Bubbler86 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Mu does not agree with the meso's: MU Weather Center @MUweather Heavy showers and embedded T-storms associated with a mesoscale convective system (MCS) will continue to move eastward across the Lower Susquehanna Valley through 1-2 PM. Additional development is likely this afternoon, but this may stabilize the atmosphere and prevent #severewx. I assume the line coming through now (and starting to look lesser) is the 1-2PM stuff. HRRR has almost nothing the rest of the day. But HRRR did not have this stuff either. My read of his mention is that this line may limit anything else like the HRRR is showing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 Southern tier will get screwed again. Unbelievable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 River wins. So often something minor approaches then turns into a big deal when it hits the might susky. From 1961 to 1991 the official observation site was at KCXY and it's mean rainfall was 40.21". So yes that 5 mile jaunt across the river had substantial documented affect with both precipitation and temperaturesSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 2 minutes ago, anotherman said: Southern tier will get screwed again. Unbelievable. Yeah...it doesn't look good for a while for people south of Rt. 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I assume the line coming through now (and starting to look lesser) is the 1-2PM stuff. HRRR has almost nothing the rest of the day. But HRRR did not have this stuff either. My read of his mention is that this line may limit anything else like the HRRR is showing. Good point. And probably correct. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 3 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: From 1961 to 1991 the official observation site was at KCXY and it's mean rainfall was 40.21". So yes that 5 mile jaunt across the river had substantial documented affect with both precipitation and temperatures Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Case in point as to why it is not a good spot for area wide measurements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 2 Author Share Posted August 2 Dewpoint 78.4 here and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 Man it sure has been dark today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 Partly Sunny and 84 nooner. MDT flirting with 90 but not sure if they made it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Partly Sunny and 84 nooner. MDT flirting with 90 but not sure if they made it. Not sure that they did - Lanco and east is running well above everyone else due to more sunshine. I'm sitting at 92 at home right now. Some mid 90s showing up already to my east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Partly Sunny and 84 nooner. MDT flirting with 90 but not sure if they made it. Lots of 70s (even some low to mid 70s) just to your west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Lots of 70s (even some low to mid 70s) just to your west. That was the quandary for whether the Great CPC Heat Wave of 2024 would continue today...where would the 90's get to before the clouds and rain arrived. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 Nooner 82 degrees and sprinkles/ light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 Sunday, Sunday, Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Sunday, Sunday, Sunday Camp Hill Crusher? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Camp Hill Crusher? Red Lexus Lashing? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 I love this look if it happened... conveyer of moisture feed from the Trop storm interacting with a front. That has flood possibilities. That front pushes it away afterwards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 Cell just blew up JUST to my WNW - watching to see if it expands further over me. Additional cells starting to pop in York and Adams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I love this look if it happened... conveyer of moisture feed from the Trop storm interacting with a front. That has flood possibilities. That front pushes it away afterwards. Sure does. We always seem to have our worst flooding episodes when tropical remnants interact with stalled out frontal boundaries. Lee in 2011 really stands out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: Sure does. We always seem to have our worst flooding episodes when tropical remnants interact with stalled out frontal boundaries. Lee in 2011 really stands out. You had to go there, didn't you? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 @Jns2183 you seem to want to see this in action so the radar from Noon to 12:30 shows cells pop as they rise into the South Mountain chain to my SW, dying as they descended through the first valley albeit it a small dip down, then expanding again as they rise into the second chain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 I love this look if it happened... conveyer of moisture feed from the Trop storm interacting with a front. That has flood possibilities. That front pushes it away afterwards. Beautiful PreSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 Somehow escaped all 3 of these: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 Case in point as to why it is not a good spot for area wide measurements. Which area? They both have issues. What would be best is have a good weather stations in Mechanicsburg, camp hill, lewisbwrry, enola, linglestown, midtown, downtown, middletown, hummelstown and take average Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 The lightning is even worse at home today then it was yesterday at the office. Cloud to ground strikes happening very close to the house. Pouring rain. Dead calm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 MU Weather Center @MUweather Storms are now really starting to intensify east of the Susquehanna River as they encounter a hotter and more unstable environment. Localized flash flooding of low-lying, poor-drainage, and urban areas may occur, as well as isolated wind gusts of 50-60 mph. For those that get missed today, you'll have an excellent chance of "cashing in" on showers and storms tomorrow. Another vigorous disturbance will traverse the mid-Atlantic States from west-to-east, and the environment will be equally as moist and unstable as today.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 Picked up a quick .40” of rain here in Lebanon and round 3 is starting now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 Been on a pretty rough run here at the IMBY level, if something fires up around here the last few weeks it finds a way to miss. 0.08” on the day and 0.46” last 7 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 20 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Which area? They both have issues. What would be best is have a good weather stations in Mechanicsburg, camp hill, lewisbwrry, enola, linglestown, midtown, downtown, middletown, hummelstown and take average Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk I cannot think of a worse spot for the LSV/S Central PA official recording to be done beside the one entity in the area that both alters temps and precip. But yes, triangulate may be better for temps. but precip not so sure however you need a MUCH larger area to triangulate. MDT is my official station, it is the official station of areas an hour to your north, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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