Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Low of 66 with .08" of rainfall. More importantly, all three American wrestlers who are competing in Paris today have advanced to the semifinals. Let's goooooo!!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Bubbler, radar looks good over your way now with these appetizers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Just now, mitchnick said: appetizers. For somebody who breaks fast at 8:00 AM, this may be the most timely post in the history of this entire forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 12 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Bubbler, radar looks good over your way now with these appetizers. Yes, it has been a soaker. Counting last evening there has been around 1.2". Ninja grass watering may be done for the year if the GFS/GEFS has any clue about much of the rest of August. A lot of rain and little in the way of heat. Plants will still need watered. The immediate 3-5 days after this storm still look dry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 8 Author Share Posted August 8 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yes, it has been a soaker. Counting last evening there has been around 1.2". Ninja watering may be done for the year if the GFS/GEFS has any clue about much of the rest of August. A lot of rain and little in the way of heat. .02 here yesterday. Glad your getting rain. I hope it's not too late to cancel your Voyager delivery of water. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 13 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: .02 here yesterday. Glad your getting rain. I hope it's not too late to cancel your Voyager delivery of water. He denied me water per his post. He was hoarding and said something about "us skooks need to take care of skooks first" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Its dumping in Harrisburg 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Looks like Marysville farms are still eligible to claim drought relief and some info on warm anomalies Northeast Drought Summary On this week’s map, some minor changes were made in the region with improvements in isolated areas of Maine, Vermont, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Delaware, while minor deterioration in drought-related conditions occurred in West Virginia. For the week, areas of the region observed light-to-moderate precipitation accumulations ranging from 1 to 4+ inches with the heaviest accumulations observed in central and eastern Pennsylvania. Average temperatures for the week were 2 to 8+ degrees F above normal across the region with the greatest departures observed across the New England states as well as New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania. According to NOAA’s National Center for Environmental Information (NCEI), the December 2023-June 2024 period (July 2024 data not available) was the warmest (+6.1 degrees F anomaly) on record for the Northeast Climate Region. In terms of precipitation rankings for the contemporaneous period, the region experienced its 3rd wettest (+6.5-inch anomaly) on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 In terms of max totals, if I could be anywhere for this storm, put me on top of Seven Mountains outside of State College. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: In terms of max totals, if I could be anywhere for this storm, put me on top of Seven Mountains outside of State College. Which Seven? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Which Seven? Drive up 322 from Lewistown to State College and find out! LOL .03" here since midnight. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 8 Author Share Posted August 8 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: He denied me water per his post. He was hoarding and said something about "us skooks need to take care of skooks first" I'm disappointed. I was looking forward to Voyager doing a video of him opening that back valve on the tanker and emptying the entire tanker of 8000 gallons of water in your yard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 16 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: In terms of max totals, if I could be anywhere for this storm, put me on top of Seven Mountains outside of State College. I used to spend many parts of the summer at the scout camp there. Does very well for rain up there. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 3 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I used to spend many parts of the summer at the scout camp there. Does very well for rain up there. THIS is the confirmation I was looking for! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Been misting all morning here. The birds & the deer have been pretty active this morning. I guess today I will check my downspouts and get ready to batten the hatches for tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 6z Euro is sorta nbd considering other modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Just now, mitchnick said: 6z Euro is sorta nbd considering other modeling. That tells me to expect very little at my house but just 8 miles away in Philipsburg, a drencher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Just now, Atomixwx said: That tells me to expect very little at my house but just 8 miles away in Philipsburg, a drencher. The Euro has never been the same since the 2017 alleged "update", so I'm not sure how much it can be trusted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: He denied me water per his post. He was hoarding and said something about "us skooks need to take care of skooks first" Me first. You guys get the leftovers...