SACRUS Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 78 / and DT up to 67 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 29 Author Share Posted June 29 3k nam takes tonight's activity south and tomorrow's line north before a line blows up tomorrow evening for the city east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 16 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: 3k nam takes tonight's activity south and tomorrow's line north before a line blows up tomorrow evening for the city east I'm excited about tomorrow's severe threat. Dew points in the mid 70s ... talk about fuel for the storms. In the meantime I hope we get some rain tonight, but that seems very questionable. Both NAM models don't like tonight, but HRRR and RGEM are more optimistic. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 29 Author Share Posted June 29 4 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: I'm excited about tomorrow's severe threat. Dew points in the mid 70s ... talk about fuel for the storms. In the meantime I hope we get some rain tonight, but that seems very questionable. Both NAM models don't like tonight, but HRRR and RGEM are more optimistic. We'll see. Yeah I like tomorrow just hoping the line forms west enough to hit us. I have an afternoon outdoor party that starts at 3. Incidentally last year the same party had a major storm blow though towards the end 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 36 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: 3k nam takes tonight's activity south and tomorrow's line north before a line blows up tomorrow evening for the city east This will be the way it plays out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 very windy this morning... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 2 hours ago, qg_omega said: Watch out for the 78 on the island, lol We are back to the rain on weekends theme since March 1st after a brief break. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 And just like that it's humid again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: This will be the way it plays out Man I hope not. As you said we really need the rain. To me the timing of the front tomorrow doesn't look so early that we have to worry about the storms forming too late for our area, but I know there have been some model runs showing the storms forming to the south and east. I hope we don't get screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 Crazy winds right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah I like tomorrow just hoping the line forms west enough to hit us. I have an afternoon outdoor party that starts at 3. Incidentally last year the same party had a major storm blow though towards the end Hopefully we can make that 2 years in a row of your party being interrupted, although I'm sure part of you doesn't want that to happen. Nice to see storms, but bad timing to have it happen during an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 1 hour ago, bluewave said: We are back to the rain on weekends theme since March 1st after a brief break. Are we? Nice day on south shore, was close driving from Westchester until sunrise. Noticeable shift in yellow grass close to the water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 29 Author Share Posted June 29 10 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Hopefully we can make that 2 years in a row of your party being interrupted, although I'm sure part of you doesn't want that to happen. Nice to see storms, but bad timing to have it happen during an event. Last year we all took cover in the garage and then moved into the house when the rain didn't let up so they'd probably do the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 29 Author Share Posted June 29 Just now, qg_omega said: Are we? Nice day on south shore, was close driving from Westchester until sunrise We only need a trace by tomorrow night to qualify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: We only need a trace by tomorrow night to qualify I had a trace this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 Winds gusting to 35 at Farmingdale. That wasn’t expected 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 7 minutes ago, psv88 said: Winds gusting to 35 at Farmingdale. That wasn’t expected Yeah, Upton has 30mph there in the hourly forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 2 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Yeah, has 30mph there in the hourly forecast. Difference between 35 and 30 for a boater is a lot 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 12 minutes ago, psv88 said: Difference between 35 and 30 for a boater is a lot The last time I was on a boat on the ocean I could've used some wind...my uncle was letting my 7 and 8 year old sons at the time steer the boat in circles at slow speeds as I sat in the back rather hungover. Well the fumes of the exhaust, which was not getting blown away fast enough for me, and going in circles in the hot sun was enough for me to add some chum to the water. Some decent gusts up here in the "highlands" that are making it a bit more tolerable for someone like me who would love all of summer to be like yesterday. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 6 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: The last time I was on a boat on the ocean I could've used some wind...my uncle was letting my 7 and 8 year old sons at the time steer the boat in circles at slow speeds as I sat in the back rather hungover. Well the fumes of the exhaust, which was not getting blown away fast enough for me, and going in circles in the hot sun was enough for me to add some chum to the water. Some decent gusts up here in the "highlands" that are making it a bit more tolerable for someone like me who would love all of summer to be like yesterday. Haha. You’re better off in the highlands then 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 29 Author Share Posted June 29 Tornado watch for central and western pa 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: The last time I was on a boat on the ocean I could've used some wind...my uncle was letting my 7 and 8 year old sons at the time steer the boat in circles at slow speeds as I sat in the back rather hungover. Well the fumes of the exhaust, which was not getting blown away fast enough for me, and going in circles in the hot sun was enough for me to add some chum to the water. Some decent gusts up here in the "highlands" that are making it a bit more tolerable for someone like me who would love all of summer to be like yesterday. Rob, the only place I was hung over was the rail. My cast plastic stomach insisted on it. Most times the little white D pill didn’t work. Some kindly boating vets advised me to stick to the bays, when feeling queasy focus on the unmoving shore line and/or try to catch a wave spray in the face. Probably needed a less sensitive inner ear. Stay well, as always …. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 5 minutes ago, rclab said: Rob, the only place I was hung over was the rail. My cast plastic stomach insisted on it. Most times the little white D pill didn’t work. Some kindly boating vets advised me to stick to the bays, when feeling queasy focus on the unmoving shore line and/or try to catch a wave spray in the face. Probably needed a less sensitive inner ear. Stay well, as always …. Twas the excess of alcohol the night before that was the true culprit. Nonetheless while I do like the beach if I had to choose I'd take the mountains over the beach. 79/71 here with the breeze, looks like I may get clipped by some showers in an hour or two. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 3 hours ago, qg_omega said: Are we? Nice day on south shore, was close driving from Westchester until sunrise. Noticeable shift in yellow grass close to the water At least some measurable rainfall which was the case going back to March 1st. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 33 minutes ago, bluewave said: At least some measurable rainfall which was the case going back to March 1st. Another trace here in the last hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 Strong / Severe Thunderstorms on the move in central PA. Looks to be approaching the Delaware River around 7 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 Tornado warning central Pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 Game on tomorrow? KPHL is all in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 29 Author Share Posted June 29 53 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Tornado warning central Pa Nice bow echo along 78 with 70 mph winds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and very warm with some showers and thunderstorms. The potential exists for some strong or severe thunderstorms. Another cooler air mass will overspread the region tomorrow night. July will then get off to a pleasant start, but the month looks warmer to much warmer than normal overall. Following New York City's 4th warmest spring and Philadelphia's 6th warmest spring, it is very likely that June 2024 will rank among the 10 warmest Junes on record in both cities. Records go back to 1869 in New York City and 1874 in Philadelphia. The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.3°C for the week centered around June 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.88°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late summer or early fall. The SOI was +26.01 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.176 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.3° (3.3° above normal). That would make June 2024 the third warmest June on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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