Rmine1 Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 T & L in Brightwaters. Absolutely pouring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 first 70 degree dewpoint of the season at ewr 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Nice storm. 1/2 inch for the lawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 11 minutes ago, forkyfork said: first 70 degree dewpoint of the season at ewr no wonder it feels so icky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 14 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: T & L in Brightwaters. Absolutely pouring the power went out here (again) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 14 minutes ago, forkyfork said: first 70 degree dewpoint of the season at ewr One miserable day is worth it since the rest of the week will be sunny and dry! :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Nice downpour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 27 Author Share Posted May 27 41 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: I see a few cells have popped up now to the SW that will be heading into Mercer County shortly, so we might see some action in a little while. I'm up to .27" for the day so far, which includes a little downpour we had early in the morning. Just a quick downpour from that cell. No thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 27 Author Share Posted May 27 One lone warned cell in western MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Just a quick downpour from that cell. No thunder Yep same thing going on here right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Line of storms moving sw to ne over my part of Morris County. Easily over 1.25” on the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 27 Author Share Posted May 27 Sun's back out now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Tomorrow will be partly to mostly sunny and warm. The temperature will rise into the lower 80s. A few warmer spots could top out in the middle 80s. Cooler air will begin to arrive on Wednesday with the temperature reaching the upper 70s. Thursday and Friday will see highs mainly in the lower 70s. The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around May 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.57°C. Neutral conditions are imminent. The SOI was +9.44 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.381 today. On May 25 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 1.584 (RMM). The May 24-adjusted amplitude was 1.671 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 65.3° (2.1° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Up to .45" for the day now after that downpour. A little sun has come out, and we'll have see if some storms fire with the front later this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 28 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Tomorrow will be partly to mostly sunny and warm. The temperature will rise into the lower 80s. A few warmer spots could top out in the middle 80s. Cooler air will begin to arrive on Wednesday with the temperature reaching the upper 70s. Thursday and Friday will see highs mainly in the lower 70s. The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around May 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.57°C. Neutral conditions are imminent. The SOI was +9.44 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.381 today. On May 25 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 1.584 (RMM). The May 24-adjusted amplitude was 1.671 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 65.3° (2.1° above normal). Amazing how the sensitivity analysis fluctuated for the month of May. Started out near 1 above, fell to almost normal and now we'll finish the month solidly above against the warmest normals we ever had. When will we see the next below normal month? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 1 hour ago, MANDA said: Amazing how the sensitivity analysis fluctuated for the month of May. Started out near 1 above, fell to almost normal and now we'll finish the month solidly above against the warmest normals we ever had. When will we see the next below normal month? And the biggest driver had to be high minimums thanks to all the cloudy days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 6 hours ago, Allsnow said: I doubt the 2nd rd is stronger than the first batch. We didn’t have much sun today Flash flooding will be the bigger risk Looks like you are correct... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Not much flooding either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Morning mcs + onshore flow = threat was dead before it even had a chance to begin Still could see some isolated svr with the cold front convection in western nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 More heavy rain moving thru here. Day total up to .91 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Just now, lee59 said: More heavy rain moving thru here. Day total up to .90 .92 in Muttontown & .88 in Syosset with heavy showers moving through still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 28 Share Posted May 28 2 hours ago, MANDA said: Amazing how the sensitivity analysis fluctuated for the month of May. Started out near 1 above, fell to almost normal and now we'll finish the month solidly above against the warmest normals we ever had. When will we see the next below normal month? Probably not until at least late fall. But that’s not guaranteed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted May 28 Share Posted May 28 .43 all total today from a morning and afternoon round. Nothing impressive at all 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 28 Author Share Posted May 28 Storms seem to be holding together although below severe limits. Let's see if they make it to the coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted May 28 Share Posted May 28 Tornado reported OTG as of 20 minutes ago to the west of Tamaqua. The storm producing this is west of Lehighton and Jim Thorpe. This is in eastern PA. No recent updates if anything is still OTG. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted May 28 Share Posted May 28 6 minutes ago, Tatamy said: Tornado reported OTG as of 20 minutes ago to the west of Tamaqua. The storm producing this is west of Lehighton and Jim Thorpe. This is in eastern PA. No recent updates if anything is still OTG. We need a radar in Allentown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted May 28 Share Posted May 28 5 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: We need a radar in Allentown We definitely do. The FAA has a big radar installation up in Rickets Glen State Park PA which would suffice. This is NW of Wilkes Barre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted May 28 Share Posted May 28 Now a Tornado Warning in Lancaster Cty. PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 28 Share Posted May 28 Nw Suffolk pounded all day. The worst has missed me by about 3-4 miles all day. Some spots have over 2” of rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted May 28 Share Posted May 28 3 hours ago, MANDA said: Amazing how the sensitivity analysis fluctuated for the month of May. Started out near 1 above, fell to almost normal and now we'll finish the month solidly above against the warmest normals we ever had. When will we see the next below normal month? Too much moisture in air. Cant cool down at night. Kinda holds you in a constant sticky airmass thru summer. There is a reason Florida rarely goes above 97/98 or below 70. You now have that airmass almost year round in NYC. It plays out as 40s/50s and dreary from Nov thru April and a miserable sticky summer from May thru the end of September. That is why your AC or Heat are on almost year round back to back. Very sad state of affairs and one not predicted for all the Warming talk 30 years ago. MOISTURE rules the day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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