PhiEaglesfan712 Posted June 11 Share Posted June 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 11 Share Posted June 11 Hot&dry is on the menu. To quote the immortal Cheryl Lemke "Your just gonna bake" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted June 11 Share Posted June 11 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Hot&dry is on the menu. To quote the immortal Cheryl Lemke "Your just gonna bake" Maybe some Friday afternoon boomers? Next week looks like complete hell. I thought Adam Joseph was going to put his hands in the air, jump and click his heals when he showed the extended forecast... 69F/DP 56F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted June 12 Share Posted June 12 Temps in some spots like Warwick and Nottingham Townships touched the chilly 40's this morning. Today will be our 5th straight below normal....but last such day for a while. We begin a solid warming trend this PM although with the exception of some valley spots in the county any 90+ degree readings may have to wait till early next week. The next chance of showers looks like Friday late PM. Chester County records for today: High 97 degrees at Phoenixville (1956) / Record low 34 degrees also at Phoenixville (1972) / Rain 4.35" at Devault (1968) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted June 12 Share Posted June 12 lets hope we get a million dollar downpour on Thursday night into Friday for the corn and other crops , otherwise it looks pretty damn dry for the rest of June. Withoot the rain in the next few days, the lawns will turn yellow brown quite easily, especially with mid 90's being predicted. The lawns are really thick but barely wet enough to stay green. The stream flows are average , so I am not concerned with the stream levels so far. Not a drought conditions but another 20 days of below avg rainfall will start to get us there. July is the wettest month but it is not uniform precip coverage for our area. Soem will be crying for rain while other flood. My next thoughts is that way too much precip is falling in middle and southern Fla right now. The dying cold fronts and or low pressure troughs from the mid west hitting Florida have a great environment for tropiocal wave formation and to ride up the east coast right now. If I was a betting man, early July looks to be active with the tropical production in the Gulf of Mxico/Florida coast area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted June 13 Share Posted June 13 17 hours ago, Albedoman said: corn and other crops Wheat has been go to crop INMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted June 13 Share Posted June 13 GFS has the first hurricane hitting the LA/Tex border two weeks from now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 13 Share Posted June 13 Weather World - 25 of the next 35 days above average with 12 of those days 5F or more above average. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted June 13 Share Posted June 13 2 hours ago, RedSky said: Weather World - 25 of the next 35 days above average with 12 of those days 5F or more above average. We're finally getting that Eastern ridging pattern of summer 2010-2012. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 13 Share Posted June 13 El Nino is officially dead. La Nina watch (65% chance for it this summer)! Quote EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS 13 June 2024 ENSO Alert System Status: Final El Niño Advisory / La Niña Watch Synopsis: ENSO-neutral conditions are present. La Niña is favored to develop during July-September (65% chance) and persist into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2024-25 (85% chance during November-January). ENSO-neutral conditions returned during the past month. Near-to-below average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) expanded across the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean [Fig. 1]. The most recent weekly Niño-3.4 index was +0.1°C, while SST anomalies remained cooler in the far eastern Niño-1+2 region (-0.5°C) and warmer in the western Niño-4 region (+0.8°C; [Fig. 2]). Below-average subsurface temperatures were mostly unchanged during the past month (area-averaged index in [Fig. 3]), with negative anomalies persisting in the eastern half of the Pacific [Fig. 4]. Low-level wind anomalies were easterly over the east-central equatorial Pacific, and upper-level winds were near average. Convection was mostly average around Indonesia, while below-average rainfall strengthened near the Date Line [Fig. 5]. Collectively, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system reflected ENSO-neutral conditions. The most recent IRI plume indicates La Niña may develop during July-September 2024 and then persist through the Northern Hemisphere winter [Fig. 6]. The forecast team is also favoring the development of La Niña during July-September because the rate of cooling has slowed since last month. The team still favors La Niña to emerge sometime during the summer months, given the persistent below-average subsurface ocean temperatures and changes in the tropical atmospheric circulation. In summary, ENSO-neutral conditions are present. La Niña is favored to develop during July-September (65% chance) and persist into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2024-25 (85% chance during November-January; [Fig. 7]). This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA's National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). Additional perspectives and analysis are also available in an ENSO blog. A probabilistic strength forecast is available here. