WestBabylonWeather Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 I’ll take Saturday rain on LI as long as Sunday is decent. Need to bbq at least one day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 21 Author Share Posted May 21 10 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: I’ll take Saturday rain on LI as long as Sunday is decent. Need to bbq at least one day Euro is decent Friday through Sunday. Monday not so much 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 45 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro is decent Friday through Sunday. Monday not so much monday if the euro verifies will be one of my top 10 days of the year anything to escape this heat... 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 39 minutes ago, nycwinter said: monday if the euro verifies will be one of my top 10 days of the year anything to escape this heat... I'm working so I don't care if it rains 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 The big block this month near Hudson Bay continues to be a factor in the long range forecast. Low pressure begins crossing the Great Lakes as we head into Memorial Day. It could potentially slow down and cutoff next week near the Northeast. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 Hot day out there. Current temp is 90 here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 13 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Hot day out there. Current temp is 90 here. One of the warmest in NJ for you. 86 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 2 hours ago, FPizz said: 85 and real feel of 88 isn't really room temp. But I'd take today most late spring/summer days. Topped out at 78 here, mid 70s most of the day. Not sure what it was in southern Brooklyn though. Absolutely glorious weather day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 Currently 71 in southern Brooklyn. No mid 80s there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 A warming trend continues. The warmth will crest with temperatures peaking in the lower and middle 80s from tomorrow through Friday. Beyond that, temperatures will generally remain near or somewhat above normal through the remainder of May. Meanwhile, parts of Texas could experience their hottest temperatures on record for May during the upcoming weekend. Del Rio, which tied its monthly mark of 109° on May 9th and has had its warmest spring through May 20th by 2.1° could approach or reach 110°. Last summer was historically hot there with that city recording 11 of its 21 110° or hotter days on record. Records go back to December 1905. The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around May 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.57°C. Neutral conditions are imminent. The SOI was +2.24 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.188 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 81% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 64.6° (1.4° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 Up to 87 here for a high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 Just enough SE flow today for POU to beat EWR. THE POUGHKEEPSIE NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MAY 21 2024... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1931 TO 2024 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 88 2:57 PM 95 1941 73 15 71 1996 MINIMUM 57 5:00 AM 29 2002 49 8 49 AVERAGE 73 61 12 60 THE NEWARK NJ CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MAY 21 2024... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1931 TO 2024 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 87 244 PM 96 1996 74 13 75 MINIMUM 58 514 AM 42 1950 55 3 57 2002 AVERAGE 73 65 8 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 13 minutes ago, bluewave said: Just enough SE flow today for POU to beat EWR. THE POUGHKEEPSIE NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MAY 21 2024... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1931 TO 2024 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 88 2:57 PM 95 1941 73 15 71 1996 MINIMUM 57 5:00 AM 29 2002 49 8 49 AVERAGE 73 61 12 60 THE NEWARK NJ CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MAY 21 2024... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1931 TO 2024 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 87 244 PM 96 1996 74 13 75 MINIMUM 58 514 AM 42 1950 55 3 57 2002 AVERAGE 73 65 8 66 87.8 was the official high temperature at KSWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 Had a high temp of 89 here today. Beautiful day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 24 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: 87.8 was the official high temperature at KSWF. The record heat stayed to our north today. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 0442 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2024 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT WATERTOWN NY... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 85 DEGREES WAS SET AT WATERTOWN NY TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 83 DEGREES SET IN 2022. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted May 21 Share Posted May 21 13 minutes ago, bluewave said: The record heat stayed to our north today. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 0442 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2024 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT WATERTOWN NY... