Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,607
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

Severe Weather 5-6 through 5-9-24


Recommended Posts

Looks like a nasty night out there, but perhaps not as insane as some earlier forecasts, thankfully. (I'm just guessing that because my social media feed is going insane with cope threads when earlier it was chasers sayings things like "memories of Joplin 2011".

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I know most discussion has been OK and KS but three Tor warnings up north of Sioux Falls as well along the convective line.

I didn’t expect a TOR warning fro Minnesota tonight but here we are 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, WxSynopsisDavid said:

Again…come back and scream bust at 4am-5am. Bulk of this threat was forecasted to be nocturnal, around midnight. Some people need to learn basic reading skills and comprehension before posting.

That's not what we do here..

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Up until this point, there's been nothing to force convective development south of I-40

That said, I would still keep an eye out on the Lawton and Wichita Falls area for more discrete development over the next couple of hours, especially with the actual jet streak moving in.

NWS Norman seems to be on a similar wavelength, because they're now thinking the best timing for severe weather in OKC and southward is between 11pm and 1am.

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Not calling bust on the nocturnal threat, but it’s safe to say the couple discrete supercells earlier that were very similar to what the CAMS depicted underperformed the lofty expectations. There were def some brief most likely heavily rain wrapped tornadoes but overall the first part was tempered. Curious to hear from experienced Mets why they mostly failed to take advantage of the wild parameter space.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, Normandy said:

I’d watch the tail end Charlie heading just north of OKC metro.  Low level jet will start cranking more so not ready to say bust yet

That cell seems to be coming together now

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, vman722 said:

Not calling bust on the nocturnal threat, but it’s safe to say the couple discrete supercells earlier that were very similar to what the CAMS depicted underperformed the lofty expectations. There were def some brief most likely heavily rain wrapped tornadoes but overall the first part was tempered. Curious to hear from experienced Mets why they mostly failed to take advantage of the wild parameter space.

First wave initiated early, before LLJ cranked and helicity values peaked. Those things are happening as I type this….reason why I will say, yet again, the forecast was for 9pm-4am. Midnight is the sweet spot in the timing.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...