George BM Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 Baby Yoda: Lwxkm robbed? Forecast Discussion Thursday, May 30, 2024 10:58AM EDT Very strong and compact closed, cold-cored upper-level low will continue to move into and over the region as we go through the day. The cold front and rain/downpours associated with the front have moved east of the Bay leaving partial clearing and a rapidly cooling airmass aloft. This system is bringing in a record breaking cold-airmass for the end of May into our region. 500mb temperatures overhead will drop to around -32 to -33C w/ 850mb temps holding around -1 to -1.5C. Surface temperatures will climb a few degrees into the mid/upper 50sF for the afternoon. Now, for an airmass this cold, dewpoints will remain fairly high (around 40F or so) partially due to the compact nature of this low and higher dewpoints surrounding. This will lead to MLCAPE of 500+ J/kg by this afternoon which is, again, unusually high for an airmass this cold. In fact, the SPC has the area under a marginal risk of severe weather for today and are considering upgrading us to a slight (2 of 5) risk in the early afternoon update for wind and hail. Even during these late morning hours there are already some intense showers w/ a few lightning discharges mainly west of I-95 with some hail/graupel being reported. These will overspread the region, become more numerous and intensify as we go through the day. With the steep low and mid-level lapse rates in place combined w/ the instability in place as well as such cold thermodynamics, storms will be capable of 45-60mph wind gusts w/ torrential hailers looking likely. Some hailstones could exceed an inch in diameter (quarter-sized hail). The most intense storms could drop several inches of hail/graupel and briefly knock temps down into the upper 30s/lower 40s which will make travel treacherous for a time. By the evening the upper low will start moving to the east and showers and storms will, accordingly, taper off from west to east. Temperatures will fall into the upper 30s/lower 40s by dawn. Forecaster Wannabe: George BM Lwxkm: @Baby Yoda Good thing hail doesn't count as snowfall. While there may be graupel, I can't imagine that graupel as oppose to hail will be the main precip-type. I guess I can root for the three main local airports to get missed by today's hailers. RodSney: Nah. You've already been crowned. You won't have to forfeit your trophy. Now if some local airports get buried in graupel today causing someone else to have closer numbers, then I might make a trophy for them. But why is this even a thing we're discussing? It's practically June. Get with the program Mother Nature! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 Juan Soto "I didn't like Kremer's shuffle, I bet he didn't like the homer either". You lost. Shut up. As if the Yankees could get anymore insufferable. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 Just got notice that our neighborhood pool is opening on May 11th! I’m not in pool shape yet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 22 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Just got notice that our neighborhood pool is opening on May 11th! I’m not in pool shape yet. Sounds good! I gave up being in "pool shape" about 10 years ago...about the time that we started leasing out our share for the neighborhood pool, thank God. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 I bet Juan Soto didn't like losing 3 of 4. Also that homerun Mateo hit today would have been a home run 3 years ago too. FTY 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 3 Share Posted May 3 Thank you, Toronto. Finally a game 7. Pulling for Nash and Vegas to move those series to a game 7. Firm believer in series going 6 minimum, the more hockey, the better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted May 3 Share Posted May 3 9 hours ago, wxdude64 said: Thank you, Toronto. Finally a game 7. Pulling for Nash and Vegas to move those series to a game 7. Firm believer in series going 6 minimum, the more hockey, the better. Boston: 0/6 in their last Game 7s, haven't won a Game 7 since 2012-13 (against Toronto that they almost blew a 3-1 lead) Toronto:0/6 in their last winner take all games (2020 Bubble playoffs they lost in Game 5 in the prelim round), haven't won a Game 7 since 2003-04. The moveable object versus the resistible force. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 3 Share Posted May 3 Sipping on this for (early) Friday HH. Very good. https://lonepinebrewery.com/beers/collaborations/imperial-maple-sunday/ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 On 5/3/2024 at 8:35 AM, RickinBaltimore said: Boston: 0/6 in their last Game 7s, haven't won a Game 7 since 2012-13 (against Toronto that they almost blew a 3-1 lead) Toronto:0/6 in their last winner take all games (2020 Bubble playoffs they lost in Game 5 in the prelim round), haven't won a Game 7 since 2003-04. The moveable object versus the resistible force. Can’t ask for more than an OT game 7. LFG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 9 hours ago, nj2va said: Can’t ask for more than an OT game 7. LFG Death. Taxes. LOLeafs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 Man, the weather has been boring. How are we doing in here? Feel like I haven’t posted in forever… probably less than a month lol. We need to start thinking summer happy hour/BBQ. If nobody starts planning it soon I might have to try and step up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted May 6 Share Posted May 6 12 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: Man, the weather has been boring. How are we doing in here? Feel like I haven’t posted in forever… probably less than a month lol. We need to start thinking summer happy hour/BBQ. If nobody starts planning it soon I might have to try and step up. It's nearly impossible to believe that we suffered from Eclipse Fever nearly a month ago now... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted May 6 Share Posted May 6 Took this at Sylvan Heights Bird Park in Scotland Neck, NC last week. This was our second time there and I highly recommend it. This is a Victoria Crowned Pigeon (one of our favorite birds). 