dendrite Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Mm ..this isn't ten days away, though. Just sayn' I get what you mean and agree in principle, but we're also getting multi guidance support now for 101's out of a D6 lead. Of course, you said "WELL into the 100s" which qualifying that remark ...hovering around 99.5 falls a bit short. heh Neither were the maps I posted. D6 and D4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: it's interesting that the highest heat lags the 500mb amplitude in the Euro. The 596+ dm is gone and it keeps getting hotter for the mid Atlantic. It relieves SNE (NE of HFD) but then again, this thing is long enough that the front of it is high confidence and the end of it is beyond the confidence horizon. Euro is out of its teets for temps IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Can picture Tip with a band aid under his eye and Nike head band dancing to this as the Euro rolls in. Tip applying band aids on face as each gfs run adds another 0.5F to the max temp profile… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 wow, this ICON run is nuts! 95 pervasive Tuesday is a cool bargain for what's in the mail the rest of the week. 99, maxing 102 on Friday... The model only runs out to 180 hours, but at 174 (18z this next Friday) there is no evidence of any kind of synoptic mechanism to diminish the heat heading into the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 This is insane. I saw an mPING report on Radarscope that said hail > 5.00'' in northern New Jersey...I was like wtf. There is even anything there. I just found out a large chunk of ice crashed through the roof of a house 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: This is insane. I saw an mPING report on Radarscope that said hail > 5.00'' in northern New Jersey...I was like wtf. There is even anything there. I just found out a large chunk of ice crashed through the roof of a house It's probably a 747 toilet bomb 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: This is insane. I saw an mPING report on Radarscope that said hail > 5.00'' in northern New Jersey...I was like wtf. There is even anything there. I just found out a large chunk of ice crashed through the roof of a house No way it’s hail. Maybe a block of ice falling off a plane as it descends toward NYC? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 1 minute ago, dendrite said: No way it’s hail. Maybe a block of ice falling off a plane as it descends toward NYC? That’s what I’m thinking. That’ll be an interesting insurance claim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Might be over the top warmth Tuesday into Wednesday next week. Congrats Dendrite's Bamboo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 27 minutes ago, dendrite said: Neither were the maps I posted. D6 and D4. OH I see... heh, it looked like it says, 'ECMWF IFS HRES ( 10 DAYS ) from 07/29/2022 12z' and I interpreted that to be the outlook. But it was Aug 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: No way it’s hail. Maybe a block of ice falling off a plane as it descends toward NYC? Oh def not hail. yeah I’m thinking it was a chunk of ice off a plane…maybe frozen poop? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It's probably a 747 toilet bomb Lol They don't empty the planes mid air, but I know you know this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 DB Coopers grandson would be kinda funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 2 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said: Lol They don't empty the planes mid air, but I know you know this. Only over Newark. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Might be over the top warmth Tuesday into Wednesday next week. Congrats Dendrite's Bamboo. I have a robin nesting in the garage in the rafters. I’m not sure how I can keep them all alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 We're getting onto the N side of the ridge in the GGEM ( 12z ...). This run looks prone for a MCS activity beyond D6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Goofus trying to BD on the weekend…kinda gets hung up in S ME/N VT. Hot but nothing record breaking this run. A lot of 17-21C 850s so mid to upper 90s possible if everything goes right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Goofus trying to BD on the weekend…kinda gets hung up in S ME/N VT. Hot but nothing record breaking this run. A lot of 17-21C 850s so mid to upper 90s possible if everything goes right. My gut is we get more 94-97 stuff perhaps. Maybe a little higher if everything breaks right. Don't forget can always have debris clouds as well with front close by. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 36 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: This is insane. I saw an mPING report on Radarscope that said hail > 5.00'' in northern New Jersey...I was like wtf. There is even anything there. I just found out a large chunk of ice crashed through the roof of a house Do you have a link? I haven’t seen this reported yet down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 +9C 850s on Sunday up here. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 1 minute ago, ForestHillWx said: Do you have a link? I haven’t seen this reported yet down here. Hope this works https://www.wfsb.com/2024/06/14/chunk-ice-falls-sky-crashing-into-familys-roof/?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR0dnp9tNhWDiTaoTTDC0nzlkUovoDIdKbKDiLLBXsqv_9U3NoDPS0V9sn8_aem_ZmFrZWR1bW15MTZieXRlcw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 In Worcester-line moving in. Not sure it makes it to BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Looks like the 12z GFS peaks on Wednesday ... and then opts for a considerably different look Thursday and Friday - the consensus heretofore was maxing on the Thurs/Fri, so this run is a continuity break. We'll see... but this would a more 'seasonal heat wave' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 western Mass and northwest CT still in the game for later this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 so much for severe... ha! gentle garden watering rain here - run for your lives. yeah, I know there's some heavier cells embedded but there's no warnings anywhere 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angus Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 rain and thunder have arrived in Concord MA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Looks like the 12z GFS peaks on Wednesday ... and then opts for a considerably different look Thursday and Friday - the consensus heretofore was maxing on the Thurs/Fri, so this run is a continuity break. We'll see... but this would a more 'seasonal heat wave' I have to clean up my mother in-laws yard next weekend. Send me the door! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Oh wow! Lightning detector just exploded between Worcester and Boston 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Yeah, those cells just blew up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted June 14 Share Posted June 14 Incoming here in Chelsea....gonna focus on safety. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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