RutgersWx92 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Mt. Holly's new snowfall map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtRosen Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The lines at the Waldbaums for bread and milk tomorrow are going to be horrendous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSNN4 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This is Dominic from Chicago. I wanna say congrats and hope you all get plastered. Always interested in watching these east coast bombs. Looks like I may see some lake effect snow for potential of several inches tonight/tommorow. Enjoy! Thanks !! Long Live Tom Skilling !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The lines at the Waldbaums for bread and milk tomorrow are going to be horrendous. Just did the shopping at Foodtown in Hewlett...Stocked up on necessities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/fp0_000.shtml GFS is rolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 So I guess those concerns over little snowfall in December often meaning a poor winter are no more. It looks like we're gonna end the month well above average with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 18z GFS slightly farther east and weaker but it won't make a difference other than maybe a few hundredths of an inch of QPF for some people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The 18Z UKMET is jaw dropping. Link or IMG please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link or IMG please. http://vortex.plymouth.edu/make.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Just issued an update for NBCPHILADELPHIA.COM a few minutes ago... The highlights.... Category 5 (crippling) on our Winter Storm Scale that goes from 1 to 5 10-20 inches for much of the Philadelphia area, with 20"+ toward NYC and Long Island Snow 2-3 inches per hour at the peak Sunday evening DURING the Eagles game! (Thunder possible, too) Near-blizzard conditions during the evening and late night And it's in a relatively strong La Nina. WOW! Glenn Thanks for the update, Glenn. I appreciate your insight on the forum and your hard work during this holiday, now hopefully the dynamics just fall in line. I'm curious which model you were using to demonstrate the higher amounts in the PHL metro area? Was that the GFS? Thanks and good luck with the rest of your forecasting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Nobody will be disappointed with the 18Z GFS at 33... Trust me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 thru 39 hr 1.5"+ for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Major P-type issues for coastal New England and Eastern LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 posting from sunny ft lauderdale () but it seems I will have to live vicariously through your guys' posts....either way its a funny thing about that 18z NAM qpf bomb. I distinctly remember the one for Jan 2005 which showed 18+ even up to 2 ft (so 2+ in of QPF) that obv didn't verify even though we all did very well. With some of the snowier storms the qpf bomb can be quite nuts like 2.5+ at times. I literally just left ft laudy. Just landed back in Newark, just in time for the show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbsoluteVorticity Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RGEM shifts east at 18z, not a hit for most areas from nyc south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Pretty much a crippling snow bomb for most of Long Island and NYC. The twin forks could mix for a time but honestly I think that those west of the 850 low track have nothing to worry about, particularly given the intensity snow will be falling. I think 12-18" is a lock for most areas tomorrow and tomorrow night. N/C NJ could see over 20" since mesobanding loves to set up here in these situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saloo Kaloo Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Looks like Monmouth County northeastward is the bullseye for the storm!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RGEM shifts east at 18z, not a hit for most areas from nyc south. its a hit i-95 east 0.75 - 1.0 nj north into nyc southwest of there its much less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RGEM shifts east at 18z, not a hit for most areas from nyc south. i wouldnt say not a hit, just not as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RGEM shifts east at 18z, not a hit for most areas from nyc south. I just saw it, it is a little east, but surely is "a hit" south of NYC, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I just saw it, it is a little east, but surely is "a hit" south of NYC, Does the RGEM still look ok for Philly and suburbs? I can't see the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Look people it all comes down to where the heavy bands set up, you can't predict that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 1.5" qpf with 12:1 ratios = 18" 1.5" qpf with 15:1 ratios = 22.5" 1.75" qpf with 12:1 ratios = 21" 1.75" qpf with 15:1 ratios = 26" so 18z GFS is pretty much 18-26" for NYC/C NJ/LI PHL around 15 - 18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Does the RGEM still look ok for Philly and suburbs? I can't see the map. 0.25 - 0.50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RGEM shifts east at 18z, not a hit for most areas from nyc south. Its a little east but QPF is identical to prior runs, it still a good hit 20mm or about .8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RGEM shifts east at 18z, not a hit for most areas from nyc south. 18Z RGEM? Are you kidding me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobBensalemSnow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Someone said RGEM not a hit, that's hysterical are people here to provide bad information! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billgwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Strong winds will reduce those snow ratios...I would not go more than 11-1 or 12-1 for that reason. Long day. Time to celebrate Christmas with family and do this all over again tomorrow! Some late Christmas present from Santa huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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