ace0927 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Maybe, just maybe SW Nassau county will make up for al lthose missed moments. im in woodmere a bit SW of you....since and including feb 2006, every event we have under performed...each and every one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Looking perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 im in woodmere a bit SW of you....since and including feb 2006, every event we have under performed...each and every one But maybe this time we'll get lucky? Hate to see Central park with 21 inches and JFK at 12.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hey guys.. just to let you know... LWX moved up the start of the WSW for some of our counties to start at 10 PM TONIGHT May be sooner than that..light snow reported at patuxent nas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kicking Up A Storm Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I knew the totals would increase. As posted in this thread in the last page, Hurricane now has Philly and N+W at 10-20 inches. Bolaris at Fox has Philly and N+W at 10-15. Wouldnt be surprised if the totals inch (excuse the pun) up a little bit more.....Wonder if ABC is still calling for a C-1inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Wow.... KISP 252336Z 2600/2624 35003KT P6SM OVC070 FM261200 04008KT 6SM -SN OVC015 FM261400 04012G18KT 3SM -SN SCT006 OVC010 FM261800 03018G27KT 1SM -SN BR BKN006 OVC010 FM261900 03025G35KT 1/2SM SN FZFG VV004 FM262100 02032G45KT 1/4SM +SN BLSN FZFG VV003 WS015/02060KT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Light Snow has begun here, didn't expect flurries untill 10 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Wow.... KISP 252336Z 2600/2624 35003KT P6SM OVC070 FM261200 04008KT 6SM -SN OVC015 FM261400 04012G18KT 3SM -SN SCT006 OVC010 FM261800 03018G27KT 1SM -SN BR BKN006 OVC010 FM261900 03025G35KT 1/2SM SN FZFG VV004 FM262100 02032G45KT 1/4SM +SN BLSN FZFG VV003 WS015/02060KT I'm guessing there will be a few airport closures later tomorrow night with TAFs like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Wow.... KISP 252336Z 2600/2624 35003KT P6SM OVC070 FM261200 04008KT 6SM -SN OVC015 FM261400 04012G18KT 3SM -SN SCT006 OVC010 FM261800 03018G27KT 1SM -SN BR BKN006 OVC010 FM261900 03025G35KT 1/2SM SN FZFG VV004 FM262100 02032G45KT 1/4SM +SN BLSN FZFG VV003 WS015/02060KT That is about 60 mph? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIsevereWX Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Looking perfect. I guess this shows major mixing in central to eastern long island? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 SW Nassau really does seem to get less snow in many events, even JFK...you'll also notice that the thundersnow in many of the bigger events tends to miss these areas and setup more over LGA/EWR/NYC for whatever reason...I know in the 96 blizzard that only 15-18 inches generally fell in that region. Last 12/19 really nailed us for several hours, and although we didn't get quite as much as central Suffolk, we definitely had more than Manhattan. 1/22/05 was a huge slam here, and last 2/25 was a pleasant surprise since I measured about a foot here at my house when we were only projected to get a few inches tops the day before. JFK had 28 inches from the PDII storm as well. We don't get as much as places like Brookhaven and Upton, but we've definitely had our share of big time snows. I really like our position for tomorrow actually. The only way I really see us getting screwed is if that megaband starts up over NJ and leaves us relatively high and dry. I might actually like it a touch SE of where the GFS/NAM have it currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I'm guessing there will be a few airport closures later tomorrow night with TAFs like that. The metro airports in NYC handle the snow well, minus LGA which closes more frequently...I expect its likely one of the big three closes at some point for snow removal early Monday AM or late Sunday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I guess this shows major mixing in central to eastern long island? thats what its trying to show....but clown maps shudnt be taken seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I'm so happy much of the storm will be during the day when you can really see it! Night snow is great too and all but it's hard to see its full impact then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 That is about 60 mph? About 50 mph. The quick knots to mph estimate at lower speeds is take the knots divide it by ten and add it to the knots. So 45kt roughly equal to 4.5 + 45 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 About 50 mph. The quick knots to mph estimate at lower speeds is take the knots divide it by ten and add it to the knots. So 45kt roughly equal to 4.5 + 45 mph. Thank you. I remember last February's storm had some potent winds in the middle of the banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Hoping for the best here....like I said, seems things just keep going the wrong way for back here, but maybe the development