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted May 6 Share Posted May 6 I can't believe this. I just missed a 10 inch blizzard at Mammoth! Completely missed out, totally clueless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 It sucks when the Orioles have a day off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 On 4/30/2024 at 9:51 PM, George BM said: Baby Yoda: Lwxkm robbed? Forecast Discussion Thursday, May 30, 2024 10:58AM EDT Very strong and compact closed, cold-cored upper-level low will continue to move into and over the region as we go through the day. The cold front and rain/downpours associated with the front have moved east of the Bay leaving partial clearing and a rapidly cooling airmass aloft. This system is bringing in a record breaking cold-airmass for the end of May into our region. 500mb temperatures overhead will drop to around -32 to -33C w/ 850mb temps holding around -1 to -1.5C. Surface temperatures will climb a few degrees into the mid/upper 50sF for the afternoon. Now, for an airmass this cold, dewpoints will remain fairly high (around 40F or so) partially due to the compact nature of this low and higher dewpoints surrounding. This will lead to MLCAPE of 500+ J/kg by this afternoon which is, again, unusually high for an airmass this cold. In fact, the SPC has the area under a marginal risk of severe weather for today and are considering upgrading us to a slight (2 of 5) risk in the early afternoon update for wind and hail. Even during these late morning hours there are already some intense showers w/ a few lightning discharges mainly west of I-95 with some hail/graupel being reported. These will overspread the region, become more numerous and intensify as we go through the day. With the steep low and mid-level lapse rates in place combined w/ the instability in place as well as such cold thermodynamics, storms will be capable of 45-60mph wind gusts w/ torrential hailers looking likely. Some hailstones could exceed an inch in diameter (quarter-sized hail). The most intense storms could drop several inches of hail/graupel and briefly knock temps down into the upper 30s/lower 40s which will make travel treacherous for a time. By the evening the upper low will start moving to the east and showers and storms will, accordingly, taper off from west to east. Temperatures will fall into the upper 30s/lower 40s by dawn. Forecaster Wannabe: George BM Lwxkm: @Baby Yoda Good thing hail doesn't count as snowfall. While there may be graupel, I can't imagine that graupel as oppose to hail will be the main precip-type. I guess I can root for the three main local airports to get missed by today's hailers. RodSney: Nah. You've already been crowned. You won't have to forfeit your trophy. Now if some local airports get buried in graupel today causing someone else to have closer numbers, then I might make a trophy for them. But why is this even a thing we're discussing? It's practically June. Get with the program Mother Nature! Nice storm, George BM! You are definitely NO wannabe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 I've been watching the Great Falls, Montana radar, and they are getting hit hard! Says it's 37 degrees, but that's really heavy snow if it's cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 On 5/5/2024 at 7:36 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Man, the weather has been boring. How are we doing in here? Feel like I haven’t posted in forever… probably less than a month lol. We need to start thinking summer happy hour/BBQ. If nobody starts planning it soon I might have to try and step up. Well at least his boring weather is helping heat up the pool before summer swim, which is somehow only 3 weeks away 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 I designated Kimbrel for assignment. You’re welcome. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 7 hours ago, snowfan said: I designated Kimbrel for assignment. You’re welcome. 2 quick outs and then it all went to complete hell. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 I smoked 2 packs and drank a 5th between inning 9 and 12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 37 minutes ago, Chris78 said: I smoked 2 packs and drank a 5th between inning 9 and 12 Wait, were you channeling the ghost of Earl Weaver? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 53 minutes ago, Chris78 said: I smoked 2 packs and drank a 5th between inning 9 and 12 I smoked 4 blunts. My nerves were shot to hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 31 minutes ago, RickinBaltimore said: Wait, were you channeling the ghost of Earl Weaver? Stanhouse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VirgilCain Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Potential Severe Space Weather Incoming: https://www.spaceweather.gov/news/media-advisory-noaa-forecasts-severe-solar-storm-media-availability-scheduled-friday-may-10 I believe this is the first G4 watch they've issued in 20 years or so. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 What a wild several month stretch for my household but we are now 100% and ready to roll for the rest of the year. Hope everyone is doing well! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 Been wanting to get a drone for a long time. First flight from this afternoon. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 Another shot... 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 Surprised the beer drinkers here haven’t been talking about the Frederick beer festival. Thought about going, but $45 is kinda steep for a bourbon drinker lol. Looks like rain is incoming as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 This weekend is probably the greatest example of why I chase. If I leave it to luck I’ll get screwed every time. A literal global celestial event and I ended up in a place with overcast. It’s always the ones you miss… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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