TimB Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 21 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Those HRRR temperatures though... 96/50 doesn’t exist in our climate and this seems to be typical HRRR overmixing. 0z has us at 99/53 on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Calling it on the 8th of the month - a 13th consecutive above normal month is in the bag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 51 minutes ago, TimB said: Calling it on the 8th of the month - a 13th consecutive above normal month is in the bag. Not really going out too far on a limb. PIT is at +3.4F. Given the forecast for the next week, I would expect the mid-month departure to be similar (or even higher). The week 2 outlook from CPC has above normal temperatures coast to coast. The week 3-4 outlook [through 8/2] has above normal temperatures coast to coast. We'd probably need the second half of June to be 4F below normal just to get to normal. I don't think there's been a half month stretch that cold in ages, let alone in the summer when natural variability is at a minimum. And we'd also need to have a monumental forecasting failure of epic proportions to do that. So I'd put the chances of a below normal July at this point at <1%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 We’re stalling a little bit getting to 90. I think we’ll still make it but being stuck at 89 since right before 2pm is classic Pittsburgh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 5 minutes ago, Ahoff said: We’re stalling a little bit getting to 90. I think we’ll still make it but being stuck at 89 since right before 2pm is classic Pittsburgh. Would be surprised if we didn’t touch 90 at some point in the past hour. Every 5 minute obs since 2:40 has been a rounded 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Just ticked to 91, lol. Knew we’d get there, but it’s always weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 All 7 of our 90s this year have been 91 or better. Edit: today’s high will likely be 92, which is the 6th day this year to reach 92 or higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted July 9 Author Share Posted July 9 URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 319 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024 PAZ020-021-029-031-073-075-WVZ003-004-012-021-509-100000- /O.NEW.KPBZ.HT.Y.0002.240709T1600Z-240710T0000Z/ Beaver-Allegheny-Washington-Greene-Westmoreland-Fayette-Ohio- Marshall-Wetzel-Marion-Monongalia- Including the cities of Beaver Falls, Ambridge, Greensburg, Monaca, Washington, Aliquippa, Moundsville, Fairmont, Latrobe, Lower Burrell, Pittsburgh Metro Area, Wheeling, Monessen, Canonsburg, New Kensington, Murrysville, New Martinsville, Waynesburg, Morgantown, and Uniontown 319 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2024 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heat index values up to 104 expected. * WHERE...Portions of southwest and western Pennsylvania and northern and the northern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From noon today to 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. && $$ Shallenberger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 Here comes the slow climb, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 1 hour ago, Ahoff said: Here comes the slow climb, lol. 8 straight 5-minute observations of 90. Got to think even with the rounding at some point, it ticked up sufficiently to reach a true 90F reading. But yeah, cloud cover was much too heavy for to see 94+. Not sure where the NWS was expecting to see heat advisory criteria met today, let alone heat index values up to 104F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 1 minute ago, TheClimateChanger said: 8 straight 5-minute observations of 90. Got to think even with the rounding at some point, it ticked up sufficiently to reach a true 90F reading. But yeah, cloud cover was much too heavy for to see 94+. Not sure where the NWS was expecting to see heat advisory criteria met today, let alone heat index values up to 104F. Yeah, it was a head scratcher. Saw the satellite this morning on the news and it looked pretty clear those Beryl clouds were getting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 We might have to wait for the climate report to be issued on this one, but odds are looking pretty good. Now going on 2 hours of consecutive 5-min obs of 90, though the hourly was 89. Edit: once again hit 91 on the hourly obs, so it’ll be another official one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 Looks like 92 was the official high again. Pretty impressive actually considering the cloud cover. Morgantown made it up to 95F, but there was more sun there this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 Still 81 at midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 Still around 80! If we have sun, it will get to 90+ again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 As a reminder, the warmest temperature ever observed at Pittsburgh International at 8am is 82. It’s at 82 and rising with a half hour to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 Crazy. My backyard only made it down to 77°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 And there it is. 83 at PIT at 8am, an all time record for that hour. Also a heat index of 87, which is also the highest on record for 8am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 PIT has already reached the high of 87 that the NWS point and click was forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 Holy sh*t! 87 at 9am. We’re hitting 90 I think. Maybe that 94 is in play. Heat advisory may have been more appropriate today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 10 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Holy sh*t! 87 at 9am. We’re hitting 90 I think. Maybe that 94 is in play. Heat advisory may have been more appropriate today. I think 90 is a guarantee but there are plenty of clouds upstream associated with convection ahead of a cold front in eastern Ohio, so it’s a race to see how hot we can get before those clouds and the front get here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 24 minutes ago, TimB said: I think 90 is a guarantee but there are plenty of clouds upstream associated with convection ahead of a cold front in eastern Ohio, so it’s a race to see how hot we can get before those clouds and the front get here. Yeah, there will be clouds, but 94 feels more likely today than yesterday, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 Like a miniature Ike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 90 is official. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 4 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said: Like a miniature Ike. PIT gusted to 47 on the hourly obs and AGC gusted to 48 on the previous hourly obs, so this has verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 92 again today, second heat wave in the books, and looks like a third maybe Saturday-Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 8 hours ago, TimB said: And there it is. 83 at PIT at 8am, an all time record for that hour. Also a heat index of 87, which is also the highest on record for 8am. Looks like we may have tied the 10am 88 temperature as well. I'd like to know what happened on July 24, 1989. How did the temperature jump more than 10 degrees from 8am to 9am, then drop 6 at least 6 degrees at 10 am? Considering the high that day was 94, and there was no rain, I don't see how that would happen. That has to be an error, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 Radar in upstate NY is nuts. Looks like something you'd see in TX or OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 8 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Looks like we may have tied the 10am 88 temperature as well. I'd like to know what happened on July 24, 1989. How did the temperature jump more than 10 degrees from 8am to 9am, then drop 6 at least 6 degrees at 10 am? Considering the high that day was 94, and there was no rain, I don't see how that would happen. That has to be an error, right? I believe that’s an error. I eliminated that day and there was a similar error on the day after as well. Highly unlikely it was in the 90s at 9am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now