Jns2183 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 I knew it was, I was surprised you were still droughted. I hope Summer 2024-2025 you can drive to the far Western LSV and see lush grass (or jsut beyond in my case). Haha, I'm guessing for the great valley to have lush green in heart of summer that he will be driving there on his evacuation route due to Marysville flooding under 25" of rain. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 55 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: State College radar has some sprinkles, but remember the beam is at 7200 ft and Sterling's beam at Harrisburg is at 8500ft. Which is why everyone's been waiting for that dopplar radar in Lancaster to open. Speaking of which does anyone have any idea what's going on with it? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk I don’t believe it’s being made public, which absolutely stinks if true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 I don’t believe it’s being made public, which absolutely stinks if true. I know all of us are waiting for it, but that’s probably like 20’people and 15 of them are on here, lol.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Here is 21z HRRR, 18Z 3kNam, 18z HRDPS (high resolution rgem I think) all at 15z or 11am tomorrow morning. Haha, definitely a whole lot of spread there. Sent from my SM-X210 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Lancaster has either 0.10", 2.1", 4.3" there Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Here is 21z HRRR, 18Z 3kNam, 18z HRDPS (high resolution rgem I think) all at 15z or 11am tomorrow morning. Haha, definitely a whole lot of spread there. Sent from my SM-X210 using Tapatalklol, I go from 0.1” to 4.9”.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Tornado warning northern delegate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Tornado warning in Delaware soon to be in PASent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Tornado warning northern Delaware... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 This firehouse is impressive. 4.5" in 3 hoursSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 5 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: This firehouse is impressive. 4.5" in 3 hours Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Just goes to show how hard this stuff is to predict and how there are always surprises. I don’t think anyone out that way was expecting anything that vigorous this early. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 We've been Meso'dMesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0841NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD631 PM EDT Thu Aug 08 2024Areas affected...Portions of the Mid-Atlantic...Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possibleValid 082230Z - 090400ZSUMMARY...Back-building efficient tropical showers. Bandedstreaks of enhanced rainfall and flash flooding likely to continuethrough early overnight period.DISCUSSION...Regional RADAR depicts a tightening mid-leveldeformation/FGEN zone highlighted by the more dense stratiformshield extending from the Blue Ridge across central MD toward theDelaware River Valley. CIRA LPW and 850-700mb RH analysissuggests the core of the warm conveyor belt is directed from theOuter Banks directly up the Chesapeake Bay. It is at thisintersection that the strongest deep layer moisture convergence isanalyzed and 22z surface streamlines veer slightly through theDelmarva peninsula to enhanced surface moisture convergence. Thishas resulted in prolonged training event across N DE with 5"+rainfall has already fallen; the wave and deformation zone islifting slowly into SE PA, but given strong intersectionconvergence with the deformation zone broader ascent and afavorable back-building environment still will remain with veryslow northward progress over the next few hours. Combine thiswith frictional convergence affects and additional convectivebands may start to develop across N MD and maintain across W MD/EWV as well.A wedge of weak to modest instability (500-1000+ J/kg) is forecastto maintain given advection off the warmer eastern Atlanticthrough the evening. The core of 2.25-2.5" TPW in the warmconveyor belt will continue to be advected on 40-50kts of 850mbflow, so efficient flux convergence will continue to supportshallow tropical warm core convection capable of 2-3"/hr rates. As such, narrow streets of 3-5" remain possible. The MPD areaalso aligns with lowered FFG due to recent Predecessor RainfallEvent (PRE) in the last couple of days. Hourly FFG values lessthan 1.5" stretch much of the area of concern with 3-6hr FFG notmuch higher at 2.5-3" with exception of Northern VA/southern MDand S NJ. As such, focused bands of flash flooding are likelythough given the bands will be relatively narrow and widelyscattered. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Am I crazy - the center seems way west of forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Am I crazy - the center seems way west of forecast? Not caring about where center goes anymore. More concerned about those training bands setting up. Those lead to prolific rainfall.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Just now, Superstorm said: Not caring about where center goes anymore. More concerned about those training bands setting up. Those lead to prolific rainfall. . I just care for potential heavy wind setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Not caring about where center goes anymore. More concerned about those training bands setting up. Those lead to prolific rainfall..These have to have some great ratesSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 I just care for potential heavy wind setup. Very true on the east side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 These have to have some great ratesSent from my SM-G970U using TapatalkItstraining incoming!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 4 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: These have to have some great rates Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Best on and off rain since last fall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 That tornado warning in Delaware was PDS, first ever for state, and verifiedSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 22 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I hope you get some good rains over the next few days so you can put the hose away for awhile. The beginning of Debby is not far below the M/D. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 That tornado warning in Delaware was PDS, first ever for state, and verifiedSent from my SM-G970U using TapatalkThey never had a tornado????. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 They never had a tornado????.First ever PDS warning Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 Possibly multiple tornadoes on ground south of DCSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 Solid mod rain has arrived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 9 Author Share Posted August 9 .16 rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 Steady rain has arrived here. 70/70°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 Gonna need a raft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 Biblical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 A very warm 77 here. Myrtle came to me instead of the opposite. Most of Debby misses to the west of the majority (Atomixx scored and a small part of the LSV) but about to start raining from the front. Still less than 2" for the whole event but about to pop over. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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