Blizzard of 93 Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 The ensembles of the GFS, Canadian & Euro each keep the core of the potential late month warm up in the Central & Midwest states, while our region stays relatively near normal. If this verifies, we will have a chance at a finishing a below normal month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 I thought Sunday was supposed to be the big rain day, but then I see this... Today Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, then showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. High near 73. Southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Beyond that, the high end of my point and click forecast is 4.5" by Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 28 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I am looking forward to you extrapolating the remaining August numbers to hopefully score us a below normal month at MDT. Appreciate that. I think I’ll do some number crunching sometime this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 49 minutes ago, Voyager said: I thought Sunday was supposed to be the big rain day, but then I see this... Today Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, then showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. High near 73. Southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Beyond that, the high end of my point and click forecast is 4.5" by Monday. They’ve cut me down today to .25-.5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 Picked up .55” overnight, currently looking like everything is to the West of me. I see I am in a flood watch this afternoon. 72 degrees, Dew 68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 Starting to see the early colors on the trees.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 Not our best weather weekend on the way. Some showers have already moved through the county this morning with more on the way through the weekend. We should start to see clearing later in the day on Monday. We then fall to well below normal temperatures starting on Tuesday...in fact on Tuesday some higher spots in Chester County may struggle to escape the 60's for high temps. We should see high temps for the remainder of the week staying in the below normal 70's all work week. Chester County records for today: High 100 degrees at Phoenixville (1944) / Low 41 degrees at Hopewell (1979) / Rain 5.28" at Coatesville (1928) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 Just under a half inch (.47") of rain so far. KITT has had .36" about 2/10ths of a mile away. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 1 hour ago, canderson said: They’ve cut me down today to .25-.5” Wow! That's quite the difference between locations. So far, today's tally is 0.15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 Round one looks to be in the books here and I’m a little under a tenth of an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 7 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Round one looks to be in the books here and I’m a little under a tenth of an inch. I was fortunate to get under an insanely heavy downpour earlier. Most of my total came in about 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 Wow! That's quite the difference between locations. So far, today's tally is 0.15"I'm still over 1"Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 15 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was fortunate to get under an insanely heavy downpour earlier. Most of my total came in about 10 minutes. I saw that during one of my many glances of RadarScope this morning and thought you might be getting hit pretty good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 Only 0.05” in the rain bucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 43 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Only 0.05” in the rain bucket . That's what fell here overnight. Looks like things are starting to percolate to our west/sw now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 CTP has cut my precip back to .1-.25” through tonight. I’m not expecting rain today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 What rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 Dry as the eye can see. The Blizzard of 93 Late Summer Drought has begun, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 CTP shot the horse finally. Removed any rain from today's forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 2 hours ago, Atomixwx said: What rain? I was just gonna ask, where's my rain? CTP had me down for 1-2 inches, but it's nowhere to be found. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 31 minutes ago, Voyager said: I was just gonna ask, where's my rain? CTP had me down for 1-2 inches, but it's nowhere to be found. Eh, I gave you a heads up, right? LOL. Your family reunion should be blasting away! Will be up early tomorrow watering the yard again unless Blizz wants to pay someone else to do it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 Mesos's suggest all the gaudy forecasts from the last day or two are mostly going to fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 17 Share Posted August 17 Pending tomorrow’s outcome, this could be quite the forecast bust. But as Bubbler mentioned, it was always going to be kind of a scattered convection type day so no guarantees. Still, I don’t think any of us thought the radar would be as paltry as it was today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Trying to put my two-year-old to bed as a storm approaches. "Storm's coming," from a near sleeping little guy. He's caught the bug. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 This thunderstorm out here is bringing the sound and light. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 This thunderstorm out here is bringing the sound and light. So jealous NWS must be concerned about the total whiff out here for tomorrow Nothing like posting flood watches, calling for heavy rain than absolute nothing. Embarrassing even. Throw computers out window and shoot with bazooka badSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 For those of you who may watch on the YT, Peter Santenello was in central PA recently and dropped a video this morning. He starts in Johnstown but quickly cuts to Spring Run (Path Valley) off the Turnpike near Bubblerville and keeps going east. Pretty interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 18 Author Share Posted August 18 NWS put a few more counties in the Flood Watch until tomorrow night. Including Dauphin County. So I guess the NWS is expecting rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 18 Author Share Posted August 18 Flood Watch National Weather Service State College PA 323 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 PAZ037-042-051>053-057-058-181530- /O.CON.KCTP.FA.A.0008.000000T0000Z-240819T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Tioga-Sullivan-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Dauphin-Schuylkill- Including the cities of Mansfield, Laporte, Sunbury, Wellsboro, Berwick, Danville, Harrisburg, Hershey, Shamokin, Pottsville, and Bloomsburg 323 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following counties, Columbia, Dauphin, Montour, Northumberland, Schuylkill, Sullivan and Tioga. * WHEN...Through this evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Area creeks and streams are running high and could flood with more heavy rain. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain will occur today, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours, but may extend into the first half of the night. Much of the area had heavy rain from Tropical Cyclone Debby a little over a week ago. The rain may be heavy enough to lead to flash flooding. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 18 Author Share Posted August 18 Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 331 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 PAZ057>059-065-066-190745- Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-York-Lancaster- 331 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater and large hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter are possible this afternoon into early tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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