SACRUS Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 77 /76 , Cloudy and humid. 0.67 in the bucket. Mainly cloudy keeping temps capped, with any decent breaks in the clouds and it will touch the low 90s. Storms fire later this evening as the front clears. Nice/ sunny and dry Mon - tue, watch for front stubborn and hanging nearby and energy producing showers Mon night, otherwise a gorgeous 2 days. Ridge builds east with warmer/hotter weather by the 3rd. Humid and hot with chances for storms, although the fourth looks mainly dry. Overall ridge west and Western Atlantic Ride keeping the EC heights warm / elevated. Rain chances up from May-Jun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Ridge west / W. Atlantic ridge pumping heights along the coast trough/ more rain in the MW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30 Author Share Posted June 30 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 .29 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30 Author Share Posted June 30 Hrrr is meh for many but really blasts the HV and CT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Hrrr is meh for many but really blasts the HV and CT the next run will show us getting 2" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Souther jersey near Cape May has been getting crushed this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 24 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Hrrr is meh for many but really blasts the HV and CT I hope the south jersey convection isn’t killing the afternoon potential for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30 Author Share Posted June 30 3knam 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30 Author Share Posted June 30 16 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I hope the south jersey convection isn’t killing the afternoon potential for us They're going to get crushed later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 When was the last time NYC was under Enhanced Risk by the SPC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Plenty of fuel for the severe storms today as JFK just tied its all-time highest June dew point of 75°. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=155&network=NY_ASOS&zstation=JFK&var=max_dwpf&w=all&threshold=100&hour=12&sdate=0101&edate=1231&month=jun&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30 Author Share Posted June 30 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 12 minutes ago, JonClaw said: When was the last time NYC was under Enhanced Risk by the SPC? Happens a couple times a year I think. Long Island is way more rare. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Mesoscale Discussion 1487 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0855 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Areas affected...portions of the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 301355Z - 301600Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage will gradually increase in coverage/intensity through midday. Swaths of damaging wind gusts are expected through afternoon. One or more severe thunderstorm watches will likely be needed in the next couple of hours for portions of the Mid-Atlantic into New England. DISCUSSION...A very moist airmass is already in place across the region this morning, with surface dewpoints in the low to mid 70s F noted in observations. Temperatures are already in the upper 70s to low 80s, and even modest heating through broken clouds will aid in further destabilization toward midday. 12z RAOBs from ALB and OKX also indicate a strongly sheared environment, with effective shear magnitudes greater than 40 kt present. Early convection is already noted near Binghamton NY along an outflow boundary. Additional convection is developing further west across central PA ahead of an east/southeast-advancing cold front. As convection gradually increases over the next few hours, bowing segments/clusters are expected given mostly unidirectional deep-layer flow. Large instability, high PW values, and steepening low-level lapse rates amid favorable shear will support swaths of damaging winds across the region through the afternoon into early evening. One or more watches will likely be needed for the region within the next couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Just .11" here last evening and overnight. Hoping this afternoon / evening can deliver something meaningful. VERY humid and uncomfortable outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 30 Author Share Posted June 30 Dewpoint of 78 in somerville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 I picked up 0.24" last night. Was happy to get that to water the garden just in case this afternoon doesn't work out, but the threat looks very good. The one thing we have going against us is it's cloudy, but obviously we still have a ton of fuel for the storms. Hopefully we'll see something nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Disgusting outside, feels like August. As always IMBY, I'll believe any storms more than typical thunder/lightning and some gusty winds when I see them east of the Hudson. Hopefully the grass gets a good watering. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 80 / 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 suns out, lets cook up some convection! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 82/78 but cloudy. Enhanced risk is usually a kiss of death (for LI especially), but I’ll hold off on watering things just in case. Cicadas buzzing, not sure if I’ve ever heard that in June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Just now, BxEngine said: Lol HRRR should be tossed into oblivion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Dew point of 77 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 beautiful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Taking bets on when KDIX radar will go down today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Current conditions here as of 11AM: Temp 87F Dew Point 73 F Humidity 68% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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