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June 2024


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47 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Looks like our big June warm stretch is finally winding down as the warm spots should make it to the upper 90s today. 


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This period will likely have 9 of 10 days at 90 in the warmer spots and 5-7 of 10 in the other spots.

 

Next 10 1-2 90 days 6/27 - 7/3 (weekend caveat with enogh sun but looks cloudy or stomry)

6/27,28, 7/1,7/2 : looks like low humidity gems
29/30: Ridge a bit south - humid, storms
7/3 - looks to warm back up as currently forecasted for the holiday weekend.

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Hopefully we'll do well tonight. Of course we'd rather have timing for late afternoon to maximize severe potential, but the models still look pretty good for tonight. We certainly could use a big soaking. 

We're also getting a nice treat with these unusually dry airmasses for this time of year. We had dew points in the 40s yesterday, and that's gonna happen again on Friday. Friday looks like a top 10 day of the year. Another very dry airmass coming for Monday and Tuesday. Some great weather, but in between hopefully some much-needed soakings while we have the high humidity today and this weekend. 

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3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Hopefully we'll do well tonight. Of course we'd rather have timing for late afternoon to maximize severe potential, but the models still look pretty good for tonight. We certainly could use a big soaking. 

We're also getting a nice treat with these unusually dry airmasses for this time of year. We had dew points in the 40s yesterday, and that's gonna happen again on Friday. Friday looks like a top 10 day of the year. Another very dry airmass coming for Monday and Tuesday. Some great weather, but in between hopefully some much-needed soakings while we have the high humidity today and this weekend. 

Yesterday was the most comfortable 90 degree day in recent memory

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3 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

This period will likely have 9 of 10 days at 90 in the warmer spots and 5-7 of 10 in the other spots.

 

Next 10 1-2 90 days 6/27 - 7/3 (weekend caveat with enogh sun but looks cloudy or stomry)

6/27,28, 7/1,7/2 : looks like low humidity gems
29/30: Ridge a bit south - humid, storms
7/3 - looks to warm back up as currently forecasted for the holiday weekend.

I like to focus on 95°+major heat since 90° days have really become commonplace in this much warmer climate. The new 10 year running average for Newark is around 33 days reaching 90° in a year. The last time Newark had under 10 days reaching 90° was way back in 1996.

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6 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

95 currently

 

Monday: 90

Tuesday: 95

Wednesday: 93

Thursday: 95

Friday: 98

Saturday: 100

Sunday: 96

Monday:  81

Tuesday:  93

Wednesday: 95

 

Wow 9 days already...7 of those in a row. Impressive for June.

I'm assuming that Monday 90 was the first 90 of the season? 

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

I like to focus on 95°+major heat since 90° days have really become commonplace in this much warmer climate. The new 10 year running average for Newark is around 33 days reaching 90° in a year. The last time Newark had under 10 days reaching 90° was way back in 1996.

Sheesh! 33 days a year average last 10 years? Crazy. 

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1 hour ago, Allsnow said:

Best action might be north of us tonight? SPC has the watch north of the area 

 

 

Perhaps the most clustered action will be N of here as the storms fire along the front and primarily look to march E driven by weak/moderate steering.

 

However...I'd be careful to totally dismiss the action further S where we should see some  individual cells and less overall/but perhaps stronger storms where you have more favorable lift and steeper mid level lapse rates. The only drawback is there's just not much of a trigger with the light shear.

Of course timing will play a role in strength of any storms here as well....and that unfortunately isn't on our side if the lapse rates/Cape etc. begin to diminish later on.

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23 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said:

Perhaps the most clustered action will be N of here as the storms fire along the front and primarily look to march E driven by weak/moderate steering.

 

However...I'd be careful to totally dismiss the action further S where we should see some  individual cells and less overall/but perhaps stronger storms where you have more favorable lift and steeper mid level lapse rates. The only drawback is there's just not much of a trigger with the light shear.

Of course timing will play a role in strength of any storms here as well....and that unfortunately isn't on our side if the lapse rates/Cape etc. begin to diminish later on.

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Thanks. Yeah, if we miss out on the early nighttime convection I think it’s probably over for the metro outside of some rain early tomorrow morning 

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