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One more cloudy day today before a great stretch of weather through at least Monday. Cooler starting tonight with some spots in Chester County possibly touching the 50's tonight and tomorrow night.
Chester County records for today: High 100 degrees at Phoenixville (1930) / Low 47 degrees at Coatesville (1976) / Rain 5.17" at Nottingham (2021)
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1910** - 2023 Annual Snowfall
**For my 10 year periods I took annual amounts back to 1889 so my first 10 year period was 1898

For Consecutive 10 year decadal totals 1898 - 1959

62 years of counting (72 of Data)
Decadal Min 251.4"
Decadal Avg 321.8"
Decadal Max 409.4
Std Dev 39.98


1960 - 1969
Min 317.1
Mean 437.86
Max 504.50
Std dev 62.68
Its mean was +2.90 std dev
It's max was +2.38 std dev

That's a 1% chance for max
0.30% chance for mean.
The gamma distribution after fitting gives similar to exact chances.

At end of 1969 the std dev from 1898 - 1969 was 59.20

For decadal 1898-Presant
Mean 328.8
Min 240.05
Std Dev 55.30 (38% jump since before 1960)

Our latest decade reading is 258.5
The equivalent to 1960s on the bad side would be if for next 10 years our decadal mean dropped to 210.6 (-32%)
Our min 181 (-25%)

It definitely is possible if our horrid past 5 years doesn't break. The 5 year period ending 2023 was 3rd lowest ever at 95.5" (95.1" 1934) (90.5" 1992). 2024 still technically has a few months where it could snow (mean last 20 yrs: Oct - 0.275 Nov - 1.12" Dec - 4.91" TOT - 6.3 MaxTOT - 14.5") but is sitting at a horrendous 81.9" currently and likely go no higher than 87".

In fact if we average
If you take that 60s decade out
Mean 318.04
Max 435.4
Min 240.8
Std dev 40.77


While it seems the 2020s I'm making a legit push for the decade opposite of the 1960s with a comparable derth of snow and years like 2023 being the exact opposite of years like 1961 with its 81.7", it still has quite an uphill battle to match the absurdity of the '60s. And even if it does it is not the end of the world. The 1960s came out of nowhere and went and those who lived through it thought it was ushering a new era of snow. They were wrong.




Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

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I don't need any more rain at my location for at least 4days. With over 2 and a half inches that fell this week plus I was pumping water out of the creek to water the garden before we got this rain. Now the garden is saturated and there is water laying at various spots in the garden.

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50 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Oh boy, the GFS has always been on the heat wave bandwagon, but it really stepped up the game today.   CMC still sees breaks and no Heatwave through its run. 

Nws is not that hot thru Wednesday here. I'm going to Williamsburg next week for a few days and even down there it's not that bad with max temps in the upper 80's.

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4 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Nws is not that hot thru Wednesday here. I'm going to Williamsburg next week for a few days and even down there it's not that bad with max temps in the upper 80's.

Team the GFS super heat is past mid-week next week.   Friday on...one or two maps were 102 or 103 at 18Z.    Speaking of 18Z it is sure to change then, just the mid 100's caught my eye. 

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8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

TCC vs. DT in a no holds barred match?

 

 

Oh man...the possibilities! TCC calmly and repetitively stating that a new daily max was broken in Dubois PA while DT foams out a "no fuking person lives in fuking Dubois u idiot" in response...

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2 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Oh man...the possibilities! TCC calmly and repetitively stating that a new daily max was broken in Dubois PA while DT foams out a "no fuking person lives in fuking Dubois u idiot" in response...

I can’t stop laughing at this post!

Well done!

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