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June 2024


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Temperatures soared into the upper 80s and even the 90s today. High temperatures included:

Bridgeport: 90°
Islip: 90°
New York City-Central Park: 90°
New York City-JFK Airport: 91°
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 91°
Newark: 94°

Tomorrow will be very warm and humid. The potential exists for strong or severe thunderstorms to develop during the afternoon as a cold front approaches. Much of the region will see the temperature top out at 90° or above. Following the frontal passage, somewhat cooler air will arrive and remain in place through the weekend.

Following New York City's 4th warmest spring and Philadelphia's 6th warmest spring, it is very likely that June 2024 will rank among the 10 warmest Junes on record in both cities. Records go back to 1869 in New York City and 1874 in Philadelphia.

The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead.  

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.3°C for the week centered around June 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.88°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late summer or early fall.

The SOI was +10.97 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.398 yesterday.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.6° (3.6° above normal). That would make June 2024 the second warmest June on record.

 

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25th records:

Highs:


EWR: 100 (1943)
NYC: 99 (1952)
LGA: 99 (1952)
JFK: 94 (2003)


Lows:

EWR: 53 (1942)
NYC: 53 (1873)
LGA: 55 (1940)
JFK: 54 (1965)

Historical:

1749 - A general fast was called on account of drought in Massachusetts. It was the year of the famous dry spring in which fields and villages burned. (David Ludlum)

1925 - The mercury hit 101 degrees at Portland, OR, their earliest 100 degree reading of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders)

1953 - The temperature at Anchorage soared to 86 degrees, their hottest reading of record. (The Weather Channel)

 

1957: Hurricane Audrey moved northward, slowly strengthening until the 26th. At that time, a strong upper-level trough led to its acceleration and the hurricane deepened rapidly on its final approach to the Texas/Louisiana border. Audrey became the strongest hurricane on record for June upon landfall, as it reached category four strength. Its acceleration was unanticipated, and despite hurricane warnings in place, 418 people perished in the storm, mainly across southwest Louisiana.

1987 - Afternoon highs of 97 degrees at Miami, FL, 107 degrees at Medford, OR, and 111 degrees at Redding CA were new records for the date. It was the third of six straight days of record heat for Miami. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Austin, and gusts to 75 mph at Tulsa OK. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Fifty-two cities in the central and eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Highs of 100 degrees at Erie, PA, and 104 degrees at Cleveland OH established all- time records for those two locations. Highs of 101 degrees at Flint, MI, 105 degrees at Chicago, IL, and 106 degrees at Fort Wayne, IN, equalled all-time records. Thunderstorms in Idaho produced wind gusts to 100 mph west of Bliss and north of Crouch, injuring 29 persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Tropical depression Allison, the remnants of what was earlier Cosme (a hurricane over the Pacific Ocean which dissipated as it crossed northern Mexico), began to spread heavy rain into southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. (The National Weather Summary)

 

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77 / 64  Some clouds in the area.   Should be enough sun to push the warmer spots to the upper 90s, otherwise low - mid 90s.  Storms later this pm, evening and into the overnight. Some heavy rain potential.  We'll see if storms are sout into our area for a widespread 1-2 inches.  Dries out and cooler Thu (6/27) / Fri (6/28) low 80s.

The weekend surge of heat is accompanied by clouds and showers  with a tropical southerly flow on Saturday keeping it in the 80s, should there be any prolonged break of clouds and enough sun, some places could touch 90.  Sunday slowly cleas out mostly upper 80s / low 90s.   

 

Cooler/drier Jul 1-2 before warmer/ more humid - hot arrived by the 3rd.  Overall warm/humid with some heat followed by breaks Nw flow.  

 

6/26: Hot/Humid - Storms
6/27 - 28: Drier / cooler
6/29 - 30: Humid, stormy blunts strong heat
7/1-7/2:  Drier / cooler
7/3 :  Warm-hot

 

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