Rtd208 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Current temp 81/DP 76/RH 86% Brutal out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 56 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Dewpoint of 78 in somerville My house is 78.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 489 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1110 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut Northern Delaware Massachusetts New Jersey Southern New York Central and Eastern Pennsylvania Rhode Island Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1110 AM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A mix of thunderstorm clusters and supercells should pose a threat for numerous to widespread severe/damaging winds as they move eastward this afternoon and evening. Peak wind gusts should generally range around 60-70 mph, with isolated gusts perhaps reaching up to 75 mph. Occasional hail around 1-1.5 inches in diameter may also occur with any sustained supercell. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Worcester MA to 30 miles west southwest of Philadelphia PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Gleason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30 Author Share Posted June 30 Wow 75 mph. Don't see that often Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 1 minute ago, JonClaw said: URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 489 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1110 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut Northern Delaware Massachusetts New Jersey Southern New York Central and Eastern Pennsylvania Rhode Island Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1110 AM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A mix of thunderstorm clusters and supercells should pose a threat for numerous to widespread severe/damaging winds as they move eastward this afternoon and evening. Peak wind gusts should generally range around 60-70 mph, with isolated gusts perhaps reaching up to 75 mph. Occasional hail around 1-1.5 inches in diameter may also occur with any sustained supercell. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Worcester MA to 30 miles west southwest of Philadelphia PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Gleason 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Hard sell on the island. Timing is off and strong marine environment. Maybe some typical storms and heavy rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 4 hours ago, winterwarlock said: About a 1/4 inch yesterday and overnight..meh What time today for the rains. Im headed down the shore for a few hours and want to leave before it hits Bad day for the beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Bad day for the beach Probably hit up the local north shore beach. 10 minutes away so I can scramble back if storms blow up. Wouldn’t drive hours to hit the beach though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: I hope the south jersey convection isn’t killing the afternoon potential for us It does feel strange to have such a big severe weather threat on day that's completely overcast. Hopefully it won't hurt chances for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30 Author Share Posted June 30 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: It does feel strange to have such a big severe weather threat on day that's completely overcast. Hopefully it won't hurt chances for our area. Lots of big storms north of us. But they are further away from the south jersey convection. HRRR says our area waits til the 2nd line around 6-7pm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 we'll clear out in time 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 10 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Lots of big storms north of us. But they are further away from the south jersey convection. HRRR says our area waits til the 2nd line around 6-7pm Best severe will split the area north south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30 Author Share Posted June 30 2 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Best severe will split the area north south possibly but not a guarantee 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 22 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: It does feel strange to have such a big severe weather threat on day that's completely overcast. Hopefully it won't hurt chances for our area. Yeah, that normally means a bust. We shall see… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 7 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yeah, that normally means a bust. We shall see… Usually the enhanced threat or greater is a reason to bust in on itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 The NY area really had something like 200 or 300 storm reports a few days ago. Now, it looks like several more severe storms will be in the general area. As per last night's models, I thought this might be a slight risk, as advertised yesterday, by the SPC. Now, the enhanced risk seems alright. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Just now, Chinook said: The NY area really had something like 200 or 300 storm reports a few days ago. Now, it looks like several more severe storms will be in the general area. As per last night's models, I thought this might be a slight risk, as advertised yesterday, by the SPC. Now, the enhanced risk seems alright. This looks nothing like what we are going to get today, hrrrrrrr has very little 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 It's interesting watching again the storms go about 20-25 miles off to my north along the Sussex/Orange County border. It's not that we don't get anything (think Thursday), but this seems to be the case 7 or 8 times out of 10. You can almost pick Montague/Port Jervis/Warwick, as the start of the line and from there on north and east, and you'd be right 80% of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 This model has several severe storms, so probably at least a slight risk in the area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 3rd highest June dew point on record here at KHVN. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=155&network=CT_ASOS&zstation=HVN&var=max_dwpf&w=all&threshold=100&hour=12&sdate=0101&edate=1231&month=jun&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 clearing working into the western metro now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Cleared out and clouded back up. 79/76 now, down from 86. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 CT getting crushed again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Latest HRRR hammers snj 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 6 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Latest HRRR hammers snj it's completely wrong to our north so it doesn't mean anything 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: it's completely wrong to our north so it doesn't mean anything Good catch. It completely missed the storm in SNE a few days ago that caused widespread damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30 Author Share Posted June 30 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Good catch. It completely missed the storm in SNE a few days ago that caused widespread damage This would be classic though 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Good catch. It completely missed the storm in SNE a few days ago that caused widespread damage It's annoying how wildly inconsistent the HRRR is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: It's annoying how wildly inconsistent the HRRR is. I honestly don't understand what peoples fascination is with the HRRR when it can have such wild run to run swings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Down to 80 with clouds. No chance we see severe here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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