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 11 July 2024. To receive an e-mail notification when the monthly ENSO Diagnostic Discussions are released, please send an e-mail message to: [email protected]. Climate Prediction Center 5830 University Research Court College Park, Maryland 20740 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml After a 60 low, have so far hit 87 for a high today. And since we are dry (I have only had 0.60" of rain in June so far), that can help temps soar next week if we don't get a bit of a soaking ahead of the incoming heatwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 13 Share Posted June 13 Current temp 89/DP62/RH 42% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 13 Share Posted June 13 Hight for the day was 90 here. Current temp 84/DP 65/RH 53% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 High Temps ranged from the low to mid 80's yesterday across the County. Today we should see temps well into the 80's today before a cold front passes later in the day which will cool us back to near normal over the weekend. Temps begin to warm and some solid heat sets in with widespread 90's likely starting on Tuesday. Chester County records for today: High 99 degrees at Phoenixville (1943) / Low 41 degrees at West Chester (1985) / Rain 1.91" also in West Chester (1917) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Physicsteve Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Mt. Holly’s AFD, you love to see it. Starting Friday beautifully with afternoon storms likely, followed by a perfect summer weekend, unless you're cloudy cool mcbirds. Early June may win most enjoyable weather award. Just hope the storms pan out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted June 14 Author Share Posted June 14 30 minutes ago, Physicsteve said: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Mt. Holly’s AFD, you love to see it. Starting Friday beautifully with afternoon storms likely, followed by a perfect summer weekend, unless you're cloudy cool mcbirds. Early June may win most enjoyable weather award. Just hope the storms pan out. Mike calling out Birds (probably me as well)! Short range mesos don't look overly impressed with storms this evening, but mother nature is gonna do what's she's gonna do. 77F/DP 70F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Current temp 91/DP 72/RH 55% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Not looking to great for significant showers today. Only the odd hrrr runs drop something decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Made it up to 88 for a high yesterday and after a 69 "low" this morning, I have hit 90 now for a current and dp 69, with partly sunny skies and lots of cumulus (including some dark stuff rolling in from the west). Looks like an early line so might be pre-frontal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Not really a line of showers there more like a wave of humidity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Here we go! Quote Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 415 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 455 PM EDT FRI JUN 14 2024 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 415 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS PAC017-029-045-091-101-150100- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0415.240614T2055Z-240615T0100Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUCKS CHESTER DELAWARE MONTGOMERY PHILADELPHIA $$ ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI... Quote Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 415 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 455 PM EDT FRI JUN 14 2024 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 415 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS PAC017-029-045-091-101-150100- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0415.240614T2055Z-240615T0100Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUCKS CHESTER DELAWARE MONTGOMERY PHILADELPHIA $$ ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI... Currently overcast IMBY and 86 with dp 69. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Wow the odd Hrrrr run is going to nail it power out already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Getting some big splats. Put the patio umbrella down. Temp now 85 with dp 70. My high will most likely be that 90 earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Pea size hail almost looks like snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 3 hours ago, RedSky said: Not looking to great for significant showers today. Only the odd hrrr runs drop something decent. I think Mt. Holly said it was a pre-frontal trough. Right now the radar has all kinds of junk and stuff bubbling up. Hope you get your power back quick though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 High here today was 93 we just had some heavy downpours picked up a quick 0.25 just really light rain now. I saw one weak lightning strike a few rumbles of thunder call it garden variety thundershowers with winds gusting to 25-30 mph. Currently: 70 humidity 84% dewpoint 65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 2 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: I think Mt. Holly said it was a pre-frontal trough. Right now the radar has all kinds of junk and stuff bubbling up. Hope you get your power back quick though! Power in reality never goes out here the genny kicks on automatic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: Power in reality never goes out here the genny kicks on automatic Excellent! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Am now under a STW. Getting >3/4"/hr rates and have 0.14" in the bucket at post time. Lots of convection being picked up on the lightning detector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Hail on the welcome mat in Bryn Mawr. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted June 14 Author Share Posted June 14 Something just popped up overhead, heavy downpour with gusty winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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