Itstrainingtime Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Seems that we cannot go a summer without major drought issues even if some get lucky some years...the overall trend, big picture, is many areas of the LSV or near go through drought every summer. It does seem that way. And this year the spinner pointed to our way down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 ICON has MDT at 84 at 2pm on Wednesday. Has more precip in the area, with LNS 88 at the same time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 After a series of early defeats, Team Model/front pass comes back with the Icon and gets on the board with MDT only at 84 for its 2PM temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 Loving the 48 hour model - temp PBP. It's truly an elite thread when I can read this kind of analysis. Next up is a Jomboy breakdown on Snowman's meal prep. (If you're a sports fan and don't watch Jomboy, you're missing out.) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Loving the 48 hour model - temp PBP. It's truly an elite thread when I can read this kind of analysis. Next up is a Jomboy breakdown on Snowman's meal prep. Glad you are enjoying the content! :-). I might as well give you some more! Rgem is a push slight to Team Canderson's side with less precip and a high near 90. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 Seems that we cannot go a summer without major drought issues even if some get lucky some years...the overall trend, big picture, is many areas of the LSV or near go through drought every summer. 2011 - 2018 we had opposite problem. I think we just need to get used to having huge swings the last several yearsSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 92 at 11:30 a.m. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 91 - day #18 in the 90s. Should be day #9 at or above 85. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 86 here. Some light showers in southern Lanco. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 93 for my Nooner 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 GFS has MDT at 83 at 2pm on Wednesday and 86 at 5pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 @Itstrainingtime the 18Z GFS has you and MJS getting 1.5" of rain on Wed. Lock it in? Can of corn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 15 Author Share Posted July 15 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 538 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1220 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2024 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 538 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS PAC015-023-035-047-081-083-105-113-115-117-123-131-152300- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0538.240715T1620Z-240715T2300Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADFORD CAMERON CLINTON ELK LYCOMING MCKEAN POTTER SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA TIOGA WARREN WYOMING $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 53 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @Itstrainingtime the 18Z GFS has you and MJS getting 1.5" of rain on Wed. Lock it in? Can of corn? Can of corn? I'm thinking more like Alex Verdugo in the 9th inning yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Can of corn? I'm thinking more like Alex Verdugo in the 9th inning yesterday. So, you are waiting until you see the whites of the qpf's eyes. Good call. Addition by subtraction for Boston and Verdugo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 95 at 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 1 minute ago, canderson said: 95 at 1 Right behind you at 94. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: So, you are waiting until you see the whites of the qpf's eyes. Good call. Addition by subtraction for Boston and Verdugo. Agree 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 97/70Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 89/72 here. The focus on the heat has moved to central and East LSV today as evidenced by this graphic showing upper 80s and low 90's for most west points. A few higher numbers out west but not nearly like yesterday when we had some 100 readings by now. Only 88 just SW of Hanover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 87°F and sunny. It was cloudy most of the morning. No rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 89/72 here. The focus on the heat has moved to central and East LSV today as evidenced by this graphic showing upper 80s and low 90's for most west points. A few higher numbers out west but not nearly like yesterday when we had some 100 readings by now. Only 88 just SW of Hanover. Id love to know what causes these little micro heat domesSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 87°F and sunny. It was cloudy most of the morning. No rain. Your going to get a severe storm and lawn munch if you like it or not Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 For 18z Wednesday at MDT CMC has 84, UK has 89, and Euro 83. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 9 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: For 18z Wednesday at MDT CMC has 84, UK has 89, and Euro 83. Whoa, a late comeback gives the under 90 side the win at 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 47 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 89/72 here. The focus on the heat has moved to central and East LSV today as evidenced by this graphic showing upper 80s and low 90's for most west points. A few higher numbers out west but not nearly like yesterday when we had some 100 readings by now. Only 88 just SW of Hanover. I'm wondering like @Jns2183 is - what happened yesterday? It is "normal" for my area to be (several degrees) warmer than over your way. Yesterday's high was perfectly forecasted for here...low to mid 90s. My high was 94. Why was your area suddenly so ridiculously hot yesterday, only to see it revert back to the norm today? Was it supposed to be as hot as it was over your way yesterday? I wasn't aware that anyone close to here was going to make a run at 100 yesterday. Your obs really caught me off guard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Whoa, a late comeback gives the under 90 side the win at 12Z. Most of the disparity seems to be driven by the presence of storms, rather than the front pushing through, so I would still lean towards some part of the day getting above 90 if I were a betting man. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Most of the disparity seems to be driven by the presence of storms, rather than the front pushing through, so I would still lean towards some part of the day getting above 90 if I were a betting man. I "need" a 90 on Wednesday - that gets me to an even 20 days for the year. I would not feel right stuck at 19. Kind of like the volume on my TV remote...it has to be a 15, 20, 25, 30, etc. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 98 at 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 15 Share Posted July 15 I "need" a 90 on Wednesday - that gets me to an even 20 days for the year. I would not feel right stuck at 19. Kind of like the volume on my TV remote...it has to be a 15, 20, 25, 30, etc. 1966 had 57 for June, July, August Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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