Manny Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 yeah ok- with a 970 something slp 100 miles offshore...OK I'm saying that 10" seems almost certain based on the track and pressure, and more seems more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 2pm update by JB"UPDATING THIS MORNINGS POST.. SEVERE STORM TO SHUT NORTHEAST CORRIDOR PHL NORTHEAST FOR 12-24 HOURS. STORM FORCE GUSTS DELMARVA TO LONG ISLAND WITH 12-24 INCH AMOUNTS LEADING TO MASSIVE DRIFTS. AS BAD OR WORSE THAN ANY OF THE STORMS LAST YEAR FOR MANY PHL TO BOSTON, SOUTHEAST TO THE COAST. ROGUE CHARACTERISTICS WITH PRESSURE NEAR 28. 70 AT MOUTH OF DEL BAY TOMORROW NIGHT AND NEAR 28.55 BEFORE REACHING NEW ENGLAND." From model thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 MM5 total QPF That's 36-60 hours, I believe. Stuff falls before that time http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/mm5rt_data/2010122512/images_d2/pcp24.36.0000.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 SREF mean is a little worse for the mid-atlantic than 9z, but it makes almost no difference once you get north of Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 15z SREFs still looking amazing...low well inside the benchmark to nail the entire region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM22 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 SREF mean is a little worse for the mid-atlantic than 9z, but it makes almost no difference once you get north of Philly. worse, as in good? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 worse, as in good? lol No, I mean a little less snow. But it doesn't matter anyway, you still get 1" QPF from the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 SREFS bring 1" back to the delaware river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 NAM noticeably more amplified at 6 compared to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Sorry for the IMBY question...I am on a cellphone and can't see the SREF. What does the 15z show for NEPA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Sorry for the IMBY question...I am on a cellphone and can't see the SREF. What does the 15z show for NEPA? Between .5-1" QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 at 12, ull low closes over the OH valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 looks like coastal jersay and long island are gonna jackpot in the storm, not only with the snowfall but the severe winds that are gonna start ripping sunday afternoon it is gonna be downright nasty. realistically 2' snow totals for coastal jersey and long island is def not out of the realm with thundersnow with the deformation band as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 looks like a quicker phase then previous runs. stronger run i think.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 boy the 15z SREF means show a clear NW pull from hr 30 to hr 33. hr 30 slp hr 36 slp 2m temps are above 0c for S NJ coast and go above for E LI later on... great for PHL, NYC, C NJ (away from coast), N NJ, W LI but coast might be cutting it close here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 24 18z nam low 175 miles east of norfolk......mod snow along the coast...light snow towards dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 ridge out west still sharp, trough nice and deep at 18hr. NAM should explode this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 27 mod snow close to DC....mod snow from phl-nyc .25+ has fallen so far in phl and nyc... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NickD2011 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Just made a Wikipedia article about the storm. Feel free to edit it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 24 18z nam low 175 miles east of norfolk......mod snow along the coast...light snow towards dc seems east again...hopefully it hooks west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 It's just amazing what has transpired over the past several days. I like to see the NAM shift a bit further west, if it doesn't do it at 18z, hopefully it will by 0z..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 NAM Looking much better folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deano Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Just made a Wikipedia article about the storm. Feel free to edit it Can cut & paste all the past 7 days threads into there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 hr 30 nam crushing phl-nyc with ccb band....it has come in line now folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 wow at 12hr closes off wayyyy west in KY ... like 12.21 euro bombs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 MM5 total QPF Question. Why has nearly every model qpf map shown a "tongue" of lighter qpf in the Schuylkill County PA area? They did this last year as well when the gradient was east-west oriented. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 thru hr 24, NAM has shifted slightly west, giving more precip to Delmarva and South Jersey, back with some light snows to DC. It will show improvement to the 12z Run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Just made a Wikipedia article about the storm. Feel free to edit it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 NAM caved...it's west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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