun about to pop out here wonder if that heats things back up for more development shall see.

Total rainfall in the gauge = 0.52" 

[Albedoman]

of course zilcho for Lehigh County. I feel like this steam bath atmosphere is a joke.   The grass is decimated from the heat.  Overnight lows failing to get out of the 70's is a perfect atmosphere for breeding west nile virus mosquitoes in sept let alone record breaking.  Its not the daytime highs, its the overnight lows that are unbearbable

[BBasile]

Picked up 0.44" of rain today.  Only at 2.36 for the month now.  Still have some junk in the area so maybe.....  These below average temps are nice, though.  

[BBasile]

2 hours ago, BBasile said:

Still have some junk in the area so maybe..... 

Orrrrrr not.

[Birds~69]

Spotty stuff......on porch.

75F/DP 72F

Tons of critters...

[Albedoman]

Its a been a long time since I have seen precip chances dwindle so quickly - from 70-80 % to less than 20% in susbsequent forecast updates. With no significant rains in the next 10 days with another heat wave by next Tuesday- things are going to get real ugly in western lehigh County. This heat is simply relentless. Its warmer here than Memphis TN.  Where are these so-called  tropical storms to break this pattern?  All  TS remnants have gone up to Canada. No forest fires this year. 

[The Iceman]

On 7/22/2024 at 2:53 PM, RedSky said:

Not buying the oddball ECM/RGEM team that somehow all this tropical moisture bypasses southeast PA this week with only .25".  Nah gonna happen.

 

Never doubt king euro inside 84 hours. Dreadful performance by everyone else.

[Kevin Reilly]

19 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Never doubt king euro inside 84 hours. Dreadful performance by everyone else.

Just getting ready for Winter of 2024-2025.

[PhiEaglesfan712]

Looks like a very hot first week of August on tap: 

PHL hasn't had a 100-degree day in over 12 years (since July 2012), and in the month of August since 2001. That could be changing very soon.

[ChescoWx]

One more cloudy day today before a great stretch of weather through at least Monday. Cooler starting tonight with some spots in Chester County possibly touching the 50's tonight and tomorrow night.

Chester County records for today: High 100 degrees at Phoenixville (1930) / Low 47 degrees at Coatesville (1976) / Rain 5.17" at Nottingham (2021)

[RedSky]

5 hours ago, The Iceman said:

Never doubt king euro inside 84 hours. Dreadful performance by everyone else.

King euro is long dead. All the computer models are roving bands of leaderless Nomads.

.20" for deluge week resume the drought (with my three week 7.40" intermission)

 

 

[RedSky]

Guidance "thinks" next week is another wet week 

 

[Albedoman]

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

Guidance "thinks" next week is another wet week 

 

lmao.  It will take a TS to kill this heat and dryness ONLY.   Dying cold fronts that hang over our region are no longer. They go right out to sea or come back as dry warm fronts with no convective material. Wash and repeat every week for the past 3 months. We need a dying cold front to reach the carolinas and form an LP on the front.  That is not in are cards

[Kevin Reilly]

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

Guidance "thinks" next week is another wet week 

 

It probably will be because I’ll be down in Florida.  It will be dry down there instead and wet here.

[BBasile]

Windows are open.  What??.....  

67F with a 59 dew.

[JTA66]

Yep…windows open.

66F/DP 56F

[ChescoWx]

Some spots touched the 50's this morning across the County. Beautiful weather with low humidity continues through at least Monday before our next chance of showers.

Chester County records for today: High 100 degrees at Phoenixville (1930) / Low 42 degrees at Morgantown/Elverson (1976) / Rain 3.28" at Spring City (2023)