Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

June 2024 Obs/Disco


Torch Tiger
 Share

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Weekend shaping to be a classic HHH with lots of sun in SNE and a PM storm Sunday. One slight mild down early week and then it’s HHH the rest of next week and beyond . 

There will be breaks in the beyond time frame just like there have been last couple of weeks. Models haven’t been great at picking up the shortwaves and fronts pushing through until a few days before. It doesn’t look like things truly change until mid July, when heights rise in Canada again.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

48 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yesterday and today are a beauty. We had our annual company outing this week and the folks from Georgia were enjoying the coc yesterday while being defeated they never have summer days and nights like this…

Judging by today's posts everyone loves this weather with the exception of a couple kooks.

Impossibly blue...

 

20240628_094450.jpg

20240628_094056.jpg

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

26 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Start the day with long pants and a long sleeve shirt. Eff off deer flies...

How there are any trees left in the town of sherborn is beyond me, lol!!! Chop chop

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Deer flies are definitely worse than last year by a ton

Wife and I did a virtual 5k this morning and could have gone twice that (albeit slowly) it was so awesome out. 

No doubt.  Worst year for deer flies in quite a while.

Been catching 20- 30 flies on my 'tanglefoot hat' every day when I take the doggo for his 30 minute walk in the woods.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

My wife always wanted to take the fam to Acadia for summer vacation. And I would not do it. I don’t want to go a cold summer climate to vacation . It’s a beautiful area . But I’m not vacationing somewhere that requires hoodies and likely won’t get above 72.  I’ll go there in the fall sure . When I’m not in summer mode . 

Has Pittsburg ever hit 90?

They've reached 93 several times at 1st CT Lake, elev 1660.

The only time I've gone swimming in truly warm salt water in Maine was adjacent to the Acadia Loop Road just south of Otter Cliffs.  Of course, that was on Hot Saturday when BHB reached 100.  :D

45 here this morning.  Saw 37 at HIE along with the 27 on MWN.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Awful lapse rates for Sunday but if we can recover after morning stuff there could be a few nasty storms. Dynamics are very strong and the instability would be there should we recover given dews into the 70's. Best forcing is displaced too. Would be looking at some very localized severe potential with potential for a tornado

Link to comment
Share on other sites

25 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Awful lapse rates for Sunday but if we can recover after morning stuff there could be a few nasty storms. Dynamics are very strong and the instability would be there should we recover given dews into the 70's. Best forcing is displaced too. Would be looking at some very localized severe potential with potential for a tornado

This is kinda bush -league buuut, my experience with this kind of annotation outta SPC is we get some dark bases and a couple nickle blat rain drops, then ... that line moves E-S and we end up looking at a back lit CB wall over far SE zones with DPs crashing over western sections.  It seems like we're more apt to realize when the SLGT region is slightly west of us, and then we cash -in on the progressive correction

 

day3otlk_0730.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

This is kinda bush -league buuut, my experience with this kind of annotation outta SPC is we get some dark bases and a couple nickle blats, then ... that line moves E-S and we end up looking at a back lit CB wall over far SE zones with DPs crashing over western sections

 

day3otlk_0730.gif

Certainly plausible depending on the timing. 

But the way the setup looks, I think updrafts will really struggle to become mature. I was looking at a few soundings and the thermal profile is rather wonky. We'll see a line of heavy rain with thunder but cells within the line will be of the pulse variety. Certainly enough shear though, both speed and directionally, that any cell that is able to become mature enough could rotate and produce a tornado. 

In terms of timing though, I think we end up seeing this slow down a bit (which would increase potential). Front looks to become nearly parallel to the upper flow, an indicator it will slow. Meanwhile, this will increase the potential for flash flooding. This should be the #1 concern. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...