of this thing will change that, and we can get a 6"+ snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I'm so happy much of the storm will be during the day when you can really see it! Night snow is great too and all but it's hard to see its full impact then. I was hoping for that as well, however it appears that the real fun stuff to watch will be after dark. The height of this storm in my opinion will probably be 8 PM-2 AM in the metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I'm so happy much of the storm will be during the day when you can really see it! Night snow is great too and all but it's hard to see its full impact then. one of my best friends sons Bar Mitzvah party is tomorrow afternoon at 5PM...he is, as DT would put it, FOOKED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Just wow... For JFK from the Nam, thundersnow at around 7pm tomorrow 21 12/26 15Z 31 29 28 14 0.03 0.00 532 541 -8.4 -21.1 1010 100 -SN 000OVC260 0.3 0.7 24 12/26 18Z 31 30 34 21 0.09 0.00 536 540 -6.1 -21.0 1004 100 -SN 000OVC184 0.9 0.6 27 12/26 21Z 31 30 17 22 0.26 0.00 535 535 -5.6 -20.7 999 100 SN OVC186 2.6 0.2 30 12/27 00Z 30 28 7 30 0.42 0.02 535 531 -7.4 -21.5 993 100 TSSN 000OVC223 4.2 0.3 33 12/27 03Z 29 27 357 30 0.31 0.00 533 524 -9.4 -22.1 988 100 SN 002OVC160 3.1 0.4 36 12/27 06Z 27 25 331 27 0.32 0.00 531 518 -10.0 -23.7 983 100 SN 001OVC191 3.2 0.3 39 12/27 09Z 27 25 319 26 0.22 0.00 530 515 -9.9 -25.3 982 100 -SN 001OVC157 2.2 0.7 42 12/27 12Z 26 24 311 25 0.08 0.00 527 515 -9.8 -27.0 984 100 -SN 001OVC180 0.8 1.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 About 50 mph. The quick knots to mph estimate at lower speeds is take the knots divide it by ten and add it to the knots. So 45kt roughly equal to 4.5 + 45 mph. I know I'm splitting hairs here, but it actually converts to 52mph according to this site: http://www.militaryfactory.com/conversioncalculators/speed_knots_to_miles_per_hour.asp Looking at the 18z NAM, it appears that much of the area should see sustained winds of ~25kts+, even well inland. It even shows eastern Long Island having sustained winds of 40-50kts around 10 or 11pm tomorrow night! I haven't been this pumped for a storm in a while. Merry Christmas everyone and I wish us all the best of luck tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 one of my best friends sons Bar Mitzvah party is tomorrow afternoon at 5PM...he is, as DT would put it, FOOKED. I have a good friends wedding tomorrow and yah he's unfortunately pretty fooked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I know I'm splitting hairs here, but it actually converts to 52mph according to this site: http://www.militaryf...es_per_hour.asp Looking at the 18z NAM, it appears that much of the area should see sustained winds of ~25kts+, even well inland. It even shows eastern Long Island having sustained winds of 40-50kts around 10 or 11pm tomorrow night! I haven't been this pumped for a storm in a while. Merry Christmas everyone and I wish us all the best of luck tomorrow! Yeah the correct conversion rate is 1kt = 1.15077945mph or something like that. For less than hurricane force winds however I like estimating it using the quick and dirty kts plus one-tenth method since you can do it easily without a calculator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 one of my best friends sons Bar Mitzvah party is tomorrow afternoon at 5PM...he is, as DT would put it, FOOKED. LOL. What's one man's poison is another man's blessing. Or soon to be man.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 anyone have a rough start time for the phl metro area? im hearing 7, and im hearing noon. Thanks in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 anyone have a rough start time for the phl metro area? im hearing 7, and im hearing noon. Thanks in advance The latest NAM and GFS indicate around 8-9am but its likely this one may come in earlier, maybe 6-7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 The latest NAM and GFS indicate around 8-9am but its likely this one may come in earlier, maybe 6-7am. Light snow is already creeping up into southern NJ; any concerns that this starts quite a bit earlier than expected? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rok Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I don't know about you guys but based off radar this might be underway in the wee early morning hours...moisture is just pluming northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 That is about 60 mph? 1 knot = 1.151 miles per hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Light snow is already creeping up into southern NJ; any concerns that this starts quite a bit earlier than expected? It takes some time to decipher what it will do....remember that snow made it into SNJ at 1am during the 12/2009 event and did not get to NYC til 1-2pm the next afternoon....we're well more saturated this time around in the mid and lower levels at 31/15 30/17...so it will certainly make it easier for thing to get going earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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