ma blizzard Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 13 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I am really curious to see what happens from the Mass Pike into northern Connecticut later this afternoon. Mesoanalysis is showing 25-30 knots of bulk shear with 30-35+ knots across southeast New Hampshire (right around the vicinity of the boundary). Now mlvl lapse rates aren't as good today and there is capping to contend with but there could be numerous storms along that boundary today. Flash flooding risk may be a bit elevated. should be a couple solid storms and potentially localized FF threat? I agree with the area you are outlining .. feels like I-190 / I395 corridor on the east side of the hills could be where the BDCF losses momentum and where the activity is focussed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 So that was the heat wave???? Meh... 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 20 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I am really curious to see what happens from the Mass Pike into northern Connecticut later this afternoon. Mesoanalysis is showing 25-30 knots of bulk shear with 30-35+ knots across southeast New Hampshire (right around the vicinity of the boundary). Now mlvl lapse rates aren't as good today and there is capping to contend with but there could be numerous storms along that boundary today. Flash flooding risk may be a bit elevated. Where are you set up today? You picked a good week to storm chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 2 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: should be a couple solid storms and potentially localized FF threat? I agree with the area you are outlining .. feels like I-190 / I395 corridor on the east side of the hills could be where the BDCF losses momentum and where the activity is focussed PWATS are 1.8 to 1.9 inches so certainly going to see some localized flash flooding, especially if you see the same areas get whacked. Storm motions should also be on the slower side as well. Will probably see some localized damaging wind gusts but generally should mainly be in the 40 mph range. Hail may be tough to come by, despite the decent hail CAPE, due to warm mlvl temps and weak lapse rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 Just now, kdxken said: Where are you set up today? You picked a good week to storm chase. My desk at home working I was off last week and the week prior haha. I am not sure if I will go out after, the timing will coincide with traffic but I do plan on going out tomorrow and Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 Sunday though not sure about. The timing of everything really sucks for here, however, there is some room for a rouge supercell or two (probably western Mass into southern VT/NH) Sunday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 The boundary just came through. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 Dews dropping here. Stout NNE wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 73/61. Only the last few days can make a dew of 61F feel dry. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 Finally on a heater down here. 88.4 @ 11:30 compared to 82.7 yesterday. 71.8 dewpoint. I think we'll finally get our 90+ day today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 can see the BDCF clearly defined on vis sat 84/74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Dews dropping here. Stout NNE wind. Think I can get away with a day at nantasket beach tomorrow? You know that area well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 30 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 73/61. Only the last few days can make a dew of 61F feel dry. 61 is pretty dry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 Monday should be a nice reprieve from all from the humidity. Till then we bake in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 26 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 61 is pretty dry Before this heater we were seeing dews of 30s and 40s for a stretch. 61F to me is still humid. Pretty wild it was like 36F at 5am before this heater, then it was 80F at 5am during it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 74/67..it's all good Stein has a good grip on me though. The lawn could use some rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 Pretty easy to find the boundary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 Currently 91 here, typical summer day like we've seen for decades. NY Governor for the LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 73/64. Kind of refreshing. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 1 hour ago, ma blizzard said: can see the BDCF clearly defined on vis sat 84/74 Yep, that's pretty sweet looking. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 48 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Think I can get away with a day at nantasket beach tomorrow? You know that area well Tough to say, I don't think it will be a great beach day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 BD is right on the doorstop here. Clear sky to the E ... bubbling to the W. Looking forward to the ahhh factor. Vis loop shows it rollin under. As Brian pointed out, nice DPs recession for the win 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 Finally over 90 today. 91/69 currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 Trees swayin a little bit. ENE accelaration in the last 5 min. My experience with this kind of momentum is that if you are down in NE CT, this will probably make it that far - in what form we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 There's actually two phenomenon going on related to heading in the other direction. The 1st is the standard/WPC analysis showing that the main boundary is situated along the CT-RI borders with Mass, and is moving SSW. The 2nd is this almost N-S orient BD 'acceleration' ...which is importing a somewhat cooler air mass/lowering DPs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Trees swayin a little bit. ENE accelaration in the last 5 min. My experience with this kind of momentum is that if you are down in NE CT, this will probably make it that far - in what form we'll see. Hope so, I am just west of the RI in the Killingly area, see if it makes it this far SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 A question to TIP’s previous points, notice storms trying to fire and move east but die out, is this due to more stable atmosphere east near CT/MA/RI line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 6 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: A question to TIP’s previous points, notice storms trying to fire and move east but die out, is this due to more stable atmosphere east near CT/MA/RI line I don't think that is the case. It is very unstable just ahead of the boundary and the storm inflow is not coming from the more stable air. With weak forcing and only marginal shear, storms will be pulse type. You may see more organization with that stuff to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 21 Author Share Posted June 21 A bit chilly with the breeze now. Sucks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 12 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: A bit chilly with the breeze now. Sucks Bring it here ... need to a refresher 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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