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Severe Weather 5-6 through 5-9-24


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1 minute ago, zinski1990 said:

strange how the line didnt kill it. Looks like it even intensified

cameron nixon had a twitter post recently about how some mergers between lines of storms and discrete storms w/ a strong meso can result in a boost to the discrete cell

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2 minutes ago, nvck said:

cameron nixon had a twitter post recently about how some mergers between lines of storms and discrete storms w/ a strong meso can result in a boost to the discrete cell

One of the most unintuitive radars I’ve ever seen, looked ready to collapse for 20 minutes and just never did.

whole event reminds me of mayfield: anticipated in the days leading up, downplayed for the first few hours, then out of nowhere… 

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6 minutes ago, pbrussell said:

I am really scared about the supercells blowing up at kfdr

Agreed. That discreet cell SW of the one I posted about has eyes on Norman. There to the northern OKC burbs will be under the gun within 2 or so hours. Parameters ahead of them are nightmare stuff. 
 

Have to hope they can get together and go linear. 

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10 minutes ago, nvck said:

shit... violent tornado parameter ahead of the blossoming storms in W OK might be "maxed out", per spc mesoanalysis

Beat me to posting (2nd time tonight), huge part of central OK in 20+ VTP at 03z is beyond absurd...

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1 hour ago, Powerball said:

Up until this point, there's been nothing to force convective development south of I-40

That said, I would still keep an eye out on the Lawton and Wichita Falls area for more discrete development over the next couple of hours, especially with the actual jet streak moving in.

NWS Norman seems to be on a similar wavelength, because they're now thinking the best timing for severe weather in OKC and southward is between 11pm and 1am.

And, per my post, the radar in SW OK has since blown up. These are the cells that could cause problems for OKC down to the Red River soon.

Some were a bit too quick to write off this area.

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