Interstate Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 59 minutes ago, snowfan said: GFS is a mess all weekend. Ugh GFS has been winning all Spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 I feel like the default all year now IMBY is 60's, clouds and rain. We're like the Pacific northwest now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 Light to moderate rain falling this morning. 0.43". Most of it since midnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 My goodness we’ve had a miserable spring. Just a dearth of dry pleasant days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 13 minutes ago, CAPE said: Light to moderate rain falling this morning. 0.43". Most of it since midnight. Just mist and drizzle here which looks like it is here to stay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 11 hours ago, 87storms said: It’s Buffalo Trace and NBA playoffs kinda weather. 8 minutes ago, Interstate said: Just mist and drizzle here which looks like it is here to stay Yep. Currently 62, heavy drizzle. I'm weird, in that I occasionally like a full day of drizzly onshore flow so I can stay inside and be lazy/read/stream...but I'm good now, after the lengthy stretches of rain we've had in recent weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 34 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: My goodness we’ve had a miserable spring. Just a dearth of dry pleasant days. And not much rain to show for it either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 When was the last time we seen a cutoff low just off coast hang their for a day? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 58 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: My goodness we’ve had a miserable spring. Just a dearth of dry pleasant days. ETA: I do feel bad for your Saturday event. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said: Patience. Remain vigilant. As EJ said, for as many rainy days as we’ve had, it hasn’t added up to much above normal precip. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 Yep. Currently 62, heavy drizzle. I'm weird, in that I occasionally like a full day of drizzly onshore flow so I can stay inside and be lazy/read/stream...but I'm good now, after the lengthy stretches of rain we've had in recent weeks.I like these occasional days especially if I was able to get out and about while it was nice. What’s annoying is the frequency. We had a long duration, gray, overcast period several years back in May. This isn’t like that, but it’s not ideal. I’d rather get our precip via thunderstorms that last 45 mins and are surrounded by mostly sunny conditions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 i appreciate sunny days in january and february, but I would gladly trade those for some sun now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 ETA: I do feel bad for your Saturday event.Practically nothing showing up on the drought monitor: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?Northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toolsheds Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 My oldest graduated from Hood College on Saturday in an outdoor service. It will be held in the rain, but moved indoors if there is a threat of thunder and lightning Hoping for thunder at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 Rain was over by noon here. Ended up with 0.70". Cloudy, cool, gloomy day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 10 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: And not much rain to show for it either. I'm running 3rd of 11 years in precip-to-date via CoCoRahs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted May 15 Share Posted May 15 Just got weather readings for 14 cities across the nation. There are 60s dewpoints even at Jay Peak. This is a HOT spring. Guess what summer will bring. Unprecedented heat, Unprecedented dewpoints. I expect 87 degree dews in Buda in July and August with 139 degree real feel, and I will be out in it 11 hours a day, seven days a week. This is not going to be like the days in 2011 with my dad in Charles Town when all I did for years was hide out in a chilly casino reading blogging pdfs for sixteen hours straight. Times have DRASTICALLY changed, ever since I moved to Texas. It has been a pleasure knowing y'all. Really has. It is certain I will die from a stroke and/or heart attack in 139 degree heat indices this summer. It is a certainty, a 97 percent probability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted May 16 Share Posted May 16 0.25" on the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted May 16 Share Posted May 16 Models drying up for the weekend for you whiners 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 16 Share Posted May 16 Just now, aldie 22 said: Models drying up for the weekend for you whiners Except for the actual time I need to be dry… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 16 Share Posted May 16 1 hour ago, aldie 22 said: Models drying up for the weekend for you whiners Just as we’re going into the summer heat too. I’m worried this is the trend now and we’ll be crispy and lakes will be bone dry by July. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted May 16 Share Posted May 16 56f with blue, sunny sky Not much of a report, but it's been so long since we've had a beautiful fair weather morning, that I had to say something. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted May 16 Share Posted May 16 2 hours ago, nj2va said: Just as we’re going into the summer heat too. I’m worried this is the trend now and we’ll be crispy and lakes will be bone dry by July. I've made note of your prediction 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 16 Share Posted May 16 DCA hit 81F with the humidity in check - doesn't get much better. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 16 Share Posted May 16 Needed rain Heading into Saturday, a stronger shortwave moves into the southeast to pick up the stalled warm frontal boundary. Continued shower and thunderstorm activity is expected through day Saturday. Isolated flooding continues to be a concern with repeated rounds of slow moving showers. Around 1-2 inches of rain are expected through the duration of the weekend. Some areas could see closer to 2.5 inches, but confidence on exactly where is low as it depends on where the boundary will be Friday night into Saturday. For now, highest estimates are in portions of the Shenandoah Valley and Virginia Piedmont. Shower and thunderstorm coverage decreases through Saturday evening as the low moves off to the southeast, but rain likely continues into Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 16 Share Posted May 16 2 hours ago, pazzo83 said: DCA hit 81F with the humidity in check - doesn't get much better. NNE flow can be great this time of year. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted May 16 Share Posted May 16 24 minutes ago, yoda said: Needed rain Heading into Saturday, a stronger shortwave moves into the southeast to pick up the stalled warm frontal boundary. Continued shower and thunderstorm activity is expected through day Saturday. Isolated flooding continues to be a concern with repeated rounds of slow moving showers. Around 1-2 inches of rain are expected through the duration of the weekend. Some areas could see closer to 2.5 inches, but confidence on exactly where is low as it depends on where the boundary will be Friday night into Saturday. For now, highest estimates are in portions of the Shenandoah Valley and Virginia Piedmont. Shower and thunderstorm coverage decreases through Saturday evening as the low moves off to the southeast, but rain likely continues into Sunday. That's a very bullish forecast. It certainly seems like the best chances of heavy weekend rain are in the western and southwestern parts of the area, but depending on model of choice, heavy rain is far from a lock even there: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 16 Share Posted May 16 23 minutes ago, high risk said: That's a very bullish forecast. It certainly seems like the best chances of heavy weekend rain are in the western and southwestern parts of the area, but depending on model of choice, heavy rain is far from a lock even there: It’s a fairly tough forecast for my Saturday event. Looks like it could actually be mostly dry in the 12-4pm window, but don’t think it’s confident enough to go with partial outside activities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 6 hours ago, WxUSAF said: It’s a fairly tough forecast for my Saturday event. Looks like it could actually be mostly dry in the 12-4pm window, but don’t think it’s confident enough to go with partial outside activities. After looking at the evening guidance, I still have little confidence in a Saturday forecast, although the trend for those of us east of the Potomac seems to be wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 6 hours ago, high risk said: After looking at the evening guidance, I still have little confidence in a Saturday forecast, although the trend for those of us east of the Potomac seems to be wetter. Morning looks wet. Afternoon still probably mostly dry but not enough for outdoor activities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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