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Some maps of note this morning. Updated flash flood guidance (6hr) Updated Susquehanna Basin Headwater guidance Of particular concern locally I have is with the Little Juniata and Frankstown branches of the Juniata River. These tributaries have some of the most attainable numbers for moderate and major flood categories and they’re colocated with the modeled passage of the remnant core of Debby, where these 3-5” totals are most likely (and likely most of that coming within 6-8hrs). I’ve personally had only 2.3” of rain in the last 30 days, with only 1.25” falling in the last 2 weeks… but 5-10 miles from here has been a completely different story with last Saturday and Tuesday having storms that have dumped 2-3” both times in the areas that cover a good part of the basins of those two tributaries. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 50 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: I'm disappointed. I was looking forward to Voyager doing a video of him opening that back valve on the tanker and emptying the entire tanker of 8000 gallons of water in your yard. You laugh. Sometimes we actually do open up and dump it. Mostly is happens if, after testing, there's too much turbidity which sometimes occurs right after the spring filters are changed, or we get a heavy rain. With our overweight 8,000 gallon tankers, the state only gives us a permit to run from spring to plant. We can't legally take it back to the yard if something goes wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 This post is from yesterday, so the reference for tomorrow is actually today. Impressive streak ongoing and if it doesn't end today there's no end in sight: In other news, the mercury just cracked the 80-degree mark this afternoon at @millersvilleu. Not since June 11th has the high temp been below 80F. Unexpected, but the streak continues! It should finally end tomorrow, but that’s not a guarantee. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 I’m kind of surprised SPC doesn’t have much in their outlook tomorrow for severe in Eastern PA. I feel like there’s a half decent severe threat (of the slight risk variety at least) for winds and brief spin ups. Using the new 12z HRRR here centered on 16z (noon) tomorrow, which I’ve noticed has really sped this event up. Simulated composite Radar: Screaming winds aloft at 850mb Very high helicity/shear, as per usual on the eastern side of a landfalling tropical system Modest but not excessive CAPE: Significant Tor parameter, which incorporates the shear and the CAPE So my interpretation is that the potential is there for severe issues for sure, especially if the HRRR take on having more of a distinct band/squall line is correct. CAPE is limiting factor on actually having cells capable of “significant tornadoes” but the parameter is spiked because of the very high low level shear/helicity. So I feel anything embedded in a band (or bands) will have the capability to bring some of the high winds aloft and potentially spin up some brief tornadoes. Didn’t include it with all the maps but even the 925mb wind speeds are modeled to be 50+ knots in the Sus Valley late morning tomorrow. Wouldn’t take much to mix it down. As mentioned before the HRRR looks faster with the progression than say the NAM. Could be too fast but it is a thing with TC remnants to move along once they’re interacting with a frontal boundary. That could be a limiting factor capping high end rain totals where the remnant core passes thru. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 I should have been more specific when I said I didn't see a severe threat - I believed it was going to be E of any of. But the maps MAG posted show it W of what I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 8 minutes ago, canderson said: I should have been more specific when I said I didn't see a severe threat - I believed it was going to be E of any of. But the maps MAG posted show it W of what I thought. It’ll depend on the track of the remnant low. If it follows what the NHC has for its track via the 8am advisory then best severe parameters likely would be just east of the Sus Valley. Most modelling I’ve looked at so far this morning though, global and high res, seem to have the remnant low of Debby tracking thru true central or even west central PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 CTP has me now with 1.25-2.5" rain Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 This post is from yesterday, so the reference for tomorrow is actually today. Impressive streak ongoing and if it doesn't end today there's no end in sight:In other news, the mercury just cracked the 80-degree mark this afternoon at @millersvilleu. Not since June 11th has the high temp been below 80F. Unexpected, but the streak continues! It should finally end tomorrow, but that’s not a guarantee.It’s ending today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 2 minutes ago, Superstorm said: It’s ending today . MU just mentioned that, as well as this: @MUweather A #FloodWatch is in effect for central & northern PA from 2 AM Friday to 2 AM Saturday. Perry, Cumberland & Franklin Co's are included in the watch, & I wouldn't be surprised to see it expanded into York/Adams/Dauphin Co's. #Debby's track has ticked back slightly farther east.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: MU just mentioned that, as well as this: @MUweather A #FloodWatch is in effect for central & northern PA from 2 AM Friday to 2 AM Saturday. Perry, Cumberland & Franklin Co's are included in the watch, & I wouldn't be surprised to see it expanded into York/Adams/Dauphin Co's. #Debby's track has ticked back slightly farther east.. Tick it east some more please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Just now, Voyager said: Tick it east some more please. Yes! I want out of the potential Tornado zone. I'm "okay" with the rain but the severe I want no part of. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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