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 85 DEGREES WAS SET AT WATERTOWN NY TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 83 DEGREES SET IN 2022. Record was only 2 years old What a fucking mess we are in…do do do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 22 Share Posted May 22 24 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: Record was only 2 years old What a fucking mess we are in…do do do It was their warmest winter on record followed by the warmest spring so far. Time Series Summary for WATERTOWN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Dec 1 to May 20 Missing Count 1 2024-05-20 38.1 0 2 2012-05-20 37.0 0 3 1998-05-20 35.5 0 - 1953-05-20 35.5 2 4 2023-05-20 34.8 0 - 2002-05-20 34.8 0 5 1991-05-20 34.6 1 6 2016-05-20 34.2 0 7 2017-05-20 34.1 0 8 2013-05-20 34.0 1 9 1952-05-20 33.5 2 10 2021-05-20 33.1 2 11 2020-05-20 33.0 0 12 2010-05-20 32.9 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 22 Share Posted May 22 Highs: EWR: 87 TEB: 87 New Brnswck: 86 BLM: 85 PHL: 84 NYC: 83 TTN: 83 LGA: 82 ACY: 81 JFK: 72 ISP: 69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted May 22 Share Posted May 22 1 hour ago, the_other_guy said: Record was only 2 years old What a fucking mess we are in…do do do ''The Ice we skate is getting pretty thin, the waters getting warm so ya might as well swim'' Smash Mouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 22 Author Share Posted May 22 Let's see if we get bumped up to slight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 22 Share Posted May 22 Records: Highs: EWR: 96 (1996) NYC: 93 (1996) LGA: 93 (1996) JFK: 90 (1996) Lows: EWR: 42 (2002) NYC: 40 (1907) LGA: 45 (2002) JFK: 42 (2020) Historical: 1860 - A swarm of tornadoes occurred in the Ohio Valley. Tornadoes struck the cities of Louisville, KY, Cincinnati, OH, Chillicothe, OH, and Marietta, OH, causing a million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1881: Clara Barton and a circle of close friends found the American Red Cross. 1895 - The temperature at Norwalk, OH, dipped to 19 degrees to set a state record for the month of May. (The Weather Channel) 1896 - The mercury soared to 124 degrees at Salton, CA, to establish a U.S. record for May. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1949: A violent tornado crossed the Mississippi River from the St. Louis area into Wood River, then to Roxanna. This tornado damaged or destroyed 300 homes in these two towns, killing five people. Four people died in a destroyed restaurant in Palestine, Illinois; one body was recovered from a tree. A tornado causing estimated F4 damage killed five people and injured 55 in St. Louis and St. Charles counties in Missouri and Madison County in Illinois. This tornado was part of an outbreak that produced four different tornadoes and was responsible for five deaths and 57 injuries. 1980 - The temperature at Williston ND reached 102 degrees to set a record for May, and the next day the mercury hit 106 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Severe thunderstorms, developing along a sharp cold front crossing the central U.S., produced 60 mph winds and golf ball size hail at Sedalia, MO, and drenched Hagerstown, IN, with six inches of rain in one hour. Temperatures soared into the 90s ahead of the cold front. Paducah, KY, hit 94 degrees for the second day in a row. Light snow blanketed Montana, with three inches reported at Butte. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms swept across southern Louisiana during the morning hours spawning six tornadoes, and producing wind gusts to 88 mph at Jennings. Thunderstorms also produced five inches of rain in two hours at Lake Charles, causing local flooding. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms moving southeastward across the Central Plains Region into Oklahoma and Arkansas produced severe weather through the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned just four tornadoes, but there were 243 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Baseball size hail was reported at Augusta, KS, and thunderstorm winds gusted to 98 mph at Johnson, KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather across the southeastern U.S. for the second day in a row. Severe thunderstorms spawned five tornadoes, including one which injured a person at Richmond KY. There were eighty-seven reports of large hail or damaging winds, with hail three inches in diameter reported at Austin TX. Thunderstorms produced up to five inches of rain in Macon County GA, and heavy rains left nearly eight feet of water over roads near Stepstone KY. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2001: Golfers participating in a golf tournament at the Majestic Golf Course in Hartland, Michigan received an urgent message on the G.P.S. on their carts. The message, relayed from the clubhouse, was that a tornado was bearing down on the course. Most of the golfers made it to safety in the clubhouse, although some had to take shelter on the course. Only one golfer suffered a minor injury. The F2 tornado damaged 70 cars in the parking lot along with numerous golf carts and a pontoon boat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 22 Share Posted May 22 SPC Day 1 and Day 2 Outlooks. Still holding with marginal for Day 2 for the NYC metro region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 22 Share Posted May 22 13 hours ago, WestBabylonWeather said: I’ll take Saturday rain on LI as long as Sunday is decent. Need to bbq at least one day Both days will be fine, it's Monday that it will rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 22 Share Posted May 22 12 hours ago, nycwinter said: monday if the euro verifies will be one of my top 10 days of the year anything to escape this heat... complain when it's 95, 70-80 degrees is not hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 22 Share Posted May 22 11 hours ago, bluewave said: The big block this month near Hudson Bay continues to be a factor in the long range forecast. Low pressure begins crossing the Great Lakes as we head into Memorial Day. It could potentially slow down and cutoff next week near the Northeast. when do these blocks no longer become a factor? In summer, I dont think it would matter if there were a block there or not-- it would be hot either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 22 Share Posted May 22 6 hours ago, SACRUS said: Records: Highs: EWR: 96 (1996) NYC: 93 (1996) LGA: 93 (1996) JFK: 90 (1996) Lows: EWR: 42 (2002) NYC: 40 (1907) LGA: 45 (2002) JFK: 42 (2020) Historical: 1860 - A swarm of tornadoes occurred in the Ohio Valley. Tornadoes struck the cities of Louisville, KY, Cincinnati, OH, Chillicothe, OH, and Marietta, OH, causing a million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1881: Clara Barton and a circle of close friends found the American Red Cross. 