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June 2024


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97 high yesterday w/ 0.50 in the bucket.  73/65. Drying out and a 36 hour cooldown.  Mid - upper 80s today, maybe a stray 90 in the warmer spots with enough sunshine with dropping humidity. Gorgeous Friday (similar to Monday - minus the strong winds).  Low 80s / low humidity.   Humidity / heat back Sat but clouds and showers in the way in most cases of heating up beyond the mid/upper 80s.  By Sunday, with enough clearing most get to o near low /mid 90s.   Mon (7/1) clearing out and cooler 2 day reprieve.   Ridge and heat push back in by the 3rd and some stronger heat near by.  Ridge building into the southwest trough into the MW/GL and ridging along the coast with pieces of stronger heat coming in /out in 2 day pulses an otherwise overall warmer pattern with humidity keeping the nights warmer. The Western Atlantic Ridge looks t be building west keeping the coast warmer.

 

6/27 - 28: drier / cooler
6/29 - 30 : Humid/ storms - hotter
7/1 - 7/2 :  drier /  cooler - near nomral
7/3 - 7/7 : Humid / some heat - storm potential 
Beyond : Overall warmer - humid flow potential

 

GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif 

 

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Some pictures from this morning.  It COULD have been a weak EF0 only because damage started at my corner and went up the street.  Down the street just some twigs and leaves.  I am also not sure if there was any damage to the neighborhood on the other side of the tree line.  Damage seemed to confined to be straight line winds.  Highly localized.  Not sure.

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June is our most recent to 10 warmest month around the region. This will be the 53rd top 10 warmest for spots since 2010. The only top 10 coldest month was February 2015. 
 

IMG_0247.thumb.jpeg.0b30a0e870005bb613819927407f4a9e.jpeg

 

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Ridge west evolving to RIide west and ridge keeping heights elevated along the east coast  Core of the heat west and south pulses north in 2 day periods - overall warm.

test8.gif

 

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6 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Played out as I expected. 
 

Missed the best severe weather to my north and just  some straight form rain later at night . 

Too bad the first round mostly missed to the north, but I did get 0.88" between the 2 rounds. Pretty good. The situation has gotten a little better with 2 pretty good rain events here in the last week, but obviously we need more rain. Hopefully Saturday night into Sunday. 

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6 hours ago, MANDA said:

Some pictures from this morning.  It COULD have been a weak EF0 only because damage started at my corner and went up the street.  Down the street just some twigs and leaves.  I am also not sure if there was any damage to the neighborhood on the other side of the tree line.  Damage seemed to confined to be straight line winds.  Highly localized.  Not sure.

I was down in Ledgewood and Randolph today.  Once I hit about the southern part of Stanhope, and then into Mount Olive, I noticed tree debris increase substantially and that continued down Route 10 for a ways.  The trip back took me along Lower Berkshire Valley - noticed several large limbs down and crews were still out working in spots this afternoon.  Nothing to that degree up this way, so whatever it was really got cranking down in that area.

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Cooler and less humid air pushed into the region today following last night's thunderstorms. A refreshing weekend lies ahead. However showers and periods of rain will likely arrive on Saturday and continue into Sunday.

Following New York City's 4th warmest spring and Philadelphia's 6th warmest spring, it is very likely that June 2024 will rank among the 10 warmest Junes on record in both cities. Records go back to 1869 in New York City and 1874 in Philadelphia.

The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead.  

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.3°C for the week centered around June 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.88°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late summer or early fall.

The SOI was +22.92 yesterday.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.200 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.4° (3.4° above normal). That would tie June 2024 with June 1966 as the second warmest June on record.

 

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2 hours ago, Picard said:

I was down in Ledgewood and Randolph today.  Once I hit about the southern part of Stanhope, and then into Mount Olive, I noticed tree debris increase substantially and that continued down Route 10 for a ways.  The trip back took me along Lower Berkshire Valley - noticed several large limbs down and crews were still out working in spots this afternoon.  Nothing to that degree up this way, so whatever it was really got cranking down in that area.

Chain saws and wood chippers were going in the distance all day long.  I am right by the Berkshire Valley Wildlife Preserve.

