CoastalWx Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 32 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Your area also looks Steined over the next 10 days. Think most of us in SNE are through Friday. Maybe a front breaks that Friday aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Think most of us in SNE are through Friday. Maybe a front breaks that Friday aftn. Yeah don't see much going on this week. Maybe some high terrain showers/thunder. Hoping the front Friday can give us a better chance for thunderstorms though we could have some capping issues given how warm it is at H7 but maybe forcing will be enough to break it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 No AC gang here. Rise up to the challenge! Strategic window work! Get them double hungs up and in position overnight! Close at peak indoor coolness! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 7 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: No AC gang here. Rise up to the challenge! Strategic window work! Get them double hungs up and in position overnight! Close at peak indoor coolness! I’ll install tonight when we get back from The Cape. It’s two window units and a portable, it really only takes me about 20 minutes. Lol. Every year I just wait until there is an extended period of upper 80s or 90s in the forecast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 17 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Yeah don't see much going on this week. Maybe some high terrain showers/thunder. Hoping the front Friday can give us a better chance for thunderstorms though we could have some capping issues given how warm it is at H7 but maybe forcing will be enough to break it. It looks pretty dry for eastern areas even beyond next weekend. Convection rains will probably help WNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It looks pretty dry for eastern areas even beyond next weekend. Convection rains will probably help WNE. Looks like for the foreseeable future any precipitation chances are either going to be tied into pop-up showers or thunderstorms or with any approaching cold fronts. Obviously with this some are going to win and some will lose. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 1 hour ago, SJonesWX said: pretty rare for KCON if that were to come to fruition. Not happening. 1911 is the only triple digit wave. It may be close a couple of days, but I’ll take the under on them hitting 100°. EC and EPS are thermodynamically funky. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Not happening. 1911 is the only triple digit wave. It may be close a couple of days, but I’ll take the under on them hitting 100°. EC and EPS are thermodynamically funky. I’m being totally hyperbolic, and mostly sarcastic, but it’s a shame that the Euro model of today borders on worthless in advance of some high impact events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 S*** show in Pennsylvania and New York with Gypsy moths. They have eaten every type of tree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 1 minute ago, kdxken said: S*** show in Pennsylvania and New York with Gypsy moths. They have eaten every type of tree. Love it! Please bring some back in your golf bag and stop on 84 in Tolland and release 1 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Love it! Please bring some back in your golf bag and stop on 84 in Tolland and release Where does this love come from? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Where does this love come from? Damage (in Tolland). 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Where does this love come from? I’ve always been infatuated with them . I can’t explain it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 Happy Father's Day, boys. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ve always been infatuated with them . I can’t explain it I have no fear. I have only love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 Quick thought on this ... July 2010 saw a DPs dry out from somewhere around 70 all the way to the lower 50s between FIT-BED during the course of that afternoon where temperatures were near or over 100 before and after the DP advection took place. There's obviously other moving parts in the dynamics of the thing... I'm just pointing out that general rules can and do have exceptions yadda yadda What's the wind direction ? Curious. If this is WNW d-slope flow, we may see the in situ "dry line" advection take place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 Euro run appears to be the warmest of guidance 00z ( 12's are arriving now...) - I'm sure other's have noted this.. I've been off doing other stuff this weekend , but ... some other non traditional model types like the ICON and NOGAPS ...etc, have closed off the 600 dm heights briefly along the upper M/A on some recent cycles. The GFS at 06z also did so for the first time. There are two aspects to me in this ... whether we reach historic 2-meter verifications, those heights alone appear to noteworthy worthy of researching whether that specific metric approaches historic. Also, there is a chance that the multi day "integrated heat" may also be a cumulative type of record too. Those days are also not 'nicking' or barely making it into the VIP lounge... There'll likely be convincing solid blocks of time in consecutive hours where we're bangin HI's in a near or over dangerous range. Heat is a very fragile aspect. 4 out of 5 parameters may enter a period supporting 105 F but the 1 off put limits to 94. The trouble is ... at the ceiling temperatures, the only permutation there can be is less - that makes it hard ( or should ) for records to be broken, or just to push higher at all. 97/67 is a HI of 101 to 103. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 I'm also still at least a little concerned about the "synergistic" aspect. Those ilk of heat explosions that have been going off around the world with increased frequency over the last 20 years are typically preceded by environmental modeling doing similar super-imposing (constructively interfering ) larger scale parametrics . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 I wonder if this area will ever get an event similar to what the Pacific NW saw in June 2021. Prior to that event, the all time record maxes for many of those areas were below the record maxes for many locations around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 3 hours ago, kdxken said: S*** show in Pennsylvania and New York with Gypsy moths. They have eaten every type of tree. Keep them down there Ken, don't bring any back with you. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 16 Author Share Posted June 16 Bring 'em in, they need to eat and flourish too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 BOX is all in on the Heat this week All the model guidance continues to be very consistent and in excellent agreement on dangerous heat and humidity beginning Tuesday...peaking in the Wed through Fri time frame. The models indicate 500 mb height fields approaching 600 dm...which is rarely seen in our region and a strong signal for the potential of record heat. This is also supported by the NAEFS & EPS Situational Awareness tables...which indicates several parameters outside the models climatology. That is another strong signal for the potential of a rare/highly unusual weather event...in this case being heat and humidity. The ensemble guidance supports near record highs well into the 90s...perhaps touching 100 degrees in spots. If that were to occur...we would challenge all time record highs for the month of June in spots. The only possible relief would be if localized sea breeze are able to develop along portions of the very immediate coast. Either way...the main story will be several days of dangerous heat & humidity. Afternoon Heat Indices will reach into the 95 to 105+ degree range. There will not be much relief at night with heat indices only dropping into the 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 8 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I agree with Brian that those very low dews and very high temps looks sus. Contrasting ...the NAM. It has 96/73 at Lawrence between 18z and 21z on Wed afternoon , and that's supposedly the best mixed(ing) interval of the diurnal cycle. HFD is 93/72 ... How about the 2am temps along the Maine coastal plain Wednesday night? 85 at 2am NW of PWM is probably seldom seen up there I'm inclined to guess heh Anyway, in fairness, the NAM is typically under-mixed. Not sure it's the right model for seeing this sort of thing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 7 hours ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: No AC gang here. Rise up to the challenge! Strategic window work! Get them double hungs up and in position overnight! Close at peak indoor coolness! Our below ground basement is always very cool. We have a large floor vent leading up to our living room. I positioned a fan near the cellar floor and cold air blows up and does a good job of keeping the house cooler. It works best this time of year as the soils warm up later in the season thus not as much as a temperature difference. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 28 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: How about the 2am temps along the Maine coastal plain Wednesday night? 85 at 2am NW of PWM is probably seldom seen up there I'm inclined to guess heh Wonder if BTV sees a minimum above 80F during this. That airport just does not cool off at all in these heaters. I’ll bet there’s some 80s after midnight at BTV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 Top 10 day here for sure. Just gorgeous 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 Hell of a way to lead into a heat wave, temp 73F and breezy, almost cold! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 23 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Wonder if BTV sees a minimum above 80F during this. Doubt it. Wed night may be the best chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 8 hours ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: No AC gang here. Rise up to the challenge! Strategic window work! Get them double hungs up and in position overnight! Close at peak indoor coolness! MIL arrives Wed. We’re going to have to bite the bullet and install. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Doubt it. Wed night may be the best chance. Yeah they need a good nocturnal southerly jet to stay well mixed all night. Usually ends up dipping into the mid/upper 70s. I do feel like they had an 80+ min in recent years, but then the temp dropped under 80F by midnight the next night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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