1895 - The temperature at Norwalk, OH, dipped to 19 degrees to set a state record for the month of May. (The Weather Channel) 1896 - The mercury soared to 124 degrees at Salton, CA, to establish a U.S. record for May. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1949: A violent tornado crossed the Mississippi River from the St. Louis area into Wood River, then to Roxanna. This tornado damaged or destroyed 300 homes in these two towns, killing five people. Four people died in a destroyed restaurant in Palestine, Illinois; one body was recovered from a tree. A tornado causing estimated F4 damage killed five people and injured 55 in St. Louis and St. Charles counties in Missouri and Madison County in Illinois. This tornado was part of an outbreak that produced four different tornadoes and was responsible for five deaths and 57 injuries. 1980 - The temperature at Williston ND reached 102 degrees to set a record for May, and the next day the mercury hit 106 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Severe thunderstorms, developing along a sharp cold front crossing the central U.S., produced 60 mph winds and golf ball size hail at Sedalia, MO, and drenched Hagerstown, IN, with six inches of rain in one hour. Temperatures soared into the 90s ahead of the cold front. Paducah, KY, hit 94 degrees for the second day in a row. Light snow blanketed Montana, with three inches reported at Butte. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms swept across southern Louisiana during the morning hours spawning six tornadoes, and producing wind gusts to 88 mph at Jennings. Thunderstorms also produced five inches of rain in two hours at Lake Charles, causing local flooding. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms moving southeastward across the Central Plains Region into Oklahoma and Arkansas produced severe weather through the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned just four tornadoes, but there were 243 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Baseball size hail was reported at Augusta, KS, and thunderstorm winds gusted to 98 mph at Johnson, KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather across the southeastern U.S. for the second day in a row. Severe thunderstorms spawned five tornadoes, including one which injured a person at Richmond KY. There were eighty-seven reports of large hail or damaging winds, with hail three inches in diameter reported at Austin TX. Thunderstorms produced up to five inches of rain in Macon County GA, and heavy rains left nearly eight feet of water over roads near Stepstone KY. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2001: Golfers participating in a golf tournament at the Majestic Golf Course in Hartland, Michigan received an urgent message on the G.P.S. on their carts. The message, relayed from the clubhouse, was that a tornado was bearing down on the course. Most of the golfers made it to safety in the clubhouse, although some had to take shelter on the course. Only one golfer suffered a minor injury. The F2 tornado damaged 70 cars in the parking lot along with numerous golf carts and a pontoon boat. Tony JFK was still cold in 2020 on this date? 42 degrees after snow on the 9th, wow! Highs:EWR: 96 (1996)NYC: 93 (1996)LGA: 93 (1996)JFK: 90 (1996)Lows:EWR: 42 (2002)NYC: 40 (1907)LGA: 45 (2002)JFK: 42 (2020) I remember that heat wave from 1996 very well-- it was the only heat that entire year lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 22 Share Posted May 22 3 hours ago, LibertyBell said: when do these blocks no longer become a factor? In summer, I dont think it would matter if there were a block there or not-- it would be hot either way. This record blocking pattern near Hudson Bay has been in place since last May. It’s why we had a cooler summer last year. The only extended warmth with this pattern has been during the winter when it linked up with the Southeast ridge. So we need to see this pattern weaken in order to finally get some extended summer warmth. All the warm ups since March 20th have lasted a few days before more rains and onshore flow. Also notice how this pattern has resulted in the only cool spot in the Atlantic sea of record warmth has been to our east. https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/1793089595552456781 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 22 Share Posted May 22 45 minutes ago, bluewave said: This record blocking pattern near Hudson Bay has been in place since last May. It’s why we had a cooler summer last year. The only extended warmth with this pattern has been during the winter when it linked up with the Southeast ridge. So we need to see this pattern weaken in order to finally get some extended summer warmth. All the warm ups since March 20th have lasted a few days before more rains and onshore flow. Also notice how this pattern has resulted in the only cool spot in the Atlantic sea of record warmth has been to our east. https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/1793089595552456781 Interesting-- so this same pattern makes it mild in the winter and cool in the spring and summer? Why doesn't it link up in the spring and summer the same way it does in the winter? Looks like we also need this block to go away to finally have some cold and snow in winter too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 22 Share Posted May 22 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Interesting-- so this same pattern makes it mild in the winter and cool in the spring and summer? Why doesn't it link up in the spring and summer the same way it does in the winter? The blocking pattern became more south based over the winter which featured the record warmth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 22 Share Posted May 22 1 minute ago, bluewave said: The blocking pattern became more south based over the winter which featured the record warmth. Is it possible for it to become south based during the summer too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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