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May 2024 General Discussion


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1 hour ago, Stevo6899 said:

Had 1.5 inches yest and easily over 2 with storm parked overhead motionless. Houses along clinton river gonna have serious issues.

On the plus side, this is the time of year to get as much of it in as you can, before we get into the dog days of Summer...

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13 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said:

Can’t recall the last time I’ve seen a special weather statement for a gust front.

IMG_5906.jpeg

That severe watch was such a bust.  I think the dewpoints mixed out south of I-96.  The line held together better north of the front.  The steep mid-level lapse rates and higher deepoints are way west.

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Wow! Not the earliest 90F+ reading on record, but only 4 years (since 1871) have seen an earlier 90F+ reading at Cleveland.

1953: May 10, 90F;

1959: May 6, 92F, May 20, 91F

1962: May 14, 91F; May 18, 91F; and May 20, 91F

2017: May 17, 90F

 

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2 hours ago, Brian D said:

Already up to around 0.50" of rain, and a long day/night ahead.

First round nets 0.79". Looks like a break for a while on radar before storms creep up this way later.

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11 hours ago, frostfern said:

Miss NW :thumbsdown:.

While I love t-storms, I really don't really mind missing the very destructive & tornadic ones.

Not surprised by the results at all.  This system was too far west for southern MI.

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for Sunday: Although the 30% is Mid-South, the surface low and associated boundaries could very well be Illinois to Indiana. I'd love the WF to be north of I-70. At least I-64. Outflow will likely be in the Mid-South but that's hideous chase terrain. 

If the atmosphere can recover from morning rain and storms, instability should get north into IL/IN which is already 15%. SPC could be waiting for confidence on Atmo recovery and then destabilization farther north. Their 'concerning pattern' language is notable. 

image.png.4c0c4f5e1aae8350faa457af4568349e.png

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Looking like another scorching month... starting to feel like Groundhog Day at this point to be honest. Some areas could see their warmest May on record. At Mansfield, Ohio, the first three weeks of May have been the warmest on record (dating to 1916).

Cleveland

image.png.cda037dd058ce71ee64bdb497b239684.png

Toledo

image.png.217082980d1af2987c998f7c8a4af2de.png

Mansfield, Ohio

image.png.f3b8dc066548fa9508ae76473e5b1f45.png

Detroit

image.png.2df876a693946e1b921479418bc3f476.png

Lansing

image.png.b6d3164ecf9fca18b9b5d9b8b3d5817e.png

Dayton

image.png.b6b2bf826ed7de1402269df78e5d527d.png

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