ChescoWx Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 One more cloudy day today before a great stretch of weather through at least Monday. Cooler starting tonight with some spots in Chester County possibly touching the 50's tonight and tomorrow night. Chester County records for today: High 100 degrees at Phoenixville (1930) / Low 47 degrees at Coatesville (1976) / Rain 5.17" at Nottingham (2021) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 1910** - 2023 Annual Snowfall **For my 10 year periods I took annual amounts back to 1889 so my first 10 year period was 1898For Consecutive 10 year decadal totals 1898 - 195962 years of counting (72 of Data)Decadal Min 251.4"Decadal Avg 321.8"Decadal Max 409.4Std Dev 39.981960 - 1969Min 317.1Mean 437.86Max 504.50Std dev 62.68Its mean was +2.90 std devIt's max was +2.38 std devThat's a 1% chance for max0.30% chance for mean. The gamma distribution after fitting gives similar to exact chances. At end of 1969 the std dev from 1898 - 1969 was 59.20For decadal 1898-PresantMean 328.8Min 240.05Std Dev 55.30 (38% jump since before 1960)Our latest decade reading is 258.5The equivalent to 1960s on the bad side would be if for next 10 years our decadal mean dropped to 210.6 (-32%)Our min 181 (-25%)It definitely is possible if our horrid past 5 years doesn't break. The 5 year period ending 2023 was 3rd lowest ever at 95.5" (95.1" 1934) (90.5" 1992). 2024 still technically has a few months where it could snow (mean last 20 yrs: Oct - 0.275 Nov - 1.12" Dec - 4.91" TOT - 6.3 MaxTOT - 14.5") but is sitting at a horrendous 81.9" currently and likely go no higher than 87". In fact if we average If you take that 60s decade outMean 318.04Max 435.4Min 240.8Std dev 40.77While it seems the 2020s I'm making a legit push for the decade opposite of the 1960s with a comparable derth of snow and years like 2023 being the exact opposite of years like 1961 with its 81.7", it still has quite an uphill battle to match the absurdity of the '60s. And even if it does it is not the end of the world. The 1960s came out of nowhere and went and those who lived through it thought it was ushering a new era of snow. They were wrong. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 As of right now, I do not have one single day in my forecast from CTP with a high at 90+. Every day going forward is projected to be in the 80s. And I live in the hot box. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 25 Author Share Posted July 25 I don't need any more rain at my location for at least 4days. With over 2 and a half inches that fell this week plus I was pumping water out of the creek to water the garden before we got this rain. Now the garden is saturated and there is water laying at various spots in the garden. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 46 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: As of right now, I do not have one single day in my forecast from CTP with a high at 90+. Every day going forward is projected to be in the 80s. And I live in the hot box. Are we still talking weather? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 Another day, another nooners in the 70's. Cloudy and 76. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 Heavy shower developing right over me now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 14 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Heavy shower developing right over me now. Just under .2" in around 15 minutes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 It's been a gorgeous few days in between the much needed rain. My yard is almost all the way back. We're going to pay for this shit in August and September, aren't we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 Oh boy, the GFS has always been on the heat wave bandwagon, but it really stepped up the game today. CMC still sees breaks and no Heatwave through its run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 50 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Oh boy, the GFS has always been on the heat wave bandwagon, but it really stepped up the game today. CMC still sees breaks and no Heatwave through its run. Nws is not that hot thru Wednesday here. I'm going to Williamsburg next week for a few days and even down there it's not that bad with max temps in the upper 80's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Nws is not that hot thru Wednesday here. I'm going to Williamsburg next week for a few days and even down there it's not that bad with max temps in the upper 80's. Don't tell Climate Changer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Nws is not that hot thru Wednesday here. I'm going to Williamsburg next week for a few days and even down there it's not that bad with max temps in the upper 80's. Team the GFS super heat is past mid-week next week. Friday on...one or two maps were 102 or 103 at 18Z. Speaking of 18Z it is sure to change then, just the mid 100's caught my eye. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 10 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Nws is not that hot thru Wednesday here. I'm going to Williamsburg next week for a few days and even down there it's not that bad with max temps in the upper 80's. Hanover about to get their second jack of the day (somewhere near town) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 25 Author Share Posted July 25 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Oh boy, the GFS has always been on the heat wave bandwagon, but it really stepped up the game today. CMC still sees breaks and no Heatwave through its run. Throw the models out. DT said no heat waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 24 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Hanover about to get their second jack of the day (somewhere near town) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 16 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Throw the models out. DT said no heat waves. TCC vs. DT in a no holds barred match? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: TCC vs. DT in a no holds barred match? Oh man...the possibilities! TCC calmly and repetitively stating that a new daily max was broken in Dubois PA while DT foams out a "no fuking person lives in fuking Dubois u idiot" in response... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 13 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Oh man...the possibilities! TCC calmly and repetitively stating that a new daily max was broken in Dubois PA while DT foams out a "no fuking person lives in fuking Dubois u idiot" in response... Maybe I have found a middle ground https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bal_du_Bois 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 The past week's rains have knocked me back by one level: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: The past week's rains have knocked me back by one level: I’m fringed for D1 ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 2 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Oh man...the possibilities! TCC calmly and repetitively stating that a new daily max was broken in Dubois PA while DT foams out a "no fuking person lives in fuking Dubois u idiot" in response... I can’t stop laughing at this post! Well done! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I’m fringed for D1 ! Will have to cut back on showers and car washes! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: That’s a fringe that I want no part of! DuBois in the 70s while I roast in the 90s! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 25 Share Posted July 25 5 minutes ago, canderson said: Cactus water, unique! BUT not as unique and stylish as the red sneakers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 26 Author Share Posted July 26 55 this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 26 Share Posted July 26 1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said: 55 this morning. Wow, Impressive. 40's near Dubois. 62 for the low here. Windows open. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 26 Author Share Posted July 26 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Wow, Impressive. 40's near Dubois. 62 for the low here. Windows open. Blizz will be happy to see the downward trend in temps...snow maps won't be far behind. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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