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 101 (1966)
NYC: 101 (1966)
LGA: 97 (2003)
JFK:  98 (1963)


Lows:

EWR:  52 (1940)
NYC: 55 (1940)
LGA: 56 (1972)
JFK: 54 (1975)


Historical:

 

1901 - There was a rain of fish from the sky at Tiller's Ferry. Hundreds of fish were swimming between cotton rows after a heavy shower. (David Ludlum)

1915 - The temperature at Fort Yukon AK soared to 100 degrees to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel)

1957 - Hurricane Audrey smashed ashore at Cameron, LA, drowning 390 persons in the storm tide, and causing 150 million dollars damage in Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi. Audrey left only a brick courthouse and a cement-block icehouse standing at Cameron, and when the waters settled in the town of Crede, only four buildings remained. The powerful winds of Audrey tossed a fishing boat weighing 78 tons onto an off-shore drilling platform. Winds along the coast gusted to 105 mph, and oil rigs off the Louisiana coast reported wind gusts to 180 mph. A storm surge greater than twelve feet inundated the Louisiana coast as much as 25 miles inland. It was the deadliest June hurricane of record for the U.S. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms moving out of Nebraska produced severe weather in north central Kansas after midnight. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 100 mph damaged more than fifty camping trailers at the state park campground at Lake Waconda injuring sixteen persons. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 80 mph at Beloit and Sylvan Grove. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - The afternoon high of 107 degrees at Bismarck, ND, was a record for the month of June, and Pensacola, FL, equalled their June record with a reading of 101 degrees. Temperatures in the Great Lakes Region and the Ohio Valley dipped into the 40s. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Ohio Valley to western New England. Thunderstorm spawned six tornadoes, and there were 98 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Tropical Storm Allison spawned six tornadoes in Louisiana, injuring two persons at Hackberry. Fort Polk LA was drenched with 10.09 inches of rain in 36 hours, and 12.87 inches was reported at the Gorum Fire Tower in northern Louisiana. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1995: The Madison County Flood on June 27, 1995, was the worst flash floods Virginia had seen since the remnants of Camille dropped up to 30 inches of rain one night in Nelson County in August 1969. The Nelson County flood ranked as one of the nation's worst flash floods of this century and resulted in the deaths of 117 people. The Madison County flood killed one person.

 

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72 / 44 and sunny. Just a splendindg day shaping up. Low humidity mainly clear skies and upper 70 to low 80s.   Ridge builds back with a shot of humidity and showers Sat (6/29) and Sun (6/30)  clouds and rain will limit stronger heat but with enough sun low- mid 90s.   

Clearing out and drying Mon (7/1) and  a bit warmer Tue (7/2) as ridge builds back into the area.  Hotter period 7/3 - 7/7 with humidity and storms chances.  Beyond that overall ridge west and heights elevated along the EC from the W.A.R (western Atlantic ridge) building west keeping it warm / potential storms chances.

 

6/28: Gem 
6/29 - 30 : Warm - hot , clouds, storms
7/1 - 7/2: Gems low humidity - normal to below
7/3 - 7/7: Heating up - humid , potential storm activity - (Florida Style)

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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You can see how the tree growth is getting even thicker over the NYC ASOS as it couldn’t even make it to 95° during the big heatwave.

Monthly Data for June 2024 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 100
NJ HARRISON COOP 100
NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT COOP 97
NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 97
NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 97
NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 97
NY WEST POINT COOP 96
NY PORT JERVIS COOP 96
CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 96
CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 95
NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 94
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 94


Corona, Queens…………………………………………………..98

Astoria, Queens…………………………………………………..97

Fresh Kills, Staten Island……………………………………..99

Hillsborough-Duke Somerset………………………………100

 

NYC was much closer to Newark during past 100° Junes at Newark before the tree issues began to really be a factor after the 1990s ASOS change.

 

Monthly Data for June 1988 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 101
NY MINEOLA COOP 101
NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 100
NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 99
NJ CRANFORD COOP 98
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 98
NY NEW YORK AVE V BROOKLYN COOP 98
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 98


 

Monthly Data for June 1966 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 101
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 101
NJ PATERSON COOP 101
NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 100
NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 99
NJ ELIZABETH COOP 98
NJ JERSEY CITY COOP 98
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 98
NY SCARSDALE COOP 98
NY WEST POINT COOP 98


 

Monthly Data for June 1952 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NJ ELIZABETH COOP 103
NJ PATERSON COOP 103
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 102
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 102
NY NEW YORK LAUREL HILL COOP 102
NY WEST POINT COOP 102
CT STAMFORD COOP 102
NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 101
NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 101
NJ RIDGEFIELD COOP 101
NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 101
NY SUFFERN 2 E COOP 101
NY MINEOLA COOP 101
CT WATERBURY ANACONDA COOP 101
NJ JERSEY CITY COOP 100
NY NEW YORK BENSONHURST COOP 100
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 100


 

Monthly Data for June 1943 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
CT DANBURY COOP 105
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 102
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 102
NY PORT JERVIS COOP 100
NJ ELIZABETH COOP 100
NJ RIDGEFIELD COOP 100
NY BEDFORD HILLS COOP 100
CT BALTIC COOP 100
NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 99
NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 99
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 99


 

Monthly Data for June 1934 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NY MOUNT VERNON COOP 101
NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 101
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 101
CT WATERBURY ANACONDA COOP 101
CT WATERBURY CITY HALL COOP 101
NJ JERSEY CITY COOP 100
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 100
NY FLUSHING COOP 100